All Inflation articles – Page 13
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White papersCould inflation surprises unsettle markets?
There is an old investment adage that says: “buy the rumor and sell the news”. Markets tend to try to anticipate forthcoming data such as inflation numbers, with investors building positions ahead of time based on their expectations. Once the outcome is confirmed, investors take profits (or cut losses) by exiting positions.
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White papersWhat if Everything’s Going to Be OK?
Falling inflation, recovering growth, relaxed central bankers—how one of the most widely forecast recessions in history failed to happen.
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White papersNotes from the Road…or the Boarding Gate
This short note draws out common themes from our recent conversations and meetings with clients across the US, Canada, Europe and the Middle East. The questions we were asked ranged from monetary policy and inflation to strategic asset allocation, the impact of artificial intelligence and market liquidity.
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White papersPATRIZIA H1 2023 financial results: Resilient AUM but EBITDA impacted by muted market environment
PATRIZIA, a leading partner for global real assets, today published its H1 2023 financial results. PATRIZIA’s operating business was impacted by an environment of continued market uncertainty, high inflation and rising financing costs in the first half of the year.
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White papersU.S. Economic Monthly: Consumers Keep At It
MIM now expects a recession to begin in 2024.
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PodcastOuterblue Talks Research – Parallels with the 70s. The long and winding road continues
Whilst fashion trends regularly make come-backs, revivals in economic trends are a lot less frequent. The double-digit inflation rates seen over the past two years have left many wondering whether other hallmarks of the 1970s are also due for a return and what can be learnt from previous missteps as we transition to a new economic model.
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White papersJuly CPI report: The case for a September Fed pause is building
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to make meaningful progress toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
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White papersOnwards or upwards?
The US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to reach a 22-year high this week.
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White papersThe 60/40 portfolio: Regaining its appeal - Quick takes on capital markets
With rising stock/bond correlations reducing diversification benefits, the 60/40 portfolio suffered a historically bad run in 2022.
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PodcastOpportunities in Structured Products
Jin Im, associate portfolio manager for the Investment Grade Fixed Income team at Allspring Global Investments, and Rob Absey, head of Insurance Solutions, discuss structured products, often referred to as securitized assets or securitized products, and the value and importance these assets can have in overall investment portfolios.
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White papersSunshine in the U.S.—For Now
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersThe End of the Great Moderation: Forecasting in Elevated Uncertainty
In a global environment with more complexity and uncertainty, we have adopted a probabilistic, scenario-based approach to forecasting macroeconomic and market outcomes.
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White papersHow renewable energy investments can help manage the risks facing DC members
2022 highlighted several risks for defined contribution pensions (DC), many of which could have been addressed by renewable energy investments. We explain how.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 2023
Optimism was definitely behind the respectable performance registered by risky assets in the last quarter. However, the economic backdrop does not look overly positive. On the price levels side, US headline inflation is receding, although the core measure - more important for monetary policy decisions - is proving to be stickier. The latest European and UK inflation numbers signal that price growth is cooling.
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White papersGlobal Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papersEmerging market resilience paves the way for new opportunities
Resilience and a growth advantage over developed markets make emerging countries an attractive destination for the second half of the year. The effects of monetary tightening are seeping through to the real economy, contributing to lacklustre growth, particularly in developed economies.
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White papersThe role of real assets in today’s investment landscape
The market is pricing a rapid return to low and stable inflation. Supply-side risks threaten those expectations and heighten the attractiveness of real assets.
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White papersFed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.
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White papersTen for 2023—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they expected to be prominent in the markets during 2023. With the year now half over, we revisited these concepts to see how they’ve played out so far. We give ourselves an interim grade for each one and assess our outlook for the second half of 2023.
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White papersHow long will convexity disappoint?
These are uncertain times – be it regarding growth, inflation, or the extent of rate hikes. And yet, the level of one of the most common measures for volatility – the famous VIX index – has not budged much since 20 March and the end of the fast-paced banking crisis. This raises two principal questions about volatility and convexity, which we explore in this weekly edition of Simply put.
