All Inflation articles – Page 8
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2025
Markets: a tug of war between inflation fears and optimism
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White papersU.S. Housing Chartbook
The U.S. consumer remains strong on the back of a healthy labor market and inflation is moving back to target, albeit slowly.
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White papersFiscal expansion fears loom over debt markets
Ballooning public debt is forcing many countries to overhaul fiscal rules, which could have a significant impact on credit markets in the months ahead.
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White papersNavigating interest rate uncertainty on the bond market during a second Trump term
US bond rates are a significant risk driver for institutional investors such as pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds who typically invest roughly 30% of their allocations into bonds and other fixed income classes. With Trump’s election win, we must navigate the potential impacts of his policies on the bond market. Given the contradictory nature of his suggested policies, we see the potential for a new level of interest rate uncertainty driven by a mix of inflationary and growth pressures causing increased volatility in the bond market.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in EM, especially given continued disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to ease rates throughout the year. However, the incoming US administration poses several risks to EMs.
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White papersAre We Any Clearer About Trump 2.0?
Were 26 executive orders enough to convey the new administration’s direction and resolve the uncertainties in our outlook?
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White papersFixed Income: Be Prepared for Policy-Driven Volatility
In the wake of electoral shifts, policy changes could add to market turbulence, creating new risks but also opportunities.
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PodcastFixed Income Moves in 2025
As the United States embarks on a new administration, markets eagerly prepare for what is to come regarding domestic policy, international policy, tariffs, and geopolitics. But how will the Fixed Income asset class move through these new pathways? What factors are at play regarding fiscal and monetary policy? And how can investors prepare for the year ahead?
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White papersWhat does Trump 2.0 mean for Paris-aligned investing?
US President Donald Trump’s signal to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement for a second time is disappointing. The US reached peak greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2007 and has been on a declining path since. While a second Trump administration could be viewed as – and is likely to be – a setback for the global decarbonisation effort, we should remember that this is a four-year election cycle, and the incumbent is now restricted to a single term in the White House.
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White papersNotes From the Road: Investor Views at the Start of ‘25
We started this year by engaging in discussions with a large number of CIOs and allocators. In this short note, we reflect on key common messages that came out of those discussions, points of consensus and important open questions for the outlook.
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White papersNavigating the Tides of Political Transition
As a new administration takes the helm, we believe investors should stay focused on the economic metrics, not political theatrics.
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White papersTimberland - Resilience, opportunity amid economic uncertainty
The investment landscape as we enter 2025 remains colored by economic uncertainty, geopolitical risk, inflationary pressures, high interest rates, volatile capital markets, and the unknown future of global trade policy.
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White papersOutlook 2025 - Plan for growth, prepare for volatility
2025 is shaping up to be another good year for investor returns, with healthy global GDP growth likely to support earnings, and falling interest rates putting mild upward pressure on valuation multiples. Explore our key macroeconomic views and the asset class implications across infrastructure, real estate, equities, and credit markets for the year ahead.
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White papersTrump’s first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025
With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on his promises. Wasting no time, Trump has unleashed a whirlwind of executive actions across a variety of policy focus areas, though many are likely to be challenged in court.
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White papersThe Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papersFixed income perspectives 1Q 2025: Finding opportunities in a dynamic global environment
Fixed income markets are navigating diverging central bank approaches, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors. With elevated yields, robust credit fundamentals, and selective opportunities across asset classes, fixed income offers an attractive landscape heading into the new year.
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White papersTrump 2.0: Back to the Future?
By the end of this month, President Trump will enter the White House for his second term with an economic backdrop quite different from that of his first term. While the policies he advocates for are of a similar style this time around, the entirely different economic situation mean that those policies may have a different effect than they would have had in his first term.
