All Inflation articles – Page 20
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White papers360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
Against the backdrop of recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, sat down earlier this week to discuss the big themes that are dominating markets.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2023
Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2023
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2023: Staying Airborne
Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for modest duration extension in the two- to seven-year range. Within credit, we favor enhancing quality and are finding particular value in securitized markets.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Dissecting the fallout from the gilt crisis
Just over a year has passed since the gilt market turmoil of September 2022, sparked by the UK government’s so-called ‘mini-budget’. The fallout from the crisis, as the pound fell and gilt yields spiked, prompted an emergency intervention by the Bank of England to restore orderly market conditions against a global backdrop of high inflation and rising interest rates. A significant change in asset class demand dynamics ensued as pension funds sought to meet collateral calls for their LDI mandates.
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White papersFive questions on the recent escalation in Israel
The recent escalation: Hamas, most likely backed by Iran, attacked Israel over the weekend, resulting in a strong response from the Israeli defence forces. The Israeli Prime Minister termed this terrorist attack as an act of war.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023
Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation. But higher oil prices – which are up about 30% over the last two months – could add a significant hurdle to this disinflation process and keep policy rates higher for longer. The impact of higher oil prices typically depends both on how quickly and by how much they rise, and whether the shock is long-lasting or temporary.
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White papersIs more monetary tightening really needed?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersIs This What a Soft Landing Looks Like?
The first half of 2023 was a whipsaw of economic and real estate data that turned from gloomy to bright and back again, seemingly by the day. As the fog lifts from this noisy backdrop, we believe the case for a soft landing has become more pronounced.
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White papersKeynote interview: Renewables lead the charge
Cost competitiveness, government support and societal need are driving long-term investment opportunities in green energy, says Schroders Greencoat’s Coen Weddepohl in an article originally published by Infrastructure Investor North America magazine.
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White papersAs one door closes … How changes in long income are creating value opportunities
Renos Booth, Isabel Gossling and Kris McPhail from our real estate long income team discuss the importance of selectivity to uncover opportunities and how new buyers can fill the void left by DB pension schemes.
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White papersEuropean Hotel Sector: Short-term distress and strong long-term fundamentals create value opportunity
For a subset of the European hotel sector, weaknesses exacerbated by the COVID-19 travel shutdown are now being made worse by high inflation and rising interest rates, creating distress. There is a window of opportunity to acquire these hotels at discounted pricing.
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White papersCould the Rise of AI Mean Falling Prices?
There’s been much discussion of AI’s deflationary potential, but this issue must be viewed in the broader context of other megatrends influencing a new investment regime.
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White papersInflation: Mapping the impact of the global rate hiking cycle
After a sustained era of cheap money, an abrupt and unprecedented shift in the global interest rate hiking cycle was ushered in, as the world’s major central banks sought to stave off surging inflation.
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White papersThree Fixed Income Market Scenarios
With roughly 500 basis points of rate hikes in the rearview mirror, the Federal Reserve has enjoyed significant progress in curbing U.S. inflation. However, reducing core inflation remains a challenge and many developed market central banks have recently taken a more hawkish tone. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England, in particular, may have more work to do.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Inflation stabilises, but policy dilemma continues
Autumn made a hasty arrival to Europe in mid-September and it was accompanied by a multitude of monetary policy meetings. The current tightening cycle has seen plenty of interest rate hikes. But this new round of meetings show how central banks appear undecided on their next steps in light of the mixed signals coming from their economies. What will this cautious stance from central banks mean for the world’s economies?
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2023
“Markets have not priced in the risks related to the credit cycle, volatility in inflation figures (to the upside and downside), and any kind of landing for the US economy. We maintain our quality bias.”
