All Inflation articles – Page 7
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White papersIs US job creation as strong as it looks?
The latest US inflation report showed signs of inflation falling at a slower pace than expected. Inflation data have disappointed twice in a row and are seemingly consistent with firm US employment and wage growth. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we consider what constitutes a strong employment report and how expectations are coloured by what many market participants consider to be normal.
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White papersThe key drivers of 10-year US Treasury yields
Deconstructing 10-year UST drivers and the direction they could take in 2024
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White papersLife Sciences beyond borders
High interest rates, cooling venture capital and an oversupplied market – will the UK follow the path of the US Life Sciences real estate market
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White papersInflation and Consumer Sentiment
U.S. consumer sentiment has defied predictions of excess savings running dry, but do hotter inflation data pose a risk?
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White papersSun setting on the tightening cycle
The Fed has removed its tightening bias, opening the door to rate cuts.
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White papersUS Inflation surprise on the Fed radar
The January inflation data in the US is not totally reassuring for the Fed. While goods prices continue to slow down, core services inflation is picking up, notably in Shelters, Medical care, and Education & Communication.
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White papersThe fight against inflation enters extra time
Despite closing in on their inflation targets, US and European central bankers appear hesitant to cut rates. Jonathan Gregory explores the differing drivers behind this, as well as the overall implications for bond markets.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - February 2024
Disruption in the Red Sea is prompting speculation around inflationary shocks just as in the Covid era So, what differs today from the post Covid experience to make the impact more micro than macro and more regional and sector specific than global?
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - February 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 2 February 2024
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White papersPrivate Equity Outlook - 2024
“Going into 2024, we believe the record-high dry powder reserves suggest potential for significant PE activity as values slowly recover and conditions improve…”
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt: Cautiously Optimistic
Buoyed by a drop in 10-year Treasury yields, moderating inflation, and an economy that continues to chug along, emerging markets debt has entered 2024 on an upbeat note.
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White papersThe (Still) Compelling Case for Broadly Syndicated Loans
Even as the rate-hiking cycle looks close to its end, loans look well-positioned for strong performance in the year ahead, due largely to the high contractual income on offer.
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White papersWhat’s Shaping the Value-Add Opportunity in European Real Estate?
While investing in European real estate still poses challenges, attractive value opportunities are emerging as we approach a cyclical bottom.
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White papersA Snapshot of Asset Allocators’ Views
We spent several days in late January with a group of Chief Investment Officers and senior asset allocators. This was useful both as a way to hear the key concerns for a significant group of investors and as an opportunity to think about what one might do in response.
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PodcastInsurance in an Inflationary Age
With rising premiums and inflationary pressures, the insurance industry faces significant challenges.
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White papersCapital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Eurozone: Looking ahead to ECB action
Consumer and business confidence appear to be taking a turn for the better in the eurozone as inflation falls and expectations for interest rate cuts rise. These could help the economy avoid a significant recession.
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White papersNet-zero equities: resilience in an uncharted transition
The year 2023 in some ways brought a return to normality: slowing inflation, stabilising interest rates and, to some extent, more stable energy prices than in 2022. These positive developments fueled the strong performance of equity markets.
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White papersIs the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
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White papersHistory lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
