All Inflation articles – Page 15
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PodcastPrivate Real Estate: From Uncertainty to Opportunity
Despite the challenges of a tough fundraising environment and fluctuating interest rates, private real estate is gaining traction as an attractive investment option amid economic uncertainties. But what makes private real estate a viable option? How does it help to hedge against inflation, and where do some of the unique opportunities lie?
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White papersTrump’s victory signals major policy shifts ahead
The magnitude of US President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on Tuesday brings the strong likelihood he will have a mandate for his economic, market and foreign policy agenda. Winning the Electoral College and popular vote, as well as gaining Republican control of the Senate, means Trump’s key policy issues, such as tax cuts, higher tariffs and immigration curbs may come faster than expected — potentially in the early months of 2025.
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White papersMarket Update third quarter 2024
The Dutch economy is expected to continue to grow in the third quarter of 2024. The labour market continues to be tight, and real wage growth is anticipated to remain positive, even with an expected rise in the unemployment rate.
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White papersUS soft landing on track
“Robust consumption and government spending have supported US economic activity recently, but we see a mild deceleration in growth amid a rebalancing in US labour markets.”
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White papersWhat Is the Opposite of Confirmation Bias?
Many investors say they anticipate a soft landing for the U.S., but market swings suggest they are seizing on any excuse to position against that thesis.
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White papersNorth America real estate market outlook Q4 2024
What are the the trends in North American real estate? Read more about our outlook.
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White papersUK real estate market outlook Q4 2024
Following months of stabilisation, the UK real estate market is reaching an equilibrium point.
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White papersJapanese property yields: is the only way up?
The unwinding of Japan’s ultra-low interest-rate policy has raised some questions about the impact on real estate. But rental growth may play a bigger role in driving Japanese property yields.
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White papersGlobal Outlook 2025
In 2025, we believe the core question to dominate economic discussions is where the unobservable natural rate (r*, the neutral rate of interest that supports full employment and constant inflation) lies and when central banks should stop cutting.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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VideoReplay - Thriving in Tomorrow’s Market: Real Assets in Portfolio Allocation
In today’s complex financial landscape, characterized by rising inflation, fluctuating interest rates and increased geopolitical tensions, the importance of incorporating real assets into investment portfolios cannot be overstated.
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White papersGlobal Market Perspectives, Q4 2024: Hard to be gloomy
Global policymakers have responded to weakening economic growth, raising the odds of a global soft landing.
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White papersAll eyes on inflation
“We believe the Federal Reserve will weigh the inflation numbers in the context of the weakening labour markets. We expect the Fed to continue to ease monetary policy.”
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White papersSeptember jobs report: Not as weak as once thought?
The September jobs report showed a 254,000 monthly job gain, blowing all estimates out of the water. Not only does it suggest that the U.S. labor market is on a stronger footing than most believed, but it also suggests that the Fed does not need to maintain such an aggressive pace of rate cuts. Market expectations for a 50bps cut in November have rightfully plunged, and a 25bps reduction is now the clear market consensus.
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White papersUS election: the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the risk of repeal – Implications for investors
In November the US goes to the polls to decide who will be the next president – the Democrat incumbent Joe Biden or returning Republican nominee Donald Trump. Under Biden, in August 2022 the US introduced the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), a federal law which aims to, among other things, invest into domestic energy production while promoting clean energy. It represents the largest ever Congressional investment in the energy transition.
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White papersRate Expectations
Much has been written about the pace of likely interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve. We continue to expect a total of 75 bps by year end, with a first cut of 25 bps at the next Federal Open Market Committee Meeting on September 17-18.
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White papersThe Fed pivot arrives
“Inflation moving towards the Fed’s target is allowing the central bank to shift its focus to economic growth. This underscores the importance of bonds as a diversifier* in an overall agile stance.”
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White papersU.S. Federal Reserve policy decision: securing a soft landing
The Fed’s aggressive 50 basis point rate cut, while unconventional, reflects a proactive approach to stave off any potential economic weakness. Despite associations of such large cuts with crises, today’s economic backdrop remains resilient. With recession risks receding and a favorable historical pattern during non-recessionary rate cutting periods, investors have reasons to remain cautiously optimistic about the market’s near-term outlook.
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White papersReal Estate House View: Europe - Second half-year 2024
The sharp surge in inflation prompted central banks to implement the most aggressive monetary policy tightening for at least four decades.
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White papersGlobal Market Perspectives Q3 2024: Losing some of the shine
Global growth has broadened beyond just the U.S. But the limited nature of the upturns implies U.S. dominance remains.
