All Inflation articles – Page 15
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White papers
How focussing on long life infrastructure can help investors meet their goals
Infrastructure has long been known for producing solid, risk-adjusted yields over a significant timeframe.
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Opportunities lie beyond precarious path to growth
A central bank pause supports the case for bonds. Investors will have to assess the inflation path and the earnings outlook moving into 2024, in the search for opportunities in equities.
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2023
Central banks are finding it hard to finish the long journey toward inflation normalization, but we believe that policy rates are likely at or near their peaks—and could be maintained at elevated levels for some time. In an environment of slowing growth, restrictive monetary policy and rising idiosyncratic risk, we favor shorter durations, quality and a focus on security selection.
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White papers
The View From the Peak
Despite hawkish policymakers and very mixed economic data, the approaching plateau in rates brings more clarity and conviction to our fixed income views.
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From Climate Stress Testing to Climate Value-at-Risk: A Stochastic Approach
This paper proposes a comprehensive climate stress testing approach to measure the impact of transition risk on investment portfolios. Unlike most climate stress testing models, which are designed for the banking industry and follow a top-down approach, our framework considers a bottom-up approach and is mainly relevant for the asset management industry.
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White papers
Insurance Fixed Income Outlook: Transition to more liquid assets
European Insurance companies started 2023 with high solvency ratios and a good outlook to improve their underlying profitability thanks to strong rate increases in reinsurance, and commercial P&C, while 2022 prices increases in retail P&C are slowly mitigating inflation.
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Global Macro Outlook - Third Quarter 2023
Steadfast global resilience to recession highlighted the quarter, although the outlook hasn’t necessarily improved. But with labor markets tight and wages keeping pace with inflation, consumers are navigating the economy’s rough patches. Still, we expect growth to slow in time.
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Fixed-Income Midyear Outlook: Surfing Lessons
Surf’s up! Elevated yields and negative correlations are good news for bond investors. We share strategies for making the most of today’s opportunities.
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Farmland’s inflation-hedging characteristics
A comprehensive analysis of different crop types’ performance in an inflationary environment.
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UK real estate: half-year health check
It’s been a volatile 12 months in UK real estate. The speed and extent of the capital market repricing, -25% from June 2022’s peak through to February 2023’s trough, was more severe than we saw during from 2007-09 during the global financial crisis.
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Video
The European living sector
Shortage of supply and too much ageing, poor-quality existing stock, is creating a rare opportunity for institutional capital to help boost supply, improve existing assets and earn investors an attractive, inflation-linked return while having a positive social impact.
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White papers
Going Back to Base
In the face of conflicting signals from our short- and medium-term outlooks, our Asset Allocation Committee is adopting more neutral views.
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Three Reasons Why the Fixed Income Environment May Be Better Than You Think
While there are a number of risks creating volatility and unease across the market, there are also reasons to believe that today’s fixed income markets offer a range of compelling opportunities.
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Global Risks 2023 – Mid-Year Review
Since our last global risks update in January, we believe risks have increased, on balance.
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The CRE Industry’s Race to Net Zero: Implications of the Inflation Reduction Act Incentives
Sustainable development goals have become a greater priority for the commercial real estate (CRE) industry since the 2015 United Nations (U.N.) Paris Agreement established a global net zero goal (NZG) by 2050.
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White papers
Swiss inflation target signals more tightening
Following the Swiss National Bank’s latest monetary policy meeting, we consider the inflation backdrop in Switzerland and explore factors that argued against a larger hike.
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White papers
What inflation will cost the UK
In the UK, the significant upside surprises in core inflation for April and May, as well as accelerating private sector wages, signal that the risk of a wage-price spiral is gaining momentum.
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White papers
Secular Outlook 2023 - Asset class return forecasts for the next five years
Securing single-digit annual returns from a diversified portfolio could prove an unusually complex task in the next five years, largely because of volatile inflation and more muscular state intervention.
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Video
Secular Outlook 2023 – Asset class convictions for the next five years
Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management, explains what may drive financial markets over the next five years
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Podcast
2023 Midyear Outlook: Allview Face-off Roundtable
Members of Allspring’s Systematic Edge team, Plus Fixed Income team, and Discovery Growth Equity team share their predictions for the markets and beyond in the second half of 2023.