PodcastGeopolitical friction and the new market reality - Investment Views by Outerblue Convictions
Markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite a fast-moving news cycle, rising geopolitical tensions and growing uncertainty around the outlook for growth and inflation. In this episode of Outerblue Convictions, host Swaha Pattanaik speaks with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, following the IMF spring meetings in Washington to discuss the structural shifts now shaping markets and what they mean for investors.
White papersThe next phase for US equities: Broader, resilient, durable
It would be difficult to overstate just how complex the current environment has become. Geopolitical tensions, shifting trade policy and an unpredictable political environment have all contributed to a climate where uncertainty feels like the default.
White papersGCC Banks: A Five-Layer Defense for the Current Environment
A combination of strong fundamentals and sovereign support should help key financial institutions weather the storm.
White papersCIO Weekly: Japan Shows Resilience
Japan’s energy import dependence makes it one of the conflict’s more exposed markets. Yet its short-term resilience is high, and the longer-term investment case remains attractive.
White papersCLO equity insights: Thinking fast and CLO
CLO equity offers a classic example of short- versus long-term thinking. Investor dialogue and market research often emphasize short-term conditions, such as arbitrage spreads or near-term credit sentiment. But, in our view, this underappreciates the compounding impact of long-term optionality in the structure.
White papersConsensus Indicators signal a K-shaped recovery in both Europe and the U.S.
InREV, the European Association for Investors in Non-Listed Real Estate Vehicles, recently published their Consensus Indicator for March 2026, revealing that sentiment remains positive but is moderating amid rising geopolitical and interest rate pressures.
White papersLooking beyond conflict: Viewing volatility as opportunity
Investors are climbing a high wall of worries in 2026. With wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, messy trade disputes in the world’s major economic regions, growing fears over the impact of artificial intelligence, and deep political divisions in the United States and elsewhere, it can be difficult to remove emotions from practical investment decisions.
White papersFactory Reset: U.S. Manufacturing Turns Up
The manufacturing industry has been struggling since the pandemic. Various metrics, including industrial production and the ISM Manufacturing index, have been in contraction or decline for years.
White papersQ1 2026 Short Duration Commentary
Geopolitical and macro risks dominated headlines and the market landscape as the first quarter ended, driven by the Israeli and U.S attacks on Iran and their aftermath, including Iran’s response and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the…
White papersAsset Allocation Outlook 2Q 2026: Beyond the Conflict
The Middle East conflict has made the investment calculus harder, but not enough to alter our constructive outlook or justify a material shift in strategic asset allocation.
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