All Inflation articles – Page 6
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White papersBeyond emerging markets: unlocking benefits of frontier local currency debt
Frontier local currency debt is among the most overlooked corners of the global fixed income market, yet it offers a rare mix of diversification, yield, and - contrary to popular belief - relatively low volatility. Building on the familiar case for emerging market debt, frontier markets take investors a step further into smaller, less crowded economies that remain far off the radar of most global allocators. Few are better positioned for this challenge than Aktia’s Emerging Markets team, which has been managing the Aktia EM Frontier Bond+ strategy for nearly a decade.
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White papersEM debt: Cautious confidence in a shifting landscape
As we enter the final quarter of 2025, emerging market (EM) debt continues to demonstrate resilience against a complex global backdrop. Despite rising policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and evolving trade dynamics, EM debt has largely outperformed other fixed income asset classes so far this year. In this note, we evaluate the drivers behind EM debt’s strong returns, assess the sustainability of current trends, and outline the key risks and opportunities for the remainder of the year.
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White papersInvesting amid era-defining tech change and an expensive U.S. dollar
TIAA shares their outlook on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle, strategic positioning amid dollar headwinds, and emerging opportunities driven by AI’s transformative impact on energy infrastructure and data centers, while navigating geopolitical risks and real estate recovery in an era of innovation and uncertainty.
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White papersInflation or employment? The Fed makes its choice
The scales have tipped in the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) long-running balancing act between taming inflation and promoting full employment. With September’s quarter-point interest rate cut, the first such move in nine months, Fed officials appear to have made the labour market a key concern.
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White papersMacro brief: What to expect next from the European Central Bank
Greater-than-expected economic resilience in Europe has led our Capital Strategy Research (CSR) team to revise expectations around the European Central Bank (ECB) in the short term.
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White papersFed delivers a cut, signals more as growth momentum fades
The Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut and updated projections signal a more accommodative monetary policy ahead, with policymakers now expecting twice as many rate cuts this year as previously anticipated. This shifting environment creates new investment opportunities across multiple asset classes, including shorter-duration fixed income, real estate, equities, and municipal bonds that investors should consider as the Fed continues its easing cycle.
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White papersECB treads cautiously
The ECB kept policy rates unchanged at its September meeting, emphasising a data-dependent approach before deciding on further rate cuts.
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White papersEM debt: Cautious confidence in a shifting landscape
As we enter the final quarter of 2025, emerging market (EM) debt continues to demonstrate resilience against a complex global backdrop.
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White papersSeptember ECB meeting: The end of the easing cycle… maybe?
The ECB kept rates unchanged in September, hinting the easing cycle may be ending as inflation slows and growth stabilizes, though risks from U.S. trade tensions and fiscal pressures linger.
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WebinarAutumn: A Season of Change? Navigating Economic Winds
During this webinar, our experts Vincent Mortier, Group Chief Investment Officer, and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute & Chief Strategist, shared insights on navigating economic changes in autumn, moderated by Swaha Pattanaik, Head of Publishing and Digital Strategy at Amundi Investment Institute.
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PodcastCalm waves mask shifting undercurrents - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
While Europe headed to the beach, journalists were kept busy with the newsflow out of the US this summer, as central bank independence, new tariff announcements and foreign affairs negotiations continued to make headlines.
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White papersMacro Monthly The Fed: Now and Later
It’s not easy to be Chair Powell – or any Federal Open Market Committee member – right now. Tariffs and slower immigration have put the dual mandate in tension, forcing judgment calls about how to balance labor-market downside against inflation and inflation expectations upside. At the same time, intense pressure from the Trump administration to ease aggressively – including threats and actions to remove FOMC members – raises risks to individuals in the near term and, over time, to the institution’s independence and credibility.
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White papersHow far does the Fed’s influence extend?
Not all points of the yield curve respond equally to Federal Reserve rate cuts.
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White papersThe Power of Embracing Competing Ideas
This year’s recommendation for vacation reading is a fascinating exploration of the sources of rising political polarization in the U.S. and how it can be addressed.
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White papersA spirited return to Asia and China: A multi-asset strategy could help manage risks and deliver more precise outcomes
While investors have seen highs and lows in trade tariff negotiations in the past few months, after selloffs from the initial shock, markets in China and more broadly Asia got back on track and have quietly delivered strong performance this year so far.
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White papersFed moving towards rate cuts
“The US Fed is carefully treading the policy path forward, given the mixed macro data. As signalled at the recently concluded Jackson Hole symposium, the central bank is likely to start cutting rates in September, in line with our expectations.”
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White papersRate cuts in focus: Diverging data and the politics of monetary policy
Markets are seeing mixed signals — weak payrolls and rising input-costs from tariffs suggest inflation could pick up, even while employment growth slows.
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White papersReal estate: the global opportunity
The original private markets asset class: how real estate is evolving and going global in institutional portfolios
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White papersFitting the Puzzle Pieces Together
A pivotal week for economic data, earnings, trade and tariffs has provided support for our constructive medium-term view on the fundamentals of risk markets, although the second half of 2025 will pose challenges with some anticipated softening in the economy and lingering uncertainties around inflation, policy and geopolitical risk.
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White papersWill the Fed Stay in the Monetary Policy Driver’s Seat?
Efforts to reduce the central bank’s autonomy would likely disrupt markets.
