All Inflation articles – Page 10
-
White papersHigh-wire act: Is it possible to quell inflation and to avoid a recession?
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England both opted to keep rates unchanged in their meetings this week.
-
White papersWhatever happened to the recession - and does it matter for bonds?
Despite interest rates being hiked to their highest level since the mid-2000s and a mini crisis in the US banking sector, the US and other developed market economies remain in relatively robust health. A recession has, so far, been avoided.
-
White papersHow to think about bonds in this new world
After the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008, investors reduced their allocation to bonds, and broadly remained underweight the asset class for more than a decade. In 2022, the long period of accommodative central bank policy came to an end as inflation accelerated.
-
White papersWill Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
-
White papersGlobal inflation: Have deflationary forces subsided?
Global inflation continues to gradually cool, helped by lower energy prices and the impact of tighter monetary conditions. However, getting inflation back to 2% on a sustained basis could prove more difficult and depend on whether longer-term deflationary forces are able to re-assert themselves.
-
White papersCIO autumn update: An AI inflection point
AI is one of several structural changes underway, to which we must adapt on behalf of our clients – and future generations.
-
White papersUK real estate: Performance after repricing?
The UK economy: Reduced drag - LGIM expects both the UK and the US to enter recession before the middle of 2024. This forecast positions LGIM at the lower end of consensus, although the absolute reduction in GDP expected is modest compared to previous recessionary periods.
-
White papersDon’t expect rates volatility to decline overnight
The volatility in interest rates has surged over the past two years as central banks have fought this long-lasting increase in inflation. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we explain how this risk evolution has significantly reshaped our asset allocation.
-
White papersRisks rise but markets hold steady
The conflict in Israel and Gaza has not moved markets… yet.
-
White papers360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
-
PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
Against the backdrop of recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, sat down earlier this week to discuss the big themes that are dominating markets.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2023
Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
-
White papersNo Regrets: The ECB Keeps Policy on Hold
Inflation in the euro area is falling and the economy is rapidly weakening. Against that background, the ECB kept rates on hold at its policy meeting on October 26.
-
White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
-
White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2023
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team.
-
White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
-
White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2023: Staying Airborne
Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for modest duration extension in the two- to seven-year range. Within credit, we favor enhancing quality and are finding particular value in securitized markets.
-
PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Dissecting the fallout from the gilt crisis
Just over a year has passed since the gilt market turmoil of September 2022, sparked by the UK government’s so-called ‘mini-budget’. The fallout from the crisis, as the pound fell and gilt yields spiked, prompted an emergency intervention by the Bank of England to restore orderly market conditions against a global backdrop of high inflation and rising interest rates. A significant change in asset class demand dynamics ensued as pension funds sought to meet collateral calls for their LDI mandates.
-
White papersRates, repricing and relative value: The outlook for multi-asset real assets
James Tarry and Luke Layfield from our multi-asset real assets portfolio management team discuss the outlook for real estate and infrastructure and how shifts in UK climate policy may affect the push for net zero.
-
White papersFive questions on the recent escalation in Israel
The recent escalation: Hamas, most likely backed by Iran, attacked Israel over the weekend, resulting in a strong response from the Israeli defence forces. The Israeli Prime Minister termed this terrorist attack as an act of war.
