All Inflation articles – Page 10
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White papers2025 Perspectives: Optimism through the obstacles
2025 arrives on the heels of remarkable resilience in global markets. However, investors face a world still shaped by uncertainty—from deglobalization and slowing growth in developed economies to resilient U.S. equities, elevated policy risks under the incoming Trump administration’s tariff threats, and persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. In 2025 Perspectives, our leading investment experts highlight the themes that will impact portfolios and drive market performance in the year ahead.
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PodcastPodcast: Kyle Mangini on infrastructure and its role in building resilient portfolios
IFM Investors’ Global Head of Infrastructure Kyle Mangini was interviewed for Bridgewater’s Observations podcast series on the topic of infrastructure’s role in building resilient portfolios.
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White papersFixed income outlook: resilient US provides an anchor
The enduring resilience of the US economy will be a key driver of financial markets in 2025 and beyond. Having avoided recession, the US is returning to mid-cycle, according to economic data, while inflation has continued to ease back towards the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, enabling the central bank to begin cutting rates. We believe the Fed views monetary policy as restrictive and will likely continue lowering rates, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected.
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PodcastConnecting the Dots: CIO 2025 outlook – and why growth’s the elephant in the room
With growth top of the agenda for investors moving into 2025, join M&G Investments’ CIOs for their outlook amid a number of macroeconomic effects at play. They deliberate on growth, the Trump presidency and tariffs given the potential implications for global geopolitics, inflation – and prospective market opportunities.
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White papers2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
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White papersLDI market trends – getting things in perspective
The two key barometers of market levels for LDI are long-term interest rates and long-term inflation expectations.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
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PodcastOuterblue Research – Looking for clues ahead of a second Trump presidency
After a campaign full of twists and turns, November saw the re-election of Donald Trump for a second term as US president. In this edition, we take a look at the geopolitical and economic ramifications of a new Trump presidency.
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White papersWhy Should REITs Be Part of Your 2025 Investment Strategy?
REITs are poised for a resurgence in 2025…As you plan your 2025 investment strategy, consider the unique advantages REITs bring to a portfolio: steady dividend income, capital appreciation potential, inflation protection, and diversification benefits. After years of underperformance, REITs are poised for a resurgence, offering attractive valuations and compelling opportunities for income and growth.
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White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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White papersM&A in 2025: Opportunity, with a Side of Scrutiny
Governments, businesses and consumers all took advantage of a decade of free money. Bond markets are now multiple times larger than before the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), having soared to record levels. Economic activity and most financial markets benefited. As central banks around the world swiftly raised interest rates to fight inflation, significant challenges are emerging, especially concerning the ability to refinance or repay substantial volumes of maturing debt.
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White papersTrumponomics to provide new twists in 2025
The US election and the radical economic programme President-elect Donald Trump has promised to implement will heavily influence macroeconomic developments in 2025. While much of the course of the year from an economic perspective is largely baked in, reflecting the existing momentum (or lack of) of the major economies, ‘Trumponomics’ will affect all and provide new twists.
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White papersThe Head of Macro Research view: Trump-starting the global economy
Two major policy uncertainties lie at the heart of the global outlook for 2025 and 2026. The first is the extent that US President-elect Donald Trump translates campaign promises into policy. Our view is that he will not fully deliver what he suggested on tariff increases, migrant deportations or fiscal loosening. However, we anticipate enough delivery to materially impact US growth as these policies bite into 2026.
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White papersThe Dollar and the Euro: On a Path to Parity?
Why we think it could take longer than expected, with better entry points still to come.
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White papersHas the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle been knocked off course?
The US Federal Reserve has the scope for one more rate cut in 2024. Will the latest inflation data make it pause?
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White papers2025 Macro Outlook: Slower growth amid geopolitical uncertainty, but opportunities remain
Headwinds are blowing but conditions are supportive, so we see both risks and opportunities in 2025.
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White papersISA Outlook 2025: Asia Pacific – The dawn of a new real estate cycle
The current real estate cycle in Asia Pacific is not a simple repetition of a typical cycle. While Asia Pacific economies have not been immune to supply chain disruptions and elevated inflation, interest rates and construction cots, real estate capital market liquidity in the region (with the exception of China and Hong Kong) has fared much better than in other parts of the world. In our view, the varying and sometimes contrasting cyclical patters among major real estate sectors within each country set the region apart from global trends.
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White papersThe extraordinary US cycle is becoming more balanced
“Progressively softer labour market conditions and positive inflation developments support gradual rate cuts, allowing the Fed to bring policy rates closer to neutral levels.”
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White papersInflation trend is falling
“With ongoing inflation swings, central banks will be increasingly data-dependent.”
