All Inflation articles – Page 18
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White papersECB on hold supportive for Euro credit markets and govies
Key takeaways from the European Central Bank’s meeting
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White papersFed and ECB: towards rate cuts in 2024
”Markets expect Central Banks to cut rates in early 2024. This is too optimistic, but falling inflation is good news for investors.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papersKey Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 14 December 2023
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023
Following 3.1% growth in 2023, we expect global growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, well below the IMF’s expectations of 2.9% in 2024 and the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8%. The weaker performance of advanced economies is one of the main reasons for this divergence. Indeed, we expect them to decelerate from 1.5% this year to 0.7% in 2024, while the IMF forecasts advanced economy growth at 1.4% next year.
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White papersHigher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited. However, refinancing needs will rise in 2024 Small and medium sized companies and lower rated HY issuers will be most impacted. The spillover from higher rates will be more limited for IG companies.
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PodcastCIO perspectives on what lies ahead in 2024
M&G’s CIOs Jim Leaviss and Fabiana Fedeli share their perspectives for 2024, considering how to potentially drive returns through the uncertainty ahead, and highlighting the importance of being selective in a challenging economic environment.
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White papersFOMC on Hold — Rate Cuts by May 2024?
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, unchanged at 5.25%–5.50%.
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White papersHigher for longer: 2024 Outlook
As ever, central bank policy has the power to make or break markets.
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White papersThe Federated Hermes 2024 Outlook
2024 will once again be a year where events define the investment landscape. From geopolitical risk, including conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, to the enormous challenges posed by the need for a just transition, investors face volatility and uncertainty. And this is all taking place against the backdrop of the largest election year in history and markets adjusting to ‘higher for longer’ interest rates.
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White papersThe overlooked appeal of short-dated euro corporate debt
Corporate balance sheets continue to provide support for opportunities in the front-end of the credit curve in the eurozone.
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White papersSwiss real estate insights: Attractive despite changes in conditions
Although concepts like inflation and interest rates had nearly been forgotten in the past decade, we have been reminded of them in dramatic fashion over the last 18 months.
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White papersGlobal Real Estate Outlook: Negotiating higher rates and other new paradigms
‘Higher for longer’ interest rates mean global real estate markets are negotiating a new paradigm. Investors can no longer rely on value growth to drive performance, but could other return drivers compensate? We explore the stand-out opportunities and potential traps that need to be factored in.
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White papersThe Mortgage-Backed Moment
Securitized credit, and especially mortgage-backed securities, can be an attractive source of income while waiting for volatile bond markets to settle.
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White papersJapan Insights - Real estate markets: a watershed year in the making
Japan is at the critical juncture of breaking out from its three decades of stagnation. Nominal growth is returning. The outlook is not set in stone, but the current wage-price dynamics look promising and supportive. We expect any policy adjustments during this transition period to be slow and steady.
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White papersMarkets bounce on waning inflation
Markets reacted positively to stronger-than-expected US and UK inflation data this week.
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White papersNot your average credit cycle
Geopolitics, hard landings, falling consumer confidence and corporate belt-tightening could all be part of the investment picture in 2024. That was the message from Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November.
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White papersAsset Class Outlook for 2024
What do you think will be the best performing asset class over the coming year?
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White papersWith macro risks elevated it’s all about stock selection
There are plenty of macro drivers that will create equity volatility in 2024. To succeed, investors will need to maintain a resilient portfolio.
