All Inflation articles – Page 11
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023
Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation. But higher oil prices – which are up about 30% over the last two months – could add a significant hurdle to this disinflation process and keep policy rates higher for longer. The impact of higher oil prices typically depends both on how quickly and by how much they rise, and whether the shock is long-lasting or temporary.
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White papersIs more monetary tightening really needed?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersIs This What a Soft Landing Looks Like?
The first half of 2023 was a whipsaw of economic and real estate data that turned from gloomy to bright and back again, seemingly by the day. As the fog lifts from this noisy backdrop, we believe the case for a soft landing has become more pronounced.
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White papersKeynote interview: Renewables lead the charge
Cost competitiveness, government support and societal need are driving long-term investment opportunities in green energy, says Schroders Greencoat’s Coen Weddepohl in an article originally published by Infrastructure Investor North America magazine.
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White papersAs one door closes … How changes in long income are creating value opportunities
Renos Booth, Isabel Gossling and Kris McPhail from our real estate long income team discuss the importance of selectivity to uncover opportunities and how new buyers can fill the void left by DB pension schemes.
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White papersEuropean Hotel Sector: Short-term distress and strong long-term fundamentals create value opportunity
For a subset of the European hotel sector, weaknesses exacerbated by the COVID-19 travel shutdown are now being made worse by high inflation and rising interest rates, creating distress. There is a window of opportunity to acquire these hotels at discounted pricing.
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White papersCould the Rise of AI Mean Falling Prices?
There’s been much discussion of AI’s deflationary potential, but this issue must be viewed in the broader context of other megatrends influencing a new investment regime.
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White papersWhat’s next for the Swiss economy?
Inflation is slowing in Switzerland but the economy remains subject to a great degree of uncertainty. What does the latest Swiss National Bank policy meeting tell us about the outlook?
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White papersInflation: Mapping the impact of the global rate hiking cycle
After a sustained era of cheap money, an abrupt and unprecedented shift in the global interest rate hiking cycle was ushered in, as the world’s major central banks sought to stave off surging inflation.
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White papersThree Fixed Income Market Scenarios
With roughly 500 basis points of rate hikes in the rearview mirror, the Federal Reserve has enjoyed significant progress in curbing U.S. inflation. However, reducing core inflation remains a challenge and many developed market central banks have recently taken a more hawkish tone. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England, in particular, may have more work to do.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Inflation stabilises, but policy dilemma continues
Autumn made a hasty arrival to Europe in mid-September and it was accompanied by a multitude of monetary policy meetings. The current tightening cycle has seen plenty of interest rate hikes. But this new round of meetings show how central banks appear undecided on their next steps in light of the mixed signals coming from their economies. What will this cautious stance from central banks mean for the world’s economies?
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2023
“Markets have not priced in the risks related to the credit cycle, volatility in inflation figures (to the upside and downside), and any kind of landing for the US economy. We maintain our quality bias.”
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White papers2023 4Q GIC outlook: Stay in the game
Global Investment Committee: Bringing together the most senior investors from across our platform of core and specialist capabilities, including all public and private markets
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White papersInside Real Estate Outlook: Waiting for Godot
In Samuel Beckett’s play “Waiting for Godot”, two characters engage in an endless discussion while awaiting the titular Godot who never arrives. A similar parallel appears to beset global investors waiting for central bankers to signal the end of monetary tightening.
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White papersA formidable friend in turbulent times
Infrastructure debt is now an established alternative asset class. While it broadly refers to the debt component of an infrastructure asset’s or company’s capital structure, it is by no means homogeneous, with the market covering a range of sub-sectors and risk profiles.
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White papersMulti asset: what do macro and market signals tell us?
We may be in a late phase of the economic cycle and the investment backdrop remains in flux. As many children globally head ‘back-to-school’ in September, our multi-asset team drills into what the data mean and which asset classes are showing more positive signals.
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White papersEuropean sale-leaseback: an attractive investment opportunity in today’s uncertain market
The European sale-leaseback (“SLB”) market is a large,yet relatively untapped market, that has the potential to offer the kind of stable, inflation-linked returns that may appeal to institutional investors in today’s uncertain environment.
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papersThe BoE’s “Table Mountain” Approach Sees Rates Highest for Longest
The Bank of England kept its Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% on September 21, 2023. The UK’s economic backdrop is weak, so we believe that the BoE will keep interest rates at this level for the near future.
