All Inflation articles – Page 16
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White papersA forced hand: market snapshot
The Bank of England hiked rates for the 13th consecutive time on Thursday, amid worse-than-expected UK inflation data.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: global themes
Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and the United States. Even though inflation is still well above central bank targets, markets expect policy rates to be near their peaks. As central banks retain credibility, most measures of inflation expectations remain anchored.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: key convictions for H2 2023
“Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass for navigating this phase.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year outlook 2023
“A central bank pause supports the case for bonds. Investors will have to assess the inflation path and the earnings outlook moving into 2024, in the search for opportunities in equities.”
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White papersNever Stop Learning
Jon Baranko and Dan Morris, Allspring’s chief investment officers, describe their insights from the first half of 2023 and share their outlook for investing in the second half of the year.
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White papersA Balancing Act: Fixed income playbook for 2H 2023
Many bond investors are looking for less volatility and more predictable returns. Five of Allspring’s fixed income leaders explain five key strategies they think bond investors should focus on going forward.
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White papersIs China’s reopening lifting the global economic cycle?
The current macro situation is puzzling. The three main economic regions are exhibiting three very different trajectories: the US is decelerating, China is recovering and the Eurozone is showing remarkable resilience.
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White papers2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay
”The many challenges that lie ahead will likely lead to high volatility in the global cycle, in terms of growth and inflation. To weather such an uncertain period a more dynamic asset allocation framework is needed.”
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White papersWhy R-star may rise, and its implications for rates and policy
R-star is the real interest rate that is neither expansionary nor contractionary when the economy is at full employment. If the central bank sets its policy rate below R-star, then its monetary policy position is accommodative. The Fed currently believes R-star is about 0.5%, which is significantly lower than the Fed’s calculation of 2% a decade ago.
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BlogA Most Hawkish Hike by the ECB
The ECB’s June rate hike and its confirmation of a faster balance sheet reduction were in line with expectations. However, President Lagarde’s decidedly more hawkish tone was a surprise.
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White papersCan We Refocus on Fundamentals Now?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersA hawkish hold as the best outcome for asset prices
The Fed decided to leave the federal funds target rate unchanged, a hawkish hold that provides the flexibility to hike again if needed—or adopt a more dovish outlook should growth and inflation data warrant that approach.
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White papersSchroders Capital Global Real Estate Lens June 2023: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
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White papers“Investing at a Crossroads” Revisited
Nine months ago, we set out a playbook for the transition to the new investing environment—here’s why it still applies as the rates cycle peaks and inflation eases.
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White papersStubbornly high inflation sends bond yields higher
UK inflation fell by less than forecast in April, Wednesday’s data revealed, prompting expectations of further interest rate hikes, and pushing bond yields to their highest levels since October.
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White papersIs the Fed rate-hike pause still likely?
2023 was to be a relatively well telegraphed year, as opposed to 2022 which took investors by surprise. The idea was simple: in 2022, central banks had raised a wall of interest rates to protect our economies from a wave of inflation not seen since the 1970s. These rate hikes were to cause a slowdown in economic growth during 2023 without plunging the world into a deep recession – the ‘soft landing’ scenario.
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White papersInflation Quarterly Monitor
In March, the UK Debt Management Office (DMO) announced its borrowing remit for fiscal year 23/24, alongside the Office for Budget Responsibility’s updated forecasts for gross financing. A small downward revision of £3.3 billion was made to the remit in April, resulting in less short and long dated conventional gilts being raised via auctions but no change to inflation-linked gilts.
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White papersThe case for a higher-inflation regime
Financial markets are convinced headline inflation rates will fall sharply towards central bank targets over the next two years, with stable expectations in the medium to longer term.
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White papersIs the long-term case for emerging market debt still intact?
2022 was a difficult year for fixed income in general, including emerging market debt, amid high inflation and aggressive rate hikes by central banks. While the global backdrop remains a headwind for emerging markets, relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals in the major EM countries, combined with high starting yields and undervalued exchange rates within local currency debt should provide a buffer to any further volatility.
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White papersInvesting in quality credit for net zero
An eventful start to 2023 saw sticky inflation and a banking crisis on the macro front, and further government action in climate policy. We review the landscape for corporate bond investors in the net-zero transition during an action-packed first quarter.
