All Inflation articles – Page 9
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White papers
Could inflation surprises unsettle markets?
There is an old investment adage that says: “buy the rumor and sell the news”. Markets tend to try to anticipate forthcoming data such as inflation numbers, with investors building positions ahead of time based on their expectations. Once the outcome is confirmed, investors take profits (or cut losses) by exiting positions.
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White papers
What if Everything’s Going to Be OK?
Falling inflation, recovering growth, relaxed central bankers—how one of the most widely forecast recessions in history failed to happen.
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White papers
Notes from the Road…or the Boarding Gate
This short note draws out common themes from our recent conversations and meetings with clients across the US, Canada, Europe and the Middle East. The questions we were asked ranged from monetary policy and inflation to strategic asset allocation, the impact of artificial intelligence and market liquidity.
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White papers
PATRIZIA H1 2023 financial results: Resilient AUM but EBITDA impacted by muted market environment
PATRIZIA, a leading partner for global real assets, today published its H1 2023 financial results. PATRIZIA’s operating business was impacted by an environment of continued market uncertainty, high inflation and rising financing costs in the first half of the year.
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White papers
U.S. Economic Monthly: Consumers Keep At It
MIM now expects a recession to begin in 2024.
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Podcast
Outerblue Talks Research – Parallels with the 70s. The long and winding road continues
Whilst fashion trends regularly make come-backs, revivals in economic trends are a lot less frequent. The double-digit inflation rates seen over the past two years have left many wondering whether other hallmarks of the 1970s are also due for a return and what can be learnt from previous missteps as we transition to a new economic model.
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White papers
July CPI report: The case for a September Fed pause is building
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to make meaningful progress toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
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White papers
GCC/MENA Bond Market Update: Stress in financial sectors as we seem to enter a peak rate environment
Fixed income markets remained volatile in July. A cautious US Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps), pushing the cost of borrowing to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%, the highest level in 22 years, and Fed chair Jay Powell suggested there could be further hikes ahead.
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White papers
Onwards or upwards?
The US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to reach a 22-year high this week.
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White papers
The 60/40 portfolio: Regaining its appeal - Quick takes on capital markets
With rising stock/bond correlations reducing diversification benefits, the 60/40 portfolio suffered a historically bad run in 2022.
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Podcast
Opportunities in Structured Products
Jin Im, associate portfolio manager for the Investment Grade Fixed Income team at Allspring Global Investments, and Rob Absey, head of Insurance Solutions, discuss structured products, often referred to as securitized assets or securitized products, and the value and importance these assets can have in overall investment portfolios.
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White papers
Sunshine in the U.S.—For Now
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papers
The End of the Great Moderation: Forecasting in Elevated Uncertainty
In a global environment with more complexity and uncertainty, we have adopted a probabilistic, scenario-based approach to forecasting macroeconomic and market outcomes.
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White papers
How renewable energy investments can help manage the risks facing DC members
2022 highlighted several risks for defined contribution pensions (DC), many of which could have been addressed by renewable energy investments. We explain how.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 2023
Optimism was definitely behind the respectable performance registered by risky assets in the last quarter. However, the economic backdrop does not look overly positive. On the price levels side, US headline inflation is receding, although the core measure - more important for monetary policy decisions - is proving to be stickier. The latest European and UK inflation numbers signal that price growth is cooling.
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White papers
Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papers
Emerging market resilience paves the way for new opportunities
Resilience and a growth advantage over developed markets make emerging countries an attractive destination for the second half of the year. The effects of monetary tightening are seeping through to the real economy, contributing to lacklustre growth, particularly in developed economies.
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White papers
Macro Perspectives: A changing inflation and growth climate
Our economists discuss what’s in store for investors in the second half of 2023 in our latest Macro Perspectives. Although inflation will continue to be an issue for the next 6–12 months and the global economic recovery is uneven, we believe there are opportunities ahead.
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White papers
The role of real assets in today’s investment landscape
The market is pricing a rapid return to low and stable inflation. Supply-side risks threaten those expectations and heighten the attractiveness of real assets.
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White papers
Fed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.