All Inflation articles – Page 3
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White papers
Election 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papers
Signs of rotation emerge in equities
Slowing inflation in the US and Europe, and expectations of improving earnings could pave the way for a continuation of the broadening of the rally outside the US mega caps.
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White papers
A Preliminary Language for a Post-Global World
This book sets out what we see as the key issues facing asset owners in the macro environment, and shares the outlook for capital markets, strategic allocation and the future of the investment industry. It will also explore how the next ten years are likely to be very different from the 1980–2020 period.
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q3 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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Video
Mid-year outlook video – Overweight equities; locking in today’s yields
Equities should see further good returns in the second half of 2024, justifying a continuation of our overweight stance, particularly in the US and for NASDAQ stocks. In Europe, small capitalisation stocks should benefit from the ongoing recovery fuelling consumer demand.
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White papers
Making sense of infrastructure debt
The capital expenditure required to support anticipated growth in power demand while also reducing carbon emissions will necessitate significant amounts of debt financing going forward. Don Dimitrievich, Portfolio Manager for Nuveen Energy Infrastructure Credit, explains the evolving infrastructure debt opportunity set and the EIC team’s approach to thematic investing in IPE’s recent July/August 2024 report.
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White papers
IG Credit: Finding Value in a More Stable Environment
Record-high yields and supportive fundamental and technical factors continue to present opportunities in IG credit amid stabilizing spreads. Slowly declining inflation and the U.S. economy’s ability to grow despite elevated real interest rates—the drivers of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current wait-and-see stance—have created a highly favorable environment for investment grade (IG) credit.
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White papers
Are We There Yet? The Road to Recovery for CRE
Stickier than expected inflation and robust economic activity have delayed and diminished expectations for rate cuts in 2024.
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White papers
U.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
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White papers
Mid-Year Outlook 2024 It’s all about confidence
Restrictive monetary policies and fading fiscal expansion are curbing growth and inflation in major economies. Recessions look unlikely but central banks are starting on a new cycle of rate cuts at a time of divergent growth rates, sticky price pressures, constrained fiscal policy and rising geopolitical risks. Despite the uncertain outlook, markets in some regions are priced for the best outcome. We therefore favour asset allocations that can withstand different scenarios.
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White papers
Fiber-to-the-home: Missed connections? i3 article on navigating the investment landscape
Fiber optic cables, originally developed in the 1950s to allow doctors to view the inside of a patient, are now essential infrastructure that everyone needs to access remote employment opportunities, as well as access to education, healthcare, entertainment and even socialization.
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Podcast
Inflation Shifts and the Bond Market Response
Explore the impact of higher inflation on bonds, the potential for rate cuts in the US and Eurozone, and the relative attractiveness of bonds as an investment.
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White papers
Mid-year investment update – Navigating political turmoil
The US economy is still on a soft landing path, even if the speed and timing of the touchdown vary after each economic release. The most recent US inflation data show price rises slowing more quickly than in the first part of the year. The eurozone, by contrast, continues to see persistently higher inflation
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Asset Manager News
Operating expertise essential for delivering core-plus returns in European real estate market
Chase McWhorter, Institutional Real Estate, Inc.’s managing director, Americas, recently spoke with Jorge Duarte, fund manager of Hines European Property Partners, a diversified, open-end core-plus real estate fund focused on quality, stabilized assets in European markets with embedded growth potential. Following is an excerpt of that conversation
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White papers
Higher for Longer: The CIOs’ Weigh In
While this year’s inflation and rates environment has disappointed many, we see it as a bump in the road that has created opportunity in several markets.Midway through 2024, it’s pretty clear what the story of the year has been so far: stickier inflation and higher rates for longer than many investors wanted or expected.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - July 2024
Inflation trends, central banks and geopolitics to drive markets
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White papers
Global Macro Outlook: Third Quarter 2024
There’s more evidence that growth is slowing, but it appears manageable and unlikely to lead to recession. While rate cuts have begun outside the US, we expect the Fed to follow suit by December. Political developments, especially the election cycle, are now coming into frame.
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Video
Midyear Equity Outlook Investing Beyond the Megacaps
Nelson Yu: If you told me at the beginning of the year that we were going to go from starting with six interest-rate cuts to now we’re hoping to get one, I would be shocked to say that the equity markets are up 15%.
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White papers
The Case For Resilient High Yield Private Credit
With inflation lingering and rates moving at a much slower pace than expected, the team at Infranity explains why BB-rated infrastructure debt is a particular sweet spot for investors seeking a safe haven in a changeable market.
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White papers
Real Estate Outlook – Europe, Edition May 2024: A new cycle begins
Inflation has not been beaten yet. We’ve come a long way from the highs of inflation and interest rates – and the ensuing capital value correction. A new cycle is in its infancy, but the effects of the last one still linger.