White papersEurope in focus amidst fiscal boost
“President Trump’s approach to trade and global alliances may be a wake up call for Europe. The region is signalling a clear and a historical shift, which will require target measures to boost growth efficiently.”
White papersEmpowering transformation in Europe
Europe is facing major economic and security challenges. The European Commission (EC) has started translating the Draghi report’s recommendations into effective proposals.
White papersThe direction of long term rates in an era of high debt
Real interest rates have been on a secular decline since the mid-1980s but have corrected sharply higher since the Covid pandemic, higher inflation and the end of central banks’ Quantitative Easing (QE). Now, public debt is much higher and there are new demands for funding (e.g., for defence and net zero ambitions), which should argue for structurally higher long-term interest rates.
White papersEquity sectors: a mix of Growth and Value to navigate the challenges ahead
We see three themes shaping sector returns in the coming decade. Artificial intelligence (AI) will support the Information Technology (IT) sector followed by Healthcare, but it is due to extend to others as well. Regarding climate change and geopolitical dynamics, capital expenditure (Capex) will play a more important role than consumption, benefitting Industrials more than the Consumer Staples and Discretionary sectors. Finally, policies supporting deregulation should improve capital efficiency and shareholder returns, to the benefit of Financials.
White papersDemographics will shape future growth potential
Three trends that will shape the macro-financial landscape
White papersThe global economy’s path in a fragmented world
With the world on the brink of significant structural changes, projecting the long-term macroeconomic scenario for 2025-2050 presents unique challenges. It is crucial to identify emerging trends while evaluating the acceleration of existing ones.
White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2025
A more favourable growth outlook for the next decade compared to last year’s assumptions, albeit with greater uncertainty regarding inflation which is set to remain slightly above central bank targets, results in higher expected returns across the spectrum of asset classes covered. Expectations have been revised upwards for regional equity markets and private assets in particular, with Private Equity, Infrastructure, and European equities showing the strongest improvements.
White papersSustainable Global Equity Annual Report 2024
Since the turn of the millennium, considerable progress has been made in improving economic wellbeing. However, proper financial inclusion remains out of reach for billions worldwide. Bridging the gap represents a potentially major opportunity for companies, says the team behind our Sustainable Global Equity Strategy.
White papersTrade Finance: Uncorrelated alpha potential
Trade finance – short-term loans to facilitate physical cross-border transactions – plays a vital role in facilitating global trade flows. It is estimated that 80% of world trade is dependent on some form of financing. This can be attributed to tighter credit conditions for obtaining alternative sources of capital. In this paper, we outline why more investors are turning towards this asset class as a diversifier in their portfolios.
White papersThe evolution of investor stewardship
With the publication by EOS at Federated Hermes Limited of its 2024 Annual Review of engagement and voting highlights, Leon Kamhi, Head of Responsibility and EOS, reflects on 20 years of stewardship at EOS, and the need to drive real world change.
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