All Inflation articles – Page 17
-
PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Divergences persist as we head into autumn
For many, September has a back to school feel about it after a long break and is often the chance for a bit of a refresh. This summer, markets certainly weren’t on holiday, as August saw corrections and volatility, whilst there was also further softening in economic data, particularly in Europe and China.
-
White papersReal Estate House View - United Kingdom, Second half-year 2023
The latest CFO Survey by Deloitte reports early signs that the labour market is beginning to cool.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2023
”The current asymmetric risk/return profile doesn’t call for increasing risks. Instead, investors should stay balanced and search for signals regarding confirmation of the economic direction.”
-
White papersNavigating by Flashes of Lightning
Central banks may be reluctant to hike further, but as long as they tie themselves to incoming data their hands may be forced.
-
White papersIs the U.S. Economy Meaningfully Reaccelerating?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
-
White papersCIO views: ideas for ‘back-to-school’ returns
As Q3 progresses and many children return to classrooms after the holidays, our CIOs present their ‘back-to-school’ investment outlooks. Even as long-term investment trends continue to play out – the environmental transition, higher-for-longer interest rates, a greater cost of capital and demographic change – there is client demand for performance in the shorter term. What tactical exposures can investors implement to improve returns in the next six months?
-
White papersStrike (Big) 3?
A potential U.S. auto strike has significant implications for the economy, earnings and inflation.
-
White papersIs China falling into deflation?
China’s headline consumer price index fell by 0.3% year-on-year in July to register deflation for the first time in two years. This figure raised concerns that falling prices would lead consumers to delay spending in an already weakening economy. However, in our view, the data is not a harbinger for prolonged deflation.
-
White papersNot all yield-curve steepenings are alike
End-of-cycle periods come and go, and they all tend to resemble each other. Inflation that exceeds central-bank targets legitimises increases in short rates, leading to long rates rising in anticipation. This opens the door to the prospect of different kinds of ‘steepenings’. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we investigate the current outlook for the yield curve.
-
White papersDeals delayed and crowded trades…. but can investors still find value in infrastructure debt
Private infrastructure debt still offers a broad spectrum of opportunities, but investors face complex challenges. In this Q&A, our infrastructure debt team contemplate the current state of the market and where it goes from here.
-
Asset Manager NewsGARBE PYRAMID-MAP: Logistics Yields Have Almost bottomed out, Rental Growth Continues at Lower Dynamic
The investment market remained in its shock-frozen state during the first half of 2023 after the inflation rate and subsequent interest rate adjustments had significantly altered the parameters for the real estate industry within a very short period of time.
-
White papersWhy invest in agriculture now?
The solid fundamentals supporting farmland as an asset class remain. Now, new advances are sustainably increasing farmland yields while creating additional income streams.
-
White papersCould inflation surprises unsettle markets?
There is an old investment adage that says: “buy the rumor and sell the news”. Markets tend to try to anticipate forthcoming data such as inflation numbers, with investors building positions ahead of time based on their expectations. Once the outcome is confirmed, investors take profits (or cut losses) by exiting positions.
-
White papersWhat if Everything’s Going to Be OK?
Falling inflation, recovering growth, relaxed central bankers—how one of the most widely forecast recessions in history failed to happen.
-
White papersNotes from the Road…or the Boarding Gate
This short note draws out common themes from our recent conversations and meetings with clients across the US, Canada, Europe and the Middle East. The questions we were asked ranged from monetary policy and inflation to strategic asset allocation, the impact of artificial intelligence and market liquidity.
-
White papersPATRIZIA H1 2023 financial results: Resilient AUM but EBITDA impacted by muted market environment
PATRIZIA, a leading partner for global real assets, today published its H1 2023 financial results. PATRIZIA’s operating business was impacted by an environment of continued market uncertainty, high inflation and rising financing costs in the first half of the year.
-
White papersU.S. Economic Monthly: Consumers Keep At It
MIM now expects a recession to begin in 2024.
-
PodcastOuterblue Talks Research – Parallels with the 70s. The long and winding road continues
Whilst fashion trends regularly make come-backs, revivals in economic trends are a lot less frequent. The double-digit inflation rates seen over the past two years have left many wondering whether other hallmarks of the 1970s are also due for a return and what can be learnt from previous missteps as we transition to a new economic model.
-
White papersJuly CPI report: The case for a September Fed pause is building
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to make meaningful progress toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
-
White papersOnwards or upwards?
The US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to reach a 22-year high this week.
