All Inflation articles – Page 35
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White papersFrontloading
The global economy remained largely resilient in the first half of 2022, despite war in Eastern Europe, commodity shortages, and inflation. However, this is leading most major central banks to turn increasingly hawkish and frontload rate hikes which should weigh on growth.
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White papersHold the Inflation Victory Lap
Inflation still appears to be the biggest source of potential volatility in the market, and we think that’s because it will remain the dominant economic story for the foreseeable future.
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White papersWhy European alternative sectors provide a haven for investors in inflationary times
Real estate investors today face the greatest economic uncertainty in over a decade. The ongoing economic crisis is anything but conventional, defined by supply chain turmoil, geopolitical upheaval, spiraling consumer prices, and the reversal of a 40-year decline in interest rates.
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White papersResilience in the listed real estate sector
Listed real estate stocks, as with many equity sectors, have evidently had a volatile few months since the invasion of Ukraine, which derailed their strong recovery post the Covid-19 pandemic.
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White papersThe Impact Of Rising Inflation On European Logistics Real Estate
Europe, much like other parts of the world, is grappling with inflation levels not seen since the oil shocks in the 70s. In August 2022, inflation in the Eurozone reached 9.1%, up from 8.9% in July 2022 and 3.0% in August 2021.1 Core inflation, a closely watched indicator for price stability, edged higher to 4.3% in August 2022, up from 4.0% in July 2022.
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White papersYou Will Remember The 21st Day of September
Data and expectations continue to drive markets, which have priced in a 75bp hike from the FOMC, though some foresee more; expect 50bps from the BoE given concerns about inflation and energy prices. In China, mounting worries about growth and weak trade are elevating concerns.
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White papersCan U.S. midterm elections move the market? 5 charts to watch
In a year when soaring inflation, the war in Ukraine and a bear market have commanded headlines, the U.S. midterm elections risked becoming an afterthought. But now the election is coming back into focus. And with good reason.
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White papersWhen should the Fed pivot?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we discuss the potential timing of the Federal Reserve’s pivot away from its current hawkish stance and consider whether such a turn would actually be good news for markets.
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PodcastInside the Psyche of the Connected Consumer
With the impact of the current inflationary environment at hand, we look at the latest cohort of consumers: Generations Y and Z. These two baby boomer-sized generations have given us insights into how consumerism has evolved today. What else might investors want to know as they continue to incorporate today’s top brands into their portfolios?
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White papersReal Asset Insight May/June, Sustainable transition
Up to now, sustainability has hardly been an issue when acquiring or leasing a logistics property. That is now changing – which poses a number of challenges for the real estate sector.
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White papersThe Bull Case for Next Year: It Won’t be Worse Than This Year
It’s not a pretty outlook, but it’s important to keep thinking at least one or two moves ahead.
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White papersECB meeting: bold rate hike; watch out for more to come
What is your take on the September ECB meeting and what could the next steps be?
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White papersReassessing the view on Europe: hot questions for investors
Is stagflation a highly likely scenario, or will the European economy enter a recession this year? How will governments respond?
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White papersThe challenges that lie ahead - can investing in infrastructure help?
Particularly during the height of the pandemic and ensuing lockdowns, infrastructure debt proved to be resilient as an asset class. Despite lockdowns shutting down businesses and many aspects of society, specific sectors such as renewables, telecommunications and utilities continued to perform through the provision of essential services.
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White papersInsights into private markets (IPM)
Insights into Private Markets (IPM) is our next generation Real Estate Outlook (REO). IPM uncovers key insights across real estate, infrastructure, food & agriculture, private equity and private credit.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - September 2022
We have reviewed the content and probabilities of our scenarios. First of all, we have included in our central scenario some of the risks that are materialising (e.g. stagflation in Europe) and that were previously included in our downside scenario.
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White papersRational inattention at the core of central bank strategy
The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated the dramatic shift in spending from services to goods and the effects of such a shift. The fact that inflation expectations remain subdued is likely due to rational inattention. In the absence of monetary tightening, we believe that inflation expectations would inevitably get de-anchored.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2022
While a global recession may be avoided, we are likely to see growth deceleration and high inflation (higher cost of living) along with regional divergences. Thus, investors should consider moving to a more cautious stance on equities particularly in Europe, but retain preference for US and for China, although to a lower extent on China.
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VideoAn update on the global rental housing sector
Brice Hoffer, Head of Real Estate Research & Strategy – DACH gives an update on the global rental housing sector, its attractive features and how it fits in the current macroeconomic scenario and inflationary environment.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2022
The summer season has temporarily brought some sunshine to investors as the main equity markets had been rallying until mid-August. Supporting this trend was a series of assumptions on key themes driving the market: inflation was assumed to be at its peak and starting to recede; growth was assumed to be on a soft landing path; and central banks were assumed to have done most of the work needed.
