All Inflation articles – Page 11
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White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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White papersM&A in 2025: Opportunity, with a Side of Scrutiny
Governments, businesses and consumers all took advantage of a decade of free money. Bond markets are now multiple times larger than before the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), having soared to record levels. Economic activity and most financial markets benefited. As central banks around the world swiftly raised interest rates to fight inflation, significant challenges are emerging, especially concerning the ability to refinance or repay substantial volumes of maturing debt.
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White papersTrumponomics to provide new twists in 2025
The US election and the radical economic programme President-elect Donald Trump has promised to implement will heavily influence macroeconomic developments in 2025. While much of the course of the year from an economic perspective is largely baked in, reflecting the existing momentum (or lack of) of the major economies, ‘Trumponomics’ will affect all and provide new twists.
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White papersThe Head of Macro Research view: Trump-starting the global economy
Two major policy uncertainties lie at the heart of the global outlook for 2025 and 2026. The first is the extent that US President-elect Donald Trump translates campaign promises into policy. Our view is that he will not fully deliver what he suggested on tariff increases, migrant deportations or fiscal loosening. However, we anticipate enough delivery to materially impact US growth as these policies bite into 2026.
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White papersThe Dollar and the Euro: On a Path to Parity?
Why we think it could take longer than expected, with better entry points still to come.
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White papersHas the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle been knocked off course?
The US Federal Reserve has the scope for one more rate cut in 2024. Will the latest inflation data make it pause?
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White papers2025 Macro Outlook: Slower growth amid geopolitical uncertainty, but opportunities remain
Headwinds are blowing but conditions are supportive, so we see both risks and opportunities in 2025.
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White papersISA Outlook 2025: Asia Pacific – The dawn of a new real estate cycle
The current real estate cycle in Asia Pacific is not a simple repetition of a typical cycle. While Asia Pacific economies have not been immune to supply chain disruptions and elevated inflation, interest rates and construction cots, real estate capital market liquidity in the region (with the exception of China and Hong Kong) has fared much better than in other parts of the world. In our view, the varying and sometimes contrasting cyclical patters among major real estate sectors within each country set the region apart from global trends.
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White papersThe extraordinary US cycle is becoming more balanced
“Progressively softer labour market conditions and positive inflation developments support gradual rate cuts, allowing the Fed to bring policy rates closer to neutral levels.”
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White papersInflation trend is falling
“With ongoing inflation swings, central banks will be increasingly data-dependent.”
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White papersKorean wave: build-to-rent opportunities in Seoul
What lies ahead for housing in Seoul? We discuss the evolving opportunities for renters and landlords.
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White papers2025 Fixed Income Outlook: A year of opportunity amid economic uncertainty?
With inflation cooling and the US Federal Reserve transitioning from rate hikes to a cycle of rate cuts, bonds are poised to perform well in 2025.
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White papersElection Economics
A resounding victory sweeps President (and President-Elect) Trump back to the White House. The substantial-for-modern-times majority in the Senate along with the popular vote means that the second Trump administration has more of a mandate than the first one.
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White papersOutlook 2025-2027: Resilient recovery in a challenging environment
The real estate market is recovering resiliently and new opportunities are emerging for institutional investors. However, the investment climate remains challenging. This is the conclusion of Achmea Real Estate’s Outlook 2025 - 2027, the first part of which has just been published.
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PodcastPrivate Real Estate: From Uncertainty to Opportunity
Despite the challenges of a tough fundraising environment and fluctuating interest rates, private real estate is gaining traction as an attractive investment option amid economic uncertainties. But what makes private real estate a viable option? How does it help to hedge against inflation, and where do some of the unique opportunities lie?
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White papersTrump’s victory signals major policy shifts ahead
The magnitude of US President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on Tuesday brings the strong likelihood he will have a mandate for his economic, market and foreign policy agenda. Winning the Electoral College and popular vote, as well as gaining Republican control of the Senate, means Trump’s key policy issues, such as tax cuts, higher tariffs and immigration curbs may come faster than expected — potentially in the early months of 2025.
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White papersMarket Update third quarter 2024
The Dutch economy is expected to continue to grow in the third quarter of 2024. The labour market continues to be tight, and real wage growth is anticipated to remain positive, even with an expected rise in the unemployment rate.
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White papersUS soft landing on track
“Robust consumption and government spending have supported US economic activity recently, but we see a mild deceleration in growth amid a rebalancing in US labour markets.”
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White papersWhat Is the Opposite of Confirmation Bias?
Many investors say they anticipate a soft landing for the U.S., but market swings suggest they are seizing on any excuse to position against that thesis.
