All Inflation articles – Page 24
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White papersSlowly Slowing
One year since the inception of our Stagflation Shock scenario, the global economy continues to face elevated inflation and falling growth. Both are slowing, but they are slowing—slowly. And the descent has not been smooth.
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White papersWhat the ‘next normal’ means for fixed income: reimagining core bonds
After three years of COVID, roller-coaster economies, inflation and central banks’ frantic fight against an uncertain future, it appears we may finally return to the world we used to know. The “new normal” – where rates are low, volatility subdued, and investors are willing to take on more risk – could yet return. But can it be so simple? After all the upheaval, are we really returning to the pre-COVID era?
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2023
Besides inflation and tight monetary policy, a banking crisis has added to investor anxieties. The bank turmoil won’t likely be a drag to global financial markets. But it does argue for caution when combined with our broader expectations of a sustained period of below-trend growth.
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White papersSchroders Global Real Estate Lens April 2023: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023
”The tightening in credit conditions should reduce core inflationary pressures, partly replacing the need for monetary policy action.”
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White papersFinancial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession
Recent stress in parts of the banking sector will raise funding costs and reduce lending to many sectors. Now we expect the US economy to shrink by - 1.1% in 2023, driven by a contraction in domestic demand. Eurozone growth should stagnate amid inflation remaining high.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2023
Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
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White papersPrimonial REIM Real Estate Convictions Q1 2023
The unexpected resilience of the European economy has led to an improvement in the business perspectives for 2023. However, the ECB has once again chosen to increase its interest rates to limit the impact of inflation, which is expected to decrease by the end of the year.
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White papersBanking woes take centre stage
We reflect on a tumultuous week in the banking sector as markets take stock of UBS’s bailout of Credit Suisse. Amid echoes of the past, our experts ask: is there more to come?
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White papersMarkets take a breath after a week of turmoil
Markets stepped back from the brink this week, following intense stress engulfing Credit Suisse and European banks.
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White papersWhy change is needed in real estate investing
Why real estate investors need to work harder, smarter, better. Faced with a more challenging outlook for returns, real-estate equity investors must get more sophisticated and active, argue Ben Sanderson and David Hedalen.
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White papersCrunch Time
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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VideoAndrew Parsons Interview: The investment opportunity relevant today, tomorrow and 10 years from now
While the sector is going through a rough patch, Resolution Capital’s Andrew Parsons thinks Global REITs can make a comeback. The Resolution Capital Global Property Securities Fund (Managed Fund) (ASX: RCAP) is the only actively managed global REITs ETF available on the ASX and it focuses is on giving investors the “opportunity to gain exposure to some of the world’s best underlying real estate in a listed form”, says Chief Investment Officer Andrew Parsons.
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White papersEuropean market outlook: Clouds on the horizon
After a decade of ultra-loose monetary policy, we are starting to see the intended and unintended consequences of one of the most aggressive periods of monetary policy tightening in history.
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White papersSNB wary of inflation amid seismic FX policy shifts
The SNB lifted rates at its last policy meeting, undeterred by the uncertainty plaguing the banking sector and resolutely focusing on inflation. We explore recent monetary policy developments, including profound changes in how the central bank regards and communicates on foreign currency interventions.
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White papersSustainable dividends: The pursuit of quality and prudence
With the fight against inflation still under way amid the banking turmoil, dividend-income investment opportunities could grow in importance and play a significant role in total return. In this interview, Aline Avzaradel, portfolio manager of the Capital Group Capital Income Builder strategy, explains her focus towards dividend sustainability, as well as the need to avoid dividend cutters, which can undermine a portfolio’s long-term return potential.
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BlogA Rising Tide Of Rate Resets Boosts Appeal Of Bank Loans
Leveraged loan yields have recently begun resetting higher alongside the sharp rise in base rates and now offer a compelling pickup in yield over most other fixed income asset classes.
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White papersThe More Things Change, Part II
Banking stresses may have tightened conditions enough for policymakers to pause their hiking cycles indefinitely.
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White papersWhy the Post-Pandemic Economy Will Run Hot
As the U.S. Federal Reserve wrestles inflation lower, investors wonder increasingly if its traditional target still makes sense. Should policymakers really insist on driving inflation all the way down to 2%? Haven’t pandemic and war fundamentally altered global dynamics that drove rates ever lower? Isn’t this time … different?
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White papersShould we resist the temptation to carry?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we analyse the choice investors currently face between volatile asset prices and tempting carry strategies.
