All Inflation articles – Page 12
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White papersWhat inflation will cost the UK
In the UK, the significant upside surprises in core inflation for April and May, as well as accelerating private sector wages, signal that the risk of a wage-price spiral is gaining momentum.
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White papersSecular Outlook 2023 - Asset class return forecasts for the next five years
Securing single-digit annual returns from a diversified portfolio could prove an unusually complex task in the next five years, largely because of volatile inflation and more muscular state intervention.
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VideoSecular Outlook 2023 – Asset class convictions for the next five years
Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management, explains what may drive financial markets over the next five years
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Podcast2023 Midyear Outlook: Allview Face-off Roundtable
Members of Allspring’s Systematic Edge team, Plus Fixed Income team, and Discovery Growth Equity team share their predictions for the markets and beyond in the second half of 2023.
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White papers2023 Mid-Year Investment Perspectives
Financial markets have been surprisingly resilient this year, despite stubborn inflation, further rate hikes and bank failures. As we move into the second half of 2023, the impact of higher interest rates and the uncertain economic backdrop are likely to remain key concerns for investors.
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White papersA forced hand: market snapshot
The Bank of England hiked rates for the 13th consecutive time on Thursday, amid worse-than-expected UK inflation data.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: global themes
Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and the United States. Even though inflation is still well above central bank targets, markets expect policy rates to be near their peaks. As central banks retain credibility, most measures of inflation expectations remain anchored.
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White papersMid-year outlook 2023: key convictions for H2 2023
“Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass for navigating this phase.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year outlook 2023
“A central bank pause supports the case for bonds. Investors will have to assess the inflation path and the earnings outlook moving into 2024, in the search for opportunities in equities.”
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White papersNever Stop Learning
Jon Baranko and Dan Morris, Allspring’s chief investment officers, describe their insights from the first half of 2023 and share their outlook for investing in the second half of the year.
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White papersA Balancing Act: Fixed income playbook for 2H 2023
Many bond investors are looking for less volatility and more predictable returns. Five of Allspring’s fixed income leaders explain five key strategies they think bond investors should focus on going forward.
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White papersIs China’s reopening lifting the global economic cycle?
The current macro situation is puzzling. The three main economic regions are exhibiting three very different trajectories: the US is decelerating, China is recovering and the Eurozone is showing remarkable resilience.
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White papers2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay
”The many challenges that lie ahead will likely lead to high volatility in the global cycle, in terms of growth and inflation. To weather such an uncertain period a more dynamic asset allocation framework is needed.”
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White papersWhy R-star may rise, and its implications for rates and policy
R-star is the real interest rate that is neither expansionary nor contractionary when the economy is at full employment. If the central bank sets its policy rate below R-star, then its monetary policy position is accommodative. The Fed currently believes R-star is about 0.5%, which is significantly lower than the Fed’s calculation of 2% a decade ago.
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White papersRethinking Fixed Income investing: Unorthodox portfolio construction in uncertain times
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income: We think the market is being overly optimistic in terms of their inflation expectations and are beginning to account for a change in the US Federal Reserve policy.
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BlogA Most Hawkish Hike by the ECB
The ECB’s June rate hike and its confirmation of a faster balance sheet reduction were in line with expectations. However, President Lagarde’s decidedly more hawkish tone was a surprise.
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White papersCan We Refocus on Fundamentals Now?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersA hawkish hold as the best outcome for asset prices
The Fed decided to leave the federal funds target rate unchanged, a hawkish hold that provides the flexibility to hike again if needed—or adopt a more dovish outlook should growth and inflation data warrant that approach.
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White papersDecoding success in Fixed Income: The power of security selection
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income believes there will be no Fed rate cuts this year but global central banks must continue to be vigilant, and expects a short, shallow recession in the United States and the euro area. Fixed Income Views presents the team’s third-quarter 2023 outlook.
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White papersSchroders Capital Global Real Estate Lens June 2023: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
