All Inflation articles – Page 22
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 2023
Optimism was definitely behind the respectable performance registered by risky assets in the last quarter. However, the economic backdrop does not look overly positive. On the price levels side, US headline inflation is receding, although the core measure - more important for monetary policy decisions - is proving to be stickier. The latest European and UK inflation numbers signal that price growth is cooling.
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White papersGlobal Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papersEmerging market resilience paves the way for new opportunities
Resilience and a growth advantage over developed markets make emerging countries an attractive destination for the second half of the year. The effects of monetary tightening are seeping through to the real economy, contributing to lacklustre growth, particularly in developed economies.
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White papersThe role of real assets in today’s investment landscape
The market is pricing a rapid return to low and stable inflation. Supply-side risks threaten those expectations and heighten the attractiveness of real assets.
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White papersFed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.
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White papersTen for 2023—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they expected to be prominent in the markets during 2023. With the year now half over, we revisited these concepts to see how they’ve played out so far. We give ourselves an interim grade for each one and assess our outlook for the second half of 2023.
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White papers11 … or will it be 12? (Or more?)
The Federal Open Market Committee just decided to increase the federal funds target rate by 0.25%, resulting in a new target of 5.25% to 5.50%.
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White papersHow do rising interest rates affect natural capital investments?
To address persistent U.S. inflation, the Federal Reserve initiated a series of rate hikes in March 2022. By May 2023, the key short-term interest rate had increased by 5.0%, reaching its highest level in 16 years.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Receding inflation doesn’t mean the battle is won
After months of rising rates, there could be good news for central banks as we start to see signs that inflation is finally cooling down.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2023
The United Kingdom is the only advanced country with wage growth above core inflation, risking a wage-price spiral. Inflation is broad-based and expected to remain much higher than in the rest of the G7, above 6.0% in 2023 and well above 3.0% by end-2024. Growth will be flat at best, but all risks point to the downside.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2023
”We remain sceptical on inflated valuations because the uptrend in risk assets is due to the laggards catching up rather than any meaningful improvement to earnings outlooks.”
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White papersPassing the stress test
Results from the Bank of England’s (BoE) annual stress test indicate the UK’s largest banks should be resilient in the event of a severe stress scenario.
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White papersFearful markets brace for further hikes
The US Federal Reserve latest meeting minutes indicate further tightening likely following June pause.
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White papersMacro insights: Resilient growth buoys markets, but risks elevated
Investors powered a broad rally in risk assets in the second quarter as recession concerns appeared to diminish.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Shifting narratives
Market narratives have been shifting rapidly. We have gone from speculation that rate hikes by US Federal Reserve had begun to ‘break’ the financial system, to imminent recession and imminent rate cuts, to a resilient US economy, to weak domestic demand and deflation in China, and slumping growth in the eurozone amid continued central bank policy tightening.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q3 2023 outlook
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papersLearning the ropes - Unveiling the attractiveness of real estate investing
Real estate offers investors four key benefits. First, it brings diversification benefits to multi-asset portfolios. Real estate has low and sometimes even negative correlations of returns with other asset classes such as bonds and equities.
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White papersThe case for commercial real estate as part of a well-diversified portfolio
The investment landscape has been significantly impacted by the shift in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy beginning in March of 2022.
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PodcastEmerging Opportunities in Emerging Markets Debt
The Emerging Markets sector has not been immune to today’s market challenges. Between the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war, factors such as the cost of living and food inflation have caused an adverse impact on sovereign balance sheets.
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White papersAn accounting ‘big bang’? The implications for insurance investors from IFRS 9 and 17
Sustained inflation has triggered unprecedent monetary tightening and a surge in interest rates which in turn have revived volatility and provoked changes in market liquidity conditions.
