All Inflation articles – Page 7
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White papersMr. Trump Goes to Washington
The new U.S. administration has promised many pro-growth policies, but can those ambitions survive the disruptive measures of its early months?
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White papersFebruary CPI report: Not yet in the clear
The February CPI print was lower than expected, with the monthly increase in both headline and core CPI the smallest since late 2024, bringing annual numbers down to 2.8% and 3.1%, respectively. The inflation report will likely deliver a temporary reprieve for markets that have been recently focused on increased stagflation risks.
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White papersA Higher Inflation Future and the Need for Real Assets
The risk of higher equilibrium inflation is a key marker of the notion that investors face a new regime. Recent policy announcements have lent more weight to the idea that the path of inflation might be upward. In this note we focus on the disparate forces that imply a higher long-term level of inflation.
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White papersMarch ECB meeting: Data dependence in a world of uncertainty
As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its policy rates today for the sixth time in this cycle, marking its fifth straight cut. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility, and the deposit facility were each lowered by 25 basis points to 2.65%, 2.90%, and 2.50%, respectively.
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White papersWatch the US dollar and Treasury yields to understand the potential effects of tariffs
Move beyond the headline noise to assess the investment implications
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2025
In February, the markets have shown that love is in the air: despite new tariff announcements, inflation risks, and the DeepSeek shakeup, positive market sentiment continues to prevail.
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White papers2025 Outlook for Latin America: subdued growth expected but several positives remain
Overall growth in Latin America (LatAm) is expected to be relatively sluggish in 2025, with headwinds for the region including a fiscal drag and potential disruptions to global trade under Trump 2.0. While Mexico and Brazil are facing a tougher year, Argentina is a positive outlier, with strong growth expected after two years of contraction, based on regulatory reforms and fiscal consolidation.
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White papersBond markets in focus amid growth concerns
“With tariff uncertainty affecting market expectations and consumer confidence, bonds are back as a key diversification* engine for global investors.”
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White papersReturn of the Sovereigns
With central banks poised for rate cuts, and fiscal sustainability sometimes called into question, where should fixed income investors be looking now? We explore the return of sovereigns, IG and HY credit as well as the evolving opportunities in EM. Join us as we breakdown the opportunities, risks and strategies.
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White papersO’Connor Global Multi-Strategy Alpha Monthly Letter: Exploring the impacts of demographic changes
With the prospect of continued higher rates, encompassing a key debate within the market, we see the topic of demographics worth exploring for this month’s letter. For years, a common narrative around demographics has been driven by the experience in Japan – that an aging population is deflationary and longer life expectancies lead to greater savings for retirement and push down the equilibrium interest rate.
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White papersShared BRICS money: basket currency or basket case?
There has been speculation that a desire to avoid using the US dollar might encourage the BRICS nations to adopt a gold-backed currency. But there are several questions to ask about such a proposal.
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White papersA Growth Mindset
For more than two years, inflation news was the prime mover of market prices; we think last week confirmed that a new dynamic is in play.
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VideoThe state of fixed income in 2025
Michael Goosay - Chief Investment Officer, Global Fixed Income
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White papersEMEA Investment grade examined – H1 2025
As inflation cooled, central banks transitioned from rate rises to a rate cutting cycle, monetary policies loosened and growth gradually slowed. Where do we see things going from here?
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White papersUS inflation surprises on the upside
“With persistent inflation and a resilient economy in the US, the Federal Reserve is in no rush to cut rates.”
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White papersThe Tariff Man Cometh…and Go-eth?
Are these levies just a negotiating tool, or an unorthodox revenue-raising scheme? The answer could determine how seriously investors should view them.
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White papersFixed Income prepares for a shiny new year
Bonds finished 2024 with positive returns, and we believe fixed income assets can continue to shine. Solid economic growth, sticky inflation and a slow pace of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts should keep shorter-term yields elevated. And relatively stable longer term rates mean higher yields can help build portfolio income and return potential. In this environment, we like well-diversified multisector and core plus bond strategies in particular.
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White papersFixed income outlook update: the market comes out swinging
The year started with some sharp moves in fixed income, with developments in terms of inflation trends and labour market conditions. So, how does this align with our broader fixed income outlook for the year?
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White papersTrump 2.0: Impact of tariffs on growth and inflation
The new Trump administration’s opening salvo in the trade war represents a significant shock to growth that could potentially plunge Mexico and Canada into a deep recession while exacerbating the malaise in China. If tariffs are implemented, U.S. growth would likely to be negatively impacted, and inflation could accelerate in the near-term. The greatest market risk likely lies in policy unpredictability, making diversification essential for managing portfolio risk and seizing investment opportunities.
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White papersThe opening salvo in Trump trade war two
Markets were recently rattled by three executive orders announcing tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China, marking an opening salvo of President Donald Trump’s trade war. With Europe likely next in line, uncertainty remains high—despite a 30-day delay on tariffs for Mexico and Canada—fueling further market volatility.
