All Inflation articles – Page 18
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White papersThe 60/40 portfolio: Regaining its appeal - Quick takes on capital markets
With rising stock/bond correlations reducing diversification benefits, the 60/40 portfolio suffered a historically bad run in 2022.
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PodcastOpportunities in Structured Products
Jin Im, associate portfolio manager for the Investment Grade Fixed Income team at Allspring Global Investments, and Rob Absey, head of Insurance Solutions, discuss structured products, often referred to as securitized assets or securitized products, and the value and importance these assets can have in overall investment portfolios.
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White papersSunshine in the U.S.—For Now
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersThe End of the Great Moderation: Forecasting in Elevated Uncertainty
In a global environment with more complexity and uncertainty, we have adopted a probabilistic, scenario-based approach to forecasting macroeconomic and market outcomes.
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White papersHow renewable energy investments can help manage the risks facing DC members
2022 highlighted several risks for defined contribution pensions (DC), many of which could have been addressed by renewable energy investments. We explain how.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 2023
Optimism was definitely behind the respectable performance registered by risky assets in the last quarter. However, the economic backdrop does not look overly positive. On the price levels side, US headline inflation is receding, although the core measure - more important for monetary policy decisions - is proving to be stickier. The latest European and UK inflation numbers signal that price growth is cooling.
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White papersGlobal Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papersEmerging market resilience paves the way for new opportunities
Resilience and a growth advantage over developed markets make emerging countries an attractive destination for the second half of the year. The effects of monetary tightening are seeping through to the real economy, contributing to lacklustre growth, particularly in developed economies.
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White papersThe role of real assets in today’s investment landscape
The market is pricing a rapid return to low and stable inflation. Supply-side risks threaten those expectations and heighten the attractiveness of real assets.
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White papersFed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.
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White papersTen for 2023—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they expected to be prominent in the markets during 2023. With the year now half over, we revisited these concepts to see how they’ve played out so far. We give ourselves an interim grade for each one and assess our outlook for the second half of 2023.
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White papersHow long will convexity disappoint?
These are uncertain times – be it regarding growth, inflation, or the extent of rate hikes. And yet, the level of one of the most common measures for volatility – the famous VIX index – has not budged much since 20 March and the end of the fast-paced banking crisis. This raises two principal questions about volatility and convexity, which we explore in this weekly edition of Simply put.
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White papersFixed income: choosing a different rhythm
Increased risk appetite and revived hopes for a soft landing present an interesting question to fixed-income investors: how keenly should they dance to the market’s tune?
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White papersThe Fed Senses the Light at the End of the Tunnel
PGIM Fixed Income’s views on the July FOMC meeting, which could mark the end of the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking cycle and may give way to a fine-tuning phase.
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White papers11 … or will it be 12? (Or more?)
The Federal Open Market Committee just decided to increase the federal funds target rate by 0.25%, resulting in a new target of 5.25% to 5.50%.
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White papersHow do rising interest rates affect natural capital investments?
To address persistent U.S. inflation, the Federal Reserve initiated a series of rate hikes in March 2022. By May 2023, the key short-term interest rate had increased by 5.0%, reaching its highest level in 16 years.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Receding inflation doesn’t mean the battle is won
After months of rising rates, there could be good news for central banks as we start to see signs that inflation is finally cooling down.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2023
The United Kingdom is the only advanced country with wage growth above core inflation, risking a wage-price spiral. Inflation is broad-based and expected to remain much higher than in the rest of the G7, above 6.0% in 2023 and well above 3.0% by end-2024. Growth will be flat at best, but all risks point to the downside.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2023
”We remain sceptical on inflated valuations because the uptrend in risk assets is due to the laggards catching up rather than any meaningful improvement to earnings outlooks.”
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White papersPassing the stress test
Results from the Bank of England’s (BoE) annual stress test indicate the UK’s largest banks should be resilient in the event of a severe stress scenario.
