All Inflation articles – Page 15
-
PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
Against the backdrop of recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, sat down earlier this week to discuss the big themes that are dominating markets.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2023
Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
-
White papersNo Regrets: The ECB Keeps Policy on Hold
Inflation in the euro area is falling and the economy is rapidly weakening. Against that background, the ECB kept rates on hold at its policy meeting on October 26.
-
White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
-
White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2023
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team.
-
White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
-
White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2023: Staying Airborne
Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for modest duration extension in the two- to seven-year range. Within credit, we favor enhancing quality and are finding particular value in securitized markets.
-
PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Dissecting the fallout from the gilt crisis
Just over a year has passed since the gilt market turmoil of September 2022, sparked by the UK government’s so-called ‘mini-budget’. The fallout from the crisis, as the pound fell and gilt yields spiked, prompted an emergency intervention by the Bank of England to restore orderly market conditions against a global backdrop of high inflation and rising interest rates. A significant change in asset class demand dynamics ensued as pension funds sought to meet collateral calls for their LDI mandates.
-
White papersRates, repricing and relative value: The outlook for multi-asset real assets
James Tarry and Luke Layfield from our multi-asset real assets portfolio management team discuss the outlook for real estate and infrastructure and how shifts in UK climate policy may affect the push for net zero.
-
White papersFive questions on the recent escalation in Israel
The recent escalation: Hamas, most likely backed by Iran, attacked Israel over the weekend, resulting in a strong response from the Israeli defence forces. The Israeli Prime Minister termed this terrorist attack as an act of war.
-
White papersWhy are interest rates rising?
The interest-rate environment in the US could not be worse, due to both the country’s fiscal situation and hawkish monetary policy. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we analyse these two factors and their impact on rates.
-
White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023
Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation. But higher oil prices – which are up about 30% over the last two months – could add a significant hurdle to this disinflation process and keep policy rates higher for longer. The impact of higher oil prices typically depends both on how quickly and by how much they rise, and whether the shock is long-lasting or temporary.
-
-
White papersIs more monetary tightening really needed?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
-
White papersIs This What a Soft Landing Looks Like?
The first half of 2023 was a whipsaw of economic and real estate data that turned from gloomy to bright and back again, seemingly by the day. As the fog lifts from this noisy backdrop, we believe the case for a soft landing has become more pronounced.
-
White papersKeynote interview: Renewables lead the charge
Cost competitiveness, government support and societal need are driving long-term investment opportunities in green energy, says Schroders Greencoat’s Coen Weddepohl in an article originally published by Infrastructure Investor North America magazine.
-
White papersAs one door closes … How changes in long income are creating value opportunities
Renos Booth, Isabel Gossling and Kris McPhail from our real estate long income team discuss the importance of selectivity to uncover opportunities and how new buyers can fill the void left by DB pension schemes.
-
White papersEuropean Hotel Sector: Short-term distress and strong long-term fundamentals create value opportunity
For a subset of the European hotel sector, weaknesses exacerbated by the COVID-19 travel shutdown are now being made worse by high inflation and rising interest rates, creating distress. There is a window of opportunity to acquire these hotels at discounted pricing.
-
White papersCould the Rise of AI Mean Falling Prices?
There’s been much discussion of AI’s deflationary potential, but this issue must be viewed in the broader context of other megatrends influencing a new investment regime.
-
White papersWhat’s next for the Swiss economy?
Inflation is slowing in Switzerland but the economy remains subject to a great degree of uncertainty. What does the latest Swiss National Bank policy meeting tell us about the outlook?
