All Inflation articles – Page 30
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White papersInsights into private markets (IPM)
Insights into Private Markets (IPM) is our next generation Real Estate Outlook (REO). IPM uncovers key insights across real estate, infrastructure, food & agriculture, private equity and private credit.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - September 2022
We have reviewed the content and probabilities of our scenarios. First of all, we have included in our central scenario some of the risks that are materialising (e.g. stagflation in Europe) and that were previously included in our downside scenario.
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White papersRational inattention at the core of central bank strategy
The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated the dramatic shift in spending from services to goods and the effects of such a shift. The fact that inflation expectations remain subdued is likely due to rational inattention. In the absence of monetary tightening, we believe that inflation expectations would inevitably get de-anchored.
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White papersCould emerging markets be more vulnerable to rising food costs?
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team look at the significance of food prices and the history of profound changes that previous price shocks have brought with them.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2022
While a global recession may be avoided, we are likely to see growth deceleration and high inflation (higher cost of living) along with regional divergences. Thus, investors should consider moving to a more cautious stance on equities particularly in Europe, but retain preference for US and for China, although to a lower extent on China.
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VideoAn update on the global rental housing sector
Brice Hoffer, Head of Real Estate Research & Strategy – DACH gives an update on the global rental housing sector, its attractive features and how it fits in the current macroeconomic scenario and inflationary environment.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2022
The summer season has temporarily brought some sunshine to investors as the main equity markets had been rallying until mid-August. Supporting this trend was a series of assumptions on key themes driving the market: inflation was assumed to be at its peak and starting to recede; growth was assumed to be on a soft landing path; and central banks were assumed to have done most of the work needed.
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White papersRising yields put bond markets back on a road to normal
Rising inflation and slowing global growth are two dominant themes casting a pall over the current market environment. With increasing geopolitical uncertainty, tightening monetary policy, supply chain challenges and higher commodity prices at play, a period of global stagflation could potentially be on the horizon.
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PodcastHigh Yield: When Volatility Creates Opportunity
Investors are back at their desks and volatility has returned with them. How can they navigate an environment characterized by rising rates and decades-high inflation? Scott Roth and Adrienne Butler answer this question and more in the latest episode of Streaming Income.
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White papersHawks Are Gaining Speed
Here come the rate hikes. The upward surprise in euro area inflation and Jay Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole confirmed the ECB and Fed are both likely looking at 75bp hikes this month, and markets increased expectations as a result. Meanwhile, China reacts to new lockdown measures.
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White papersMENA region: In a sweet spot, with better growth and lower inflation
Second Quarter 2022 Review. Perspective from Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity
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White papersSqueezed in the middle?
Booms and busts in residential real estate have been historically linked to deep recessions and financial crises, especially when the boom is fuelled by debt. Marcus Cieleback, Chief Urban Economist at PATRIZIA, examines the risks in a time of increasing interest and inflation rates?
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White papersAdvanced Investment Phazer: a guide to dynamic asset allocation
Economic cycles have been a crucial driver for financial markets, making regime-based dynamic asset allocation (DAA) a common practice in supporting optimal portfolio construction. Changes in key economic indicators, monetary policy trends and the evolution of financial leverage have proven a reliable guide in identifying business cycle phases.
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White papersIs UK real estate heading back to the 1970s?
UK commercial real estate is facing 1970s-level inflation, but does it face the same boom and bust it did over 50 years ago?
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White papersHow to overhaul Europe’s outdated budget rules
Europe’s budget rules are in dire need of an overhaul. A new regime of higher inflation means the European Central Bank cannot on its own support growth or prevent fragmentation. But governments are hampered by fiscal constraints that are too simplistic and which, after years of breaches, lack credibility.
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White papersIs UK real estate heading back to the 1970s?
UK commercial real estate is facing 1970s-level inflation, but does it face the same boom and bust it did over 50 years ago?
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White papersQ2 2022 U.S. Research Perspective
“History Doesn’t Repeat Itself, But It Often Rhymes” - Mark Twain
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White papersSuspension of US-China climate talks puts global efforts at risk
Just as the US passed the USD 430 billion Inflation Reduction Act to tackle climate change among other major issues, China has suspended Sino-US collaboration on global warming. Details are not yet available, but the impact on global de-carbonisation could be substantial, especially if last November’s Joint Glasgow Declaration by the world’s largest CO2 emitters is at stake.
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White papersInfrastructure – rising rates and the “natural hedge”
Inflation has accelerated globally as a result of consumer demand, fuelled by fiscal policy, pushing into supply constraints due to COVID-19 and geopolitical upheaval. US inflation is running at 40-year highs and other advanced economies are at or near similar extremes.
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White papersGlobal Equity ESG Fund, H1 Report 2022
For long-term investors, the story is essentially unchanged, in fact, falling markets offer more attractive valuations on high-quality companies with a competitive edge.
