All Inflation articles – Page 21
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European stocks rally as recession fears recede
The re-opening of China’s economy should provide a relative tailwind for Europe compared to other regions.
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Bonds are back: credit markets focus during 2023
This year, we expect the global economic environment to feature sluggish growth and an extended period of sustained high inflation. For the credit market, it will be a tale of two halves:
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Investment symposium – Macroeconomic themes for 2023
At our annual Investment Symposium, investment teams from across BNP Paris Asset Management debated the macroeconomic themes with the potential to shape markets in 2023, airing diverse perspectives and exploring the implications for portfolios. We share their conclusions on the main topics for the year ahead.
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Emerging-Market Equities: Can the Bounce Be Sustained?
It’s been a long, hard slog for emerging-market (EM) equities. Since peaking in late 2010, EM stocks have underperformed global developed equities amid a confluence of macroeconomic and market headwinds. Now, a regime change unfolding in global markets may actually help improve conditions for beleaguered developing-world stocks.
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Podcast
Emerging Markets Debt: An Early Spring?
Ricardo Adrogue, Head of Global Sovereign Debt and Currencies discusses the Barings’ team’s increasingly positive view on the outlook for emerging markets debt.
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Convertible bonds: the weather forecast for 2023
Convertible bonds are an all-weather instrument. The optionality embedded in this asset class helped returns and provided a cushion during the challenges of the past two years.
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Fixed income outlook - Sticky inflation
The latest data suggests that the US economy is headed towards a period of below-trend growth, if not outright recession. The effect of monetary tightening on aggregate demand is becoming evident, while supply chain pressures appear to be easing
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2023 has begun with an inflation-relief rally
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we examine the current equity rally and its relationship to the decline in inflation.
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Fixed Income Perspectives January 2023
Global growth is expected to weaken as central banks remain restrictive, though many economies have shown more resilience than previously expected Inflation should continue to lose steam in 2023, although it may remain uncomfortably high relative to central bank targets Higher yields and relative value opportunities offer better return ...
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Fixed income investors are still too optimistic on inflation
Does the latest US data confirm the battle against inflation has already been won? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says markets are overly optimistic.
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Outlook 2023: Blowing hot and cold
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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There IS an Alternative: Fixed Income Road Map - 2023
Bonds yields in many sectors rose in 2022. Finally, for investors who’d needed to seek income outside of fixed income markets, There Is an Alternative. Allspring fixed income leaders identify potential opportunities.
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White papers
Asian credit outlook: a bright spot in 2023
After 2022 marked one of the worst years on record for fixed income, Asia is expected to be the world’s bright spot in 2023. We believe Asian credit reached a bottom in early November 2022 and is now on the ascendent due to China pivoting away from its zero-Covid policy and back towards a pro-growth stance, as well as the emergence of clear US disinflationary trends.
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Fixed income rebounds on expectations inflation has peaked
As central banks moderate the pace of hikes and downturn concerns take the shine off riskier assets, bonds have seen renewed interest from investors.
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A Peak That Persists
We think sticky services inflation paired with a moderate slowdown will enable central banks to maintain higher rates for longer.
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Equity Market Outlook 1Q 2023: Key Considerations For Equity Investors
After rising interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical turmoil pounded equity investors in 2022, we wish we could report that a rebound appears just around the bend. Alas, we believe macroeconomic indicators offer little to cheer about in the first quarter of 2023—and perhaps through the remainder of the year.
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The Ten Most Important Statistics for 2023 Markets
In the flood of market data, you could do worse than keeping your eye on these as you assess the odds of a ‘softish landing’.
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Weakening Growth Outlook to Eventually Favor Euro Rate Risk
European policymakers face a dilemma: continue to hike interest rates to combat inflation or ease off to stimulate growth.
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More Volatility Ahead? Buckle Up with Defensive Equities
After a tumultuous 2022, investors are hoping for an eventual end to monetary tightening, and with it, a reprieve from brutal market volatility. But since corporate earnings are still adjusting to a new regime, the road will be bumpy. What can equity investors do to reduce risk?