All Inflation articles – Page 4
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White papersWhy are credit spreads so tight?
1) Liquidity: This is the overriding factor, which is normally the case in markets. It is no surprise that markets are rallying like it’s QE, because this is QE! The Treasury General Account (TGA) has been run-off to the tune of c$500bn over the last few months driven by the U.S. hitting the debt ceiling. When this happens, the country is unable to raise enough debt to fund itself.
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White papersIndependence Day’s big tax bill
Ballooning US federal deficits will heighten investors’ concerns about the sustainability of US fiscal policy, pushing them to look for opportunities arising in other areas.
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White papersWhat keeps central banks awake in 2025?
Insights from the 31st UBS Reserve Management Seminar
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White papersShort duration: the advantages of a global remit
A wider range of opportunities can be unlocked via an approach encompassing multiple time zones and currencies, maximising potential overall returns.
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Five Lessons Learned
Some say private credit hasn’t been tested. We disagree…and stress can sharpen the senses.
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White papersWhat Lies Ahead in the Next 100 Days?
Amid global trade tensions and new questions about how economies will interact going forward, the path ahead lacks clarity. For now, uncertainty may play a lead role in how global economies and markets perform-until the fog begins to clear.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook: Navigating cycles of uncertainty
After a turbulent start to the year marked by shifting central bank signals, renewed geopolitical tensions, and disruptive tariff announcements from the Trump administration, fixed income markets are entering the second half of 2025 with cautious resilience.
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White papers2025 Mid-Year Global Investment Outlook The Bell Can’t Be Unrung: Finding Opportunity in the Midst of Uncertainty
Uncertainty aside, global opportunities are taking shape for those who know where to look.
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White papersThe Fed’s strategic pause: the calm before the cuts
In its June meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained current interest rates, pointing to ongoing tariff-related uncertainties. Nevertheless, the Fed indicated that two rate reductions remain probable before year-end.
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White papersJune FOMC meeting: Ignore the dot plot in this uncertain environment
The Fed held rates steady at 4.25 – 4.50% in June and Chair Powell emphasized that, amid elevated uncertainty, the dot plot projections shouldn’t be taken as commitments—signaling a cautious, data-dependent pause for now.
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White papersBond outlook: Income potential intact as economic risks rise
The bond market is well positioned to provide investors with attractive income potential and relative stability, should equity markets swing lower in the second half of the year. Given slowing US economic growth and cooling inflation, bonds should offer a smoother ride for investors amid high uncertainty over US trade and immigration policies, rising debt levels and worsening conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
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White papersUS inflation less than expected
“US CPI has been slowing. However, uncertainty on US tariffs and rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which could keep oil prices high, may make central banks job more difficult.”
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White papersThe world rethinks (not rejects) US debt
Based on the “Fixed focus: Navigating the new era of income” session at Asian Investment Conference in Hong Kong
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White papersWill the Current Economic Stalemate End in a Boom or a Bust?
U.S. consumers remain resilient, but business sentiment holds the key for the trajectory of future economic growth.
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White papersWhy should investors consider the secondary market for private credit opportunities?
Marco Busca, Head of Indirect Private Debt, Generali Asset Management - part of Generali Investments - explains why the secondary market elevates the benefits of private credit for institutional portfolio. He also introduces the recently launched Generali Private Credit Secondaries Fund, which aims to provide opportunities in a burgeoning market that targets both LP-led and GP-led transactions.
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White papersMay CPI report: Still bracing for impact
May’s CPI came in slightly cooler than expected—headline inflation edged up by just 0.1% in May (2.4% year-over-year), while core CPI remained steady at 2.8%—thanks to lower energy and travel costs. Despite this softness, tariff pressures are anticipated to roll through the data in coming months.
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White papersMidyear fixed-income outlook: Strategic scenarios for bond investors
How will policy uncertainty and macro headwinds shape opportunities in fixed income?
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White papersPolicy divergences on display
“Policy decisions by global central banks are getting more nuanced, with the ECB staying on its rate cut path, the Fed in a wait-and-see mode, and the BoJ being the only major outlier.”
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PodcastTalking Heads – Making the case for absolute return bonds
How can fixed income investors tackle the uncertainty over the outlook for growth and inflation? How will concerns about government finances play out ? Where are interest rates heading?
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VideoHow can you invest in sustainable forestry?
Looking for a stable investment with a positive environmental impact? Forests are critical habitats for flora and fauna, key contributors in the fight against climate change and an abundant source of renewable inputs. They can also offer risk-adjusted returns and stable cash yields.
