All Inflation articles – Page 23
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White papersHow pension schemes should view stagflation risks
There is an economic scenario that pension funds perhaps fear the most, but for which most are probably least prepared: Stagflation. Most schemes have a strategic asset allocation based on a relatively optimistic “goldilocks” scenario. Rightly so, you could argue, as stagflation’s heady combination of accelerating prices and meagre growth remains an economic rarity through history.
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White papersWait and see (redux)
Recent inflation and GDP data complicate the course of central bank policy.
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White papersHigher for Longer, or Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersInfrastructure remains resilient despite macro challenges
Will infrastructure remain resilient as monetary policy tightens, interest rates rise and the war in Ukraine stretches into its second year?
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White papersHow focussing on long life infrastructure can help investors meet their goals
Infrastructure has long been known for producing solid, risk-adjusted yields over a significant timeframe.
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White papersOpportunities lie beyond precarious path to growth
A central bank pause supports the case for bonds. Investors will have to assess the inflation path and the earnings outlook moving into 2024, in the search for opportunities in equities.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2023
Central banks are finding it hard to finish the long journey toward inflation normalization, but we believe that policy rates are likely at or near their peaks—and could be maintained at elevated levels for some time. In an environment of slowing growth, restrictive monetary policy and rising idiosyncratic risk, we favor shorter durations, quality and a focus on security selection.
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White papersThe View From the Peak
Despite hawkish policymakers and very mixed economic data, the approaching plateau in rates brings more clarity and conviction to our fixed income views.
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White papersFrom Climate Stress Testing to Climate Value-at-Risk: A Stochastic Approach
This paper proposes a comprehensive climate stress testing approach to measure the impact of transition risk on investment portfolios. Unlike most climate stress testing models, which are designed for the banking industry and follow a top-down approach, our framework considers a bottom-up approach and is mainly relevant for the asset management industry.
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White papersInsurance Fixed Income Outlook: Transition to more liquid assets
European Insurance companies started 2023 with high solvency ratios and a good outlook to improve their underlying profitability thanks to strong rate increases in reinsurance, and commercial P&C, while 2022 prices increases in retail P&C are slowly mitigating inflation.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - Third Quarter 2023
Steadfast global resilience to recession highlighted the quarter, although the outlook hasn’t necessarily improved. But with labor markets tight and wages keeping pace with inflation, consumers are navigating the economy’s rough patches. Still, we expect growth to slow in time.
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White papersFixed-Income Midyear Outlook: Surfing Lessons
Surf’s up! Elevated yields and negative correlations are good news for bond investors. We share strategies for making the most of today’s opportunities.
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White papersFarmland’s inflation-hedging characteristics
A comprehensive analysis of different crop types’ performance in an inflationary environment.
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White papersUK real estate: half-year health check
It’s been a volatile 12 months in UK real estate. The speed and extent of the capital market repricing, -25% from June 2022’s peak through to February 2023’s trough, was more severe than we saw during from 2007-09 during the global financial crisis.
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VideoThe European living sector
Shortage of supply and too much ageing, poor-quality existing stock, is creating a rare opportunity for institutional capital to help boost supply, improve existing assets and earn investors an attractive, inflation-linked return while having a positive social impact.
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White papersGoing Back to Base
In the face of conflicting signals from our short- and medium-term outlooks, our Asset Allocation Committee is adopting more neutral views.
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White papersThree Reasons Why the Fixed Income Environment May Be Better Than You Think
While there are a number of risks creating volatility and unease across the market, there are also reasons to believe that today’s fixed income markets offer a range of compelling opportunities.
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White papersGlobal Risks 2023 – Mid-Year Review
Since our last global risks update in January, we believe risks have increased, on balance.
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White papersThe CRE Industry’s Race to Net Zero: Implications of the Inflation Reduction Act Incentives
Sustainable development goals have become a greater priority for the commercial real estate (CRE) industry since the 2015 United Nations (U.N.) Paris Agreement established a global net zero goal (NZG) by 2050.
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White papersSecular Outlook 2023 - Asset class return forecasts for the next five years
Securing single-digit annual returns from a diversified portfolio could prove an unusually complex task in the next five years, largely because of volatile inflation and more muscular state intervention.
