All Inflation articles – Page 12
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt: Cautiously Optimistic
Buoyed by a drop in 10-year Treasury yields, moderating inflation, and an economy that continues to chug along, emerging markets debt has entered 2024 on an upbeat note.
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White papersThe (Still) Compelling Case for Broadly Syndicated Loans
Even as the rate-hiking cycle looks close to its end, loans look well-positioned for strong performance in the year ahead, due largely to the high contractual income on offer.
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White papersWhat’s Shaping the Value-Add Opportunity in European Real Estate?
While investing in European real estate still poses challenges, attractive value opportunities are emerging as we approach a cyclical bottom.
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White papersA Snapshot of Asset Allocators’ Views
We spent several days in late January with a group of Chief Investment Officers and senior asset allocators. This was useful both as a way to hear the key concerns for a significant group of investors and as an opportunity to think about what one might do in response.
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PodcastInsurance in an Inflationary Age
With rising premiums and inflationary pressures, the insurance industry faces significant challenges.
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White papersCapital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Eurozone: Looking ahead to ECB action
Consumer and business confidence appear to be taking a turn for the better in the eurozone as inflation falls and expectations for interest rate cuts rise. These could help the economy avoid a significant recession.
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White papersNet-zero equities: resilience in an uncharted transition
The year 2023 in some ways brought a return to normality: slowing inflation, stabilising interest rates and, to some extent, more stable energy prices than in 2022. These positive developments fueled the strong performance of equity markets.
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White papersIs the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
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White papersHistory lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
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White papersFirst Quarter 2024 Market Outlook
PGIM Fixed Income’s First Quarter 2024 Market Outlook
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White papersNow may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
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White papersWill Hawks Still Rule the Roost at Europe’s Central Banks?
As European inflation rates converge with targets, markets expect rate cuts. But central banks are set on a decisive victory over inflation.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2024
After two years of aggressive tightening, global central banks pivoted in December. We expect some growth in the coming quarters, albeit subdued compared to history. With inflation easing, most global economies are off to a good start for the year. Yet, things can, and do, change quickly.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - January 2024
Recent Q4 2023 inflation data in the Euro Area, UK and US, on net have surprised on the downside, with year-over-year (YoY) rates of headline inflation now standing at 2.9%, 3.9%, 3.4% respectively, prompting expectations of a faster than expected reversion to target.
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White papersEurope: time for fiscal consolidation
The public finances of Eurozone countries began to improve in 2023 and fiscal consolidation will intensify in most Eurozone countries during 2024. Still, fiscal vulnerability – particularly for the most heavily-indebted countries – will rise over time, leading to a higher probability that public debt will not stabilise. The aim of the new fiscal rules is to ensure the longterm sustainability of public finances, but funding for the green transition could suffer.
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White papers2024: A year to be active in infrastructure
Despite initial fears of recession and volatility in 2023 due to high rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, global equity markets returned an incredible 20% for the year overall.
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White papersJobs and inflation on market’s radar
Like in 2023, inflation figures will remain, in 2024, an important driver of market’s expectations regarding Fed rates decisions. Inflation has come down by a lot, but it is still above 2% and the latest reading shows a slowdown in the disinflationary trend.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
