All Inflation articles – Page 9
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White papers
Global Investment Views - October 2023
“Markets have not priced in the risks related to the credit cycle, volatility in inflation figures (to the upside and downside), and any kind of landing for the US economy. We maintain our quality bias.”
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White papers
Fixed Income: What’s next for gilts and the United Kingdom?
Gilt prices have been struggling this past year due to surging inflation and interest-rate increases. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Head of European Fixed Income, shares his outlook for the UK economy and why he thinks now is a good time to consider investing in gilts.
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White papers
2023 4Q GIC outlook: Stay in the game
Global Investment Committee: Bringing together the most senior investors from across our platform of core and specialist capabilities, including all public and private markets
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White papers
Inside Real Estate Outlook: Waiting for Godot
In Samuel Beckett’s play “Waiting for Godot”, two characters engage in an endless discussion while awaiting the titular Godot who never arrives. A similar parallel appears to beset global investors waiting for central bankers to signal the end of monetary tightening.
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White papers
A formidable friend in turbulent times
Infrastructure debt is now an established alternative asset class. While it broadly refers to the debt component of an infrastructure asset’s or company’s capital structure, it is by no means homogeneous, with the market covering a range of sub-sectors and risk profiles.
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White papers
Multi asset: what do macro and market signals tell us?
We may be in a late phase of the economic cycle and the investment backdrop remains in flux. As many children globally head ‘back-to-school’ in September, our multi-asset team drills into what the data mean and which asset classes are showing more positive signals.
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White papers
European sale-leaseback: an attractive investment opportunity in today’s uncertain market
The European sale-leaseback (“SLB”) market is a large,yet relatively untapped market, that has the potential to offer the kind of stable, inflation-linked returns that may appeal to institutional investors in today’s uncertain environment.
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White papers
Political Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papers
The BoE’s “Table Mountain” Approach Sees Rates Highest for Longest
The Bank of England kept its Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% on September 21, 2023. The UK’s economic backdrop is weak, so we believe that the BoE will keep interest rates at this level for the near future.
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White papers
Fed Holds Rates—Is This It?
At its September meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), as expected, left its federal funds target rate unchanged, at 5.25%–5.50%.
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White papers
Peter Harrison: The City needs to embrace risk
Proposals to overhaul listings rules are a step in the right direction but much more work needs to be done.
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White papers
SDG Engagement Equity Report, H1 2023
In this report, we outline our engagement activity for the first six months of 2023. During the period, we once again put emphasis on the role companies can play in supporting their employees.
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White papers
Euro-denominated short duration – only upside from here?
The ECB is at or near the end of its historic monetary tightening cycle. From this point, we believe investors in euro-denominated short duration debt may well stand to benefit – whatever happens next.
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White papers
The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support fades
The Eurozone economy has stagnated over the last three quarters, although growth in the second quarter was marginally positive due to strong idiosyncratic growth in one or two smaller countries.
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White papers
The ECB Delivers a (Final?) Dovish Hike
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 4.0% today, an all-time high since the launch of the euro. It cited uncomfortably high headline inflation of more than 5% as the key driver of its decision. Higher interest rates signal concern among ECB policymakers that underlying inflation could become embedded. That would make it harder to get back to the Bank’s 2% target.
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White papers
Infrastructure debt remains resilient in the face of macro headwinds
In an article originally published by Private Debt Investor magazine, Schoders Capital’s Damien Gardes talks inflation protection and rate rise benefits for infrastructure debt in this Q&A.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Divergences persist as we head into autumn
For many, September has a back to school feel about it after a long break and is often the chance for a bit of a refresh. This summer, markets certainly weren’t on holiday, as August saw corrections and volatility, whilst there was also further softening in economic data, particularly in Europe and China.
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White papers
Commercial real estate outlook: There’s a storm on the horizon. Then what?
Benefit Street Partners believe the reduction in traditional bank lending capacity will likely create many attractive opportunities both to acquire deeply discounted loans and to lend on high-quality properties.
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White papers
Fixed Income Views: Soft landing? Central banks trying to thread the needle
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income no longer projects a technical recession in the United States, and the trajectory of disinflation in both the United States and euro area will flatten—primarily due to wage pressures stemming from record low unemployment—and central banks are thus likely to keep rates higher for longer. Fixed Income Views presents the team’s fourth-quarter 2023 outlook.
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White papers
Real Estate House View - United Kingdom, Second half-year 2023
The latest CFO Survey by Deloitte reports early signs that the labour market is beginning to cool.