All Inflation articles – Page 22
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Assessing Central Bank Credibility in Emerging Markets
The persistence of inflation in many EMs puts their hard-earned policy credibility at risk. This note looks at the experience and credibility of five major EM central banks during this period.
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Inflation: Tracking the changing trajectory of Japan’s property market
In recent years Japan’s property market has benefited from a benign environment of ultra-low interest rates – but inflation could change this long-entrenched trajectory. Despite this, Regina Lim, Head of Asia Pacific Research at M&G Real Estate, believes the Japanese property market offers opportunity, with the multi-family residential and logistics sectors set to benefit from long-term trends.
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European market view – Q2 2023
Our latest LaSalle European Market View shows how Europe’s economies and real estate markets are being impacted by, and adapting to, the current period of unusual uncertainty.
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How strong dollar dynamics impacts emerging markets
Years of strong dollar dynamics have had a far reaching consequences for emerging economies, much of it played out in the currency markets.
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Taking a Time Out? The High Price of Idle Cash
Parking your fixed-income assets in cash may seem like a safe choice in today’s volatile investing environment, but it’s actually a risky proposition. Here are three reasons why sitting on the sidelines can be a dangerous game.
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Opportunities across the credit spectrum for multi-sector income investors
As central banks near the end of hiking cycles, the environment is becoming increasingly supportive for fixed income.
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Learnings from Earnings: Macro Crosscurrents Make Growth Elusive
Markets are being shaped by disparate trends from falling energy prices to rising interest rates. During first-quarter earnings season, company reports indicated that these crosscurrents are intensifying business challenges—and making it harder for investors to find resilient sources of growth.
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Connecting the Disinflation Dots in Multi-Asset Strategies
The Federal Reserve’s latest 0.25% interest-rate hike has likely capped one of its most aggressive policy-tightening cycles in 40 years. And the cumulative 5% policy rate increase in just over a year is now starting to have an effect on rate-sensitive sectors and inflation.
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Financial stability concerns back to the fore
In this macroeconomic update, Silvia Dall’Angelo, Senior Economist, reflects on the scenarios that have influenced markets this quarter, including fragility in the banking sector and the US/China tech ’Cold War’.
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Real estate forecasting and physical risk: A brief climate story
Incorporating physical climate risk into real estate valuations is no easy task. Olivia Muir, Head of Sustainability – Real Estate & Private Markets, offers some reflections on what to consider.
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Finding the silver linings: Private Equity International interview with Markus Benzler on the future of private equity
Public market corrections, inflation, increasing interest rates and political uncertainty are all having an impact on LPs’ capacity to invest in private equity. This is already leading to a knock-on effect on private equity fundraising, but what might this mean for the industry over the short to medium term? And where are the bright spots for investors in today’s environment and beyond? Markus Benzler, head of multi-managers private equity at UBS Asset Management, gives his take on how the market will evolve.
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Navigating Uncertainty— Risks and Opportunities in Commercial Real Estate
Rapid shifts in the global economic and capital markets are exerting strong influences on U.S. commercial real estate.
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European Real Estate: Structural Reprice, But Secular Trends Endure
Barring capital market events and refinancing risks, the opportunity to invest at or near the bottom of the European property cycle appears close. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
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Infrastructure debt: An essential ingredient
With inflation returning and investors on the hunt for stable yields, insurance companies should explore how an infrastructure debt allocation can support their investment strategy.
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Market update first quarter 2023
Despite a slowdown in economic growth due to last year’s inflation shock, the Dutch economy has shown itself adaptable and resilient.
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U.S. Real Estate: Parsing a Different Kind of Downturn
The U.S. real estate downturn is proving painful. However, unlike prior downturns, underlying fundamentals are still relatively robust and likely to either mitigate a steep demand decline and/or backstop the current price correction. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
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Podcast
The Cost of Waiting for Goldilocks
Janet Rilling and Danny Sarnowski discuss the costs investors can face as they wait for a “Goldilocks moment” to add duration to their fixed income portfolios.
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Blog
The US Inflation Reduction Act: Europe’s response
In the second part of our blog series on the Inflation Reduction Act, EU leaders have outlined a package of subsidies to rival the act. Will it be enough to prevent investment flows diverting to a subsidy-rich US?
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Is This the Final Fed Hike, for Now?
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to hike its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, by 25 basis points (bps; 100 bps equal 1.00%), to a range of 5.00% to 5.25%. Despite the banking sector’s ongoing wobbles—most recently, First Republic Bank’s takeover by JP Morgan over the past weekend—the FOMC sees fighting inflation as its highest priority.
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Bond Investors May Find Most Rate Pivot Potential in UK, EU
As consumers suffer the biggest inflation hit in 50 years, bond investors must anticipate how quickly prices will stabilize, when interest rates will fall and which fixed-income markets can provide the best pay-offs.