All Inflation articles – Page 3
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PodcastCalm waves mask shifting undercurrents - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
While Europe headed to the beach, journalists were kept busy with the newsflow out of the US this summer, as central bank independence, new tariff announcements and foreign affairs negotiations continued to make headlines.
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White papersMacro Monthly The Fed: Now and Later
It’s not easy to be Chair Powell – or any Federal Open Market Committee member – right now. Tariffs and slower immigration have put the dual mandate in tension, forcing judgment calls about how to balance labor-market downside against inflation and inflation expectations upside. At the same time, intense pressure from the Trump administration to ease aggressively – including threats and actions to remove FOMC members – raises risks to individuals in the near term and, over time, to the institution’s independence and credibility.
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White papersHow far does the Fed’s influence extend?
Not all points of the yield curve respond equally to Federal Reserve rate cuts.
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White papersThe Power of Embracing Competing Ideas
This year’s recommendation for vacation reading is a fascinating exploration of the sources of rising political polarization in the U.S. and how it can be addressed.
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White papersA spirited return to Asia and China: A multi-asset strategy could help manage risks and deliver more precise outcomes
While investors have seen highs and lows in trade tariff negotiations in the past few months, after selloffs from the initial shock, markets in China and more broadly Asia got back on track and have quietly delivered strong performance this year so far.
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White papersFed moving towards rate cuts
“The US Fed is carefully treading the policy path forward, given the mixed macro data. As signalled at the recently concluded Jackson Hole symposium, the central bank is likely to start cutting rates in September, in line with our expectations.”
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VideoPremier Miton Fixed Income update August 2024
Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income, explores the macro forces shaping global bond markets. Highlighting sticky inflation in the US, labour driven inflation pressures in the UK, and Europe’s rising fiscal stimulus from military and infrastructure spending.
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White papersRate cuts in focus: Diverging data and the politics of monetary policy
Markets are seeing mixed signals — weak payrolls and rising input-costs from tariffs suggest inflation could pick up, even while employment growth slows.
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White papersReal estate: the global opportunity
The original private markets asset class: how real estate is evolving and going global in institutional portfolios
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White papersFitting the Puzzle Pieces Together
A pivotal week for economic data, earnings, trade and tariffs has provided support for our constructive medium-term view on the fundamentals of risk markets, although the second half of 2025 will pose challenges with some anticipated softening in the economy and lingering uncertainties around inflation, policy and geopolitical risk.
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White papersWill the Fed Stay in the Monetary Policy Driver’s Seat?
Efforts to reduce the central bank’s autonomy would likely disrupt markets.
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White papersTop 10 with… Interview with David Kozlicki
The real estate market has experienced significant changes in recent times, with many investors seeking innovative strategies to enhance their portfolios.David Kozlicki, Head of Unified Global Alternatives (UGA) – Real Estate, discusses how the business is responding to these shifts by offering diversified investment opportunities, adaptive solutions and strategic partnerships. By leveraging their global reach and expertise, how does UGA – Real Estate aim for optimal asset control and sustainable growth in a volatile market?
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White papersPension funds themes for an era of geopolitical and policy shifts
Our short-term outlook for the second half of 2025 highlights significant shifts in the global rewiring of trade and financial markets, alongside historic changes in tariffs and fiscal policy. These developments carry important implications for long-term investors, particularly pension funds, for which we see three key investment themes.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2025
In the wake of an eventful quarter, we believe that more benign inflation data and softer but still positive growth could soon prompt the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts, joining other central banks that have maintained easing polices. While tepid, economic growth remains positive globally and, in the U.S., could improve toward the end of the year and into 2026. In this environment, we currently favor exposure to shorter-term U.S. Treasuries, as well as opportunities in high yield and local currency-denominated emerging market debt, with tariff-related volatility posing a key risk.
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White papersEnvisioning a post-Powell Fed: What comes next?
With characteristic directness, President Trump has expressed dissatisfaction in recent weeks with the job performance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Serious or not, this kind of talk has investors speculating on what’s next for the US central bank and what a changing of the guard could mean for the economy and markets — whether that change comes at the end of Powell’s term as chair in May 2026 or sooner.
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White papersEuropean Bonds – Still More to Give
Benign inflation, a dovish central bank and healthy yields have helped boost the global attraction of European government bond and credit markets. With further monetary easing expected, European fixed income continues to look selectively compelling.
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White papersO’Connor Global Multi-Strategy Alpha Monthly Letter: Positioning beyond the US
In June, global markets navigated a complex web of economic and geopolitical developments, creating a striking paradox: rising trade barriers and the ensuing risk of rising inflation on the one hand, and record-high equity performance on the other. Despite these tensions, recent data reveal a resilience in market sentiment.
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White papersUS fixed income – Reasons for concern
Developed market interest rates remained generally range bound in the second quarter. The US economy can be expected to pivot towards higher inflation and slower growth. Such a trajectory may well lead the US Federal Reserve to loosen monetary policy in the third quarter, writes Olivier De Larouziere.
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White papersUS tariffs delayed to August
“The ongoing tariff-related uncertainty points to the transactional and unilateral approach of the United States that can complicate matters for policymakers around the world.”
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White papersHow private credit is proving its worth in a volatile environment
Geopolitical events and macro uncertainty are creating challenges for income investors. But with many different assets to choose from, how could private credit offer the flexibility and diversification benefits they seek?
