All Inflation articles – Page 9
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White papersThe Structural Trends, Whoever Wins
Positioning for geopolitical shocks or election results is difficult, but we think the resulting structural trends are easier to identify and prepare for.
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White papersUS consumer price pressures are subsiding
“Declining US inflation is positive for US bonds, and investors should also keep a global approach to potentially benefit from attractive yields elsewhere, including in emerging markets.”
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White papersAsset-Based Finance: Private Credit’s Key Diversifier
Private capital is increasingly being used to finance consumer spending.
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White papersCyclical, structural, vintage: The outlook for real estate equity
High inflation and rising rates hit activity in real estate markets over the past year. But cautious optimism is now returning to the investment landscape in the UK and Europe, say Imogen Ebbs and George Fraser-Harding.
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White papersEconomic Monthly: Flying Blind
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) has reduced the pace of quantitative tightening (QT), the European Central Bank (ECB), and potentially even the Bank of England (BoE), could begin cuts as soon as next month, and the dot plot shows the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting rates later this year.
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White papersFundraising in infrastructure - A return to the market buzz
Sentiment for infrastructure was muted in 2023. Although very few investors we spoke to were outright negative on the asset class, most have taken a “wait and see” approach, especially given the denominator effect.
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White papersFixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - May 2024
Monthly Cross Asset - Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2024
“We expect 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024 as monetary policy remains restrictive, growth will slow down, and inflation data do not alter our projections.”
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White papersIMF spring meeting take-aways: short-term resilience, but no reacceleration in the mid term
In recent months, the IMF and other economic forecasters have raised their growth projections for 2024. The April World Economic Outlook showed revisions (+0.3% Global) that primarily affected the US, China and Emerging Markets (EM). These revisions were based on expectations of less economic scarring from the recent crisis, insufficient fiscal adjustment supporting short-term growth and less effective monetary policy transmission compared to the past.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2024
Topic of the Month: IMF spring meeting take-aways: short-term resilience, but no reacceleration in the mid term
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Bright spots in a trickier phase?
The uncertainties faced by financial markets over the recent months have been making forecaster’s lives difficult. The two big questions over growth and inflation continue to preoccupy. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, discuss what’s been catching their attention over the past month and how these factors are influencing projections.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - May 2024
Recent inflation and growth data from the US indicates continued strength in the economy, leading us and various institutions including the IMF to revise up US growth. We see the current strong momentum to continue into Q2 but expect a deceleration in H2, without negative growth in any quarter.
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White papersParadigm shift: market snapshot
Stronger-than-forecast US economic reads and hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve have brought rate-cut hopes crashing to earth.
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PodcastMaking Dollars and Sense: The Critical Role of Financial Literacy
As April marks Financial Literacy month, we recognize that budding investors are facing a backdrop of economic uncertainties and the ever-growing complexities of financial markets.
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White papersGrowth is local, inflation is global
An unexpectedly high US inflation report for March suggests that the Federal Reserve may turn less accommodative and postpone interest rate cuts. However, there is an aspect of inflation that may not be widely appreciated: its relative disconnection from local influences. In this week’s Simply put, we explore how significant the global trend of disinflation may be for the Fed.
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White papersAsia-Pacific real estate market outlook Q2 2024
We expect near-term capital returns to remain under pressure, despite the prospect of rate cuts in 2024.
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White papersEuropean real estate market outlook Q2 2024
The outlook for European direct real estate returns is improving each quarter
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White papersWith trillions looking to come off the subs bench is this the year of the bond?
After an aggressive global rate hiking cycle trillions of dollars are poised to re-enter the market once central banks begin to ease, but risks still remain. The fixed income experts discuss generating returns despite market noise, including taking advantage of the expanding corporate bond market.
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White papersWhat is making the gold market run so hot?
An intriguing recent development in financial markets is the surge in gold prices. It is particularly striking given that gold did little to protect investors from the effects of accelerating inflation over the past two years. So why rally now? A complex interplay of known and potentially unknown factors makes the gold rally fascinating to analyse – and we focus on the metal in this week’s Simply put.
