All Inflation articles – Page 27
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White papersThree Reasons Why the Fixed Income Environment May Be Better Than You Think
While there are a number of risks creating volatility and unease across the market, there are also reasons to believe that today’s fixed income markets offer a range of compelling opportunities.
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White papersGlobal Risks 2023 – Mid-Year Review
Since our last global risks update in January, we believe risks have increased, on balance.
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White papersThe CRE Industry’s Race to Net Zero: Implications of the Inflation Reduction Act Incentives
Sustainable development goals have become a greater priority for the commercial real estate (CRE) industry since the 2015 United Nations (U.N.) Paris Agreement established a global net zero goal (NZG) by 2050.
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White papers2023 Mid-Year Investment Perspectives
Financial markets have been surprisingly resilient this year, despite stubborn inflation, further rate hikes and bank failures. As we move into the second half of 2023, the impact of higher interest rates and the uncertain economic backdrop are likely to remain key concerns for investors.
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White papersA forced hand: market snapshot
The Bank of England hiked rates for the 13th consecutive time on Thursday, amid worse-than-expected UK inflation data.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: global themes
Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and the United States. Even though inflation is still well above central bank targets, markets expect policy rates to be near their peaks. As central banks retain credibility, most measures of inflation expectations remain anchored.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: key convictions for H2 2023
“Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass for navigating this phase.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year outlook 2023
“A central bank pause supports the case for bonds. Investors will have to assess the inflation path and the earnings outlook moving into 2024, in the search for opportunities in equities.”
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White papers2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay
”The many challenges that lie ahead will likely lead to high volatility in the global cycle, in terms of growth and inflation. To weather such an uncertain period a more dynamic asset allocation framework is needed.”
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White papersWhy R-star may rise, and its implications for rates and policy
R-star is the real interest rate that is neither expansionary nor contractionary when the economy is at full employment. If the central bank sets its policy rate below R-star, then its monetary policy position is accommodative. The Fed currently believes R-star is about 0.5%, which is significantly lower than the Fed’s calculation of 2% a decade ago.
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White papersSchroders Capital Global Real Estate Lens June 2023: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
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White papers“Investing at a Crossroads” Revisited
Nine months ago, we set out a playbook for the transition to the new investing environment—here’s why it still applies as the rates cycle peaks and inflation eases.
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White papersStubbornly high inflation sends bond yields higher
UK inflation fell by less than forecast in April, Wednesday’s data revealed, prompting expectations of further interest rate hikes, and pushing bond yields to their highest levels since October.
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White papersInflation Quarterly Monitor
In March, the UK Debt Management Office (DMO) announced its borrowing remit for fiscal year 23/24, alongside the Office for Budget Responsibility’s updated forecasts for gross financing. A small downward revision of £3.3 billion was made to the remit in April, resulting in less short and long dated conventional gilts being raised via auctions but no change to inflation-linked gilts.
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White papersThe case for a higher-inflation regime
Financial markets are convinced headline inflation rates will fall sharply towards central bank targets over the next two years, with stable expectations in the medium to longer term.
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White papersIs the long-term case for emerging market debt still intact?
2022 was a difficult year for fixed income in general, including emerging market debt, amid high inflation and aggressive rate hikes by central banks. While the global backdrop remains a headwind for emerging markets, relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals in the major EM countries, combined with high starting yields and undervalued exchange rates within local currency debt should provide a buffer to any further volatility.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - June 2023
”The disconnect within the growth and inflation mix and the market hope for the Fed to quickly turn to an easing stance call for a prudent stance on risky assets and further favours bonds and cash.”
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White papersSpecial situations: Distressed debt in testing economic terrain
After a 2022 when primary markets were much more selective than in previous years, and on the backdrop of rising interest rates, a number of companies may find themselves struggling to refinance debt when facing a maturity wall in 2024 and 2025.
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PodcastThe Many Facets of Japanese Investing
Japan, an outlier across the G10 nations, is truly an intriguing economy. While rates continue to remain high in many other developed markets, the Bank of Japan still employs its accommodative monetary policy and sees a lower impact of inflation. Given this unique backdrop, what can Japan offer to its investors?
