All Inflation articles – Page 20
-
White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2023
United States: The US economy has been showing signs of deceleration, as the fiscal and monetary policy drag weigh on activity, although at different intensity.
-
White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2023
We revise the probabilities of our alternative scenarios. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced in, especially by equity markets.
-
White papersWhy and what if inflation falls faster than expected?
”As fiscal support should wane, this could lead to lower inflation pressures in the second half of 2023 and to a faster decline in inflation”
-
White papersChina’s Reopening Bodes Well for Asian Fixed-Income Markets
Markets have responded warmly to China’s easing of its zero-COVID policy, although it’s not clear yet how quickly or smoothly the country’s economy will recover. While some bumps in the road are likely, we expect China’s reopening could lead to further gains in Asian credit and currencies in 2023.
-
White papersMacro Perspectives: Recession, inflation and duration considerations
Are markets correctly pricing inflation? What flavor of recession are our economists anticipating? What roles will quality and duration play in 2023 as investors run towards fixed income? Our economists discuss key questions facing investors today in our latest Macro Perspectives.
-
White papersU.S. Real Estate: Patience, Vigilance Needed
If a soft landing continues to play out in 2023, then transactional liquidity could return sooner than expected—possibly circumventing a substantial property price correction. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
-
White papersCan inflation end without a meaningful increase in unemployment?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we ask whether a shared belief in the prospect of a soft-landing is enough to bring it about.
-
White papersFed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
-
White papersMulti-Asset 2023 Outlook: Inching Back to Normalization
2022 was a historically volatile year for global markets, as rapid monetary policy tightening led to steep losses across equities and bonds. In the second half of the year, inflation started to decelerate from multi-decade highs and markets started to find clarity around a possible end date for rate hikes. But with monetary policy expected to stay tight, investors face further deceleration in economic growth in 2023—and possibly a recession.
-
White papersExtinguishing the flame: Has inflation peaked?
Despite further hikes, markets are factoring in a less hawkish approach from central banks.
-
PodcastWhat to look for when allocating assets in 2023
Listen to our quarterly asset allocation podcast with global head of multi-asset Maya Bhandari and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They review the four key determinants of financial market behavior this year and the investment opportunities that follow from that assessment for the main asset classes.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2023
Markets are shifting focus away from inflation towards growth, with a slightly less disruptive economic picture for Europe and a more optimistic view on China.
-
BlogFed Reignites the Search for Yield
Bolstered by broadening expectations for moderation in growth and inflation data, the Fed’s February meeting reignited the market’s search for yield and fueled the rally in risk assets.
-
White papersWas the last hike the last hike?
This last hike may be the last hike. Here’s where our investment teams’ economic expectations may diverge from the consensus viewpoint and how they’re positioning their portfolios.
-
White papersESG: Carbon markets offer a compelling way to restore wildlife and nature
While most markets and investment managers around the world are focused on the challenges of inflation, rising interest rates and recessionary risks, the most urgent challenges we face are more existential in nature: namely, catastrophic climatic change and the accelerating collapse of our planet’s life-sustaining ecological systems.
-
White papersRetail: Looking behind the headlines, opportunities for the cautious and the brave
The headlines for retail real-estate investors were difficult before the Covid-19 pandemic, worse through it and arguably struggling coming out of the other side. The retail real-estate market remains challenging at a headline level, but the detail is more interesting and opportunities prevail.
-
White papersEuropean Real Estate: Darkest, Then a New Dawn?
The year ahead likely marks the trough in the property cycle, which will have implications for investment outperformance for years to come. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
-
White papersEurope’s living sector is coming of age, and will come out of this cycle strongly
The Living sector has provided stable yields and substantial capital growth for much of the past decade, fuelled by low interest rates, extreme demand/supply imbalances and increased private and institutional investment. As a result, European net initial yields have fallen sharply. But rising inflation and interest rates have brought this cycle to an abrupt end.
-
White papersLower for longer, no longer.
Changing Yields, Property Valuations, and Investment Opportunities
-
BlogECB in Pole Position to Over-Tighten in 2023
One narrative of 2022 was that central banks, including the ECB, were “behind the curve,” in their inflation fight. If this was right, financial conditions would need to tighten notably in 2023.
