All Inflation articles – Page 16
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White papersECB’s next move should be a rate cut
”Inflation remains the main driver of central banks’ policy actions. We could see more appetite for European bonds as the ECB looks on track to start cutting rates in June.”
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 2Q 2024
Investors continue to wait for clear signals as to the timing and extent of interest rate cuts. After last year’s significant progress on prices, inflation remains elevated and slow in its path toward target levels. That said, although the timing remains uncertain, we believe that the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will likely begin their downward journey sometime this year.
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White papersFive questions on the impact of carbon taxes on economies and markets
”A carbon tax would have a significant impact on growth and inflation, with Emerging Markets particularly affected.”
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White papersThe appeal of private assets in 2024
The macro environment in 2024 will likely spur demand for private assets from all types of investors in our view. In this higher-for-longer environment, private assets could continue to be a compelling source of risk-adjusted returns, income and diversification.
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White papersThe economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papers2024 2Q outlook: Adapting to high tide
Originally written and recorded by a Jamaican trio in 1967, “The Tide Is High” made its biggest splash with the now-classic 1980 cover version that topped the charts around the world. Thematically simple, the song’s familiar chorus acknowledges challenging circumstances while expressing the narrator’s resilience (“I’m holding on”). It’s an apt soundtrack for today’s investors as they acclimate to a high-tide environment of their own.
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: The Bright Side of Higher Rates
More clarity on interest rates means more clarity on the investment outlook and the opportunities across private markets.
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White papersA Major Change in the Markets
Investors are now focused on growth more than inflation—what might that mean for portfolios?
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White papersWhere are the Opportunities in Corporate Bonds Now?
Bonds are back – but with changeable forecasts for inflation, and lurking geopolitical tensions, credit selection is more important than ever for fixed income investors. We spoke to five corporate bond managers from across Generali Investments ecosystem to understand where they’re finding opportunities and avoiding pitfalls in today’s global corporate bond markets.
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White papersHigh yield floating rate notes: Prospects in the next stage of the cycle
Global high yield floating rate notes delivered strong returns in 2023 during a period of heightened macroeconomic uncertainty that included double digit inflation and interest rate hikes. With 2024 well underway, inflation is returning to target levels and the prospect of slower, yet positive, economic growth has encouraged a cautious sense of optimism that a soft landing may be achieved. Here, we explore the potential prospects for this growing subset of the high yield fixed income universe as we approach the next phase of the interest rate cycle.
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White papersWhat risks are you taking in renewable energy?
Developing renewable energy assets, or opting instead to buy them when they are already operational, results in very different potential return and risk profiles. Higher interest rates have made those differences clearer.
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White papersMarkets heed data, not Fed Speak
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed’s constant blaring.
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White papersConfronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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PodcastIs it Time for Fixed Income?
Global Head of Public Assets, Martin Horne, discusses the factors shaping the outlook for fixed income markets in 2024 including interest rates, corporate fundamentals and valuations.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papers6 questions concerning the weakness behind US resiliency
Do you see recent US data pointing to stubborn inflation? In January we had some upside surprises, encompassing import prices, producer prices, both headline and core CPI, and the PCE deflator. We think prices were in part boosted by seasonal factors which are not fully accounted for in the usual seasonal adjustment, something that also happened last year.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
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White papersRedevco aims to grow its residential development pipeline to 10,000+ units to enter top ranks of European residential managers
One of the biggest challenges facing European societies is the severe shortage of modern, affordable, and sustainable housing supply in our cities in the face of soaring demand.
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White papersReal Estate subsectors: Finding specialist investments to drive returns in niche markets
2023 was a year of prolonged high inflation, sharp interest rate hikes and a weak economy, with looming fears of recession. However, most countries proved resilient and avoided recession.
