All Inflation articles – Page 14
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The Mortgage-Backed Moment
Securitized credit, and especially mortgage-backed securities, can be an attractive source of income while waiting for volatile bond markets to settle.
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Japan Insights - Real estate markets: a watershed year in the making
Japan is at the critical juncture of breaking out from its three decades of stagnation. Nominal growth is returning. The outlook is not set in stone, but the current wage-price dynamics look promising and supportive. We expect any policy adjustments during this transition period to be slow and steady.
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Markets bounce on waning inflation
Markets reacted positively to stronger-than-expected US and UK inflation data this week.
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Not your average credit cycle
Geopolitics, hard landings, falling consumer confidence and corporate belt-tightening could all be part of the investment picture in 2024. That was the message from Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November.
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Asset Class Outlook for 2024
What do you think will be the best performing asset class over the coming year?
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With macro risks elevated it’s all about stock selection
There are plenty of macro drivers that will create equity volatility in 2024. To succeed, investors will need to maintain a resilient portfolio.
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2024 Outlook: Steering through turning tides
The coming year will see the tides turn for growth, inflation and monetary policy, with the United States expected to enter a mild recession in the first half of 2024. Price pressures will abate, giving central banks scope to cut interest rates, but monetary policymakers will remain wary of the risk of policy errors. Fiscal policies will aim to reduce deficits and debt built up over the past decade while continuing to support the energy transition.
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Primonial Reim Real Estate Convictions 2023 – Q3
An Asset Manager’s View of the European Real Estate Markets
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The Return of Industrial Policy
As governments play a bigger role in the economy, we think businesses and investors will need to think more about inflation, location and taxation.
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Balancing uncertainty and optimism
The economic data in 2023 was better than expected: inflation fell, employment remained resilient and we didn’t end up in recession – in fact growth was impressively resilient.
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High-wire act: Is it possible to quell inflation and to avoid a recession?
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England both opted to keep rates unchanged in their meetings this week.
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Whatever happened to the recession - and does it matter for bonds?
Despite interest rates being hiked to their highest level since the mid-2000s and a mini crisis in the US banking sector, the US and other developed market economies remain in relatively robust health. A recession has, so far, been avoided.
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How to think about bonds in this new world
After the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008, investors reduced their allocation to bonds, and broadly remained underweight the asset class for more than a decade. In 2022, the long period of accommodative central bank policy came to an end as inflation accelerated.
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Will Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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Global inflation: Have deflationary forces subsided?
Global inflation continues to gradually cool, helped by lower energy prices and the impact of tighter monetary conditions. However, getting inflation back to 2% on a sustained basis could prove more difficult and depend on whether longer-term deflationary forces are able to re-assert themselves.
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CIO autumn update: An AI inflection point
AI is one of several structural changes underway, to which we must adapt on behalf of our clients – and future generations.
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UK real estate: Performance after repricing?
The UK economy: Reduced drag - LGIM expects both the UK and the US to enter recession before the middle of 2024. This forecast positions LGIM at the lower end of consensus, although the absolute reduction in GDP expected is modest compared to previous recessionary periods.
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Don’t expect rates volatility to decline overnight
The volatility in interest rates has surged over the past two years as central banks have fought this long-lasting increase in inflation. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we explain how this risk evolution has significantly reshaped our asset allocation.
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Risks rise but markets hold steady
The conflict in Israel and Gaza has not moved markets… yet.
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360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.