All Inflation articles – Page 37
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CLOs Well-Positioned Amid Rising Rates, Heightened Uncertainty
In the context of a thin new issue pipeline, secondary market CLOs look more interesting, on balance, relative to new issues.
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*A low volatility equity strategy that can resist rising rates and inflation*
BNP Paribas Asset Management’s proprietary low volatility equity strategy is designed to be insensitive to changes in interest rates and inflation. With many central banks now raising their policy rates to control surging inflation, this distinguishing feature has probably never been more important.
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook: 2Q 2022
Global growth uncertainty has accelerated while inflation appears likely to persist. Still, we anticipate neither recession nor stagnation; moreover, central bank tightening expectations have likely peaked, potentially normalizing interest rate volatility and supporting spread sectors.
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Powering the SiC revolution
Silicon carbide compound semiconductor technology is enabling better energy efficiency for electric vehicles manufacturers. What opportunities could this bring?
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Allocation Views: Simplify the problem—A tighter focus
It has been an eventful start to the year. A significant rotation in equity market leadership in the early part of 2022’s first quarter saw the prospects for growth stocks derailed. This was followed by the shocking outbreak of war in Ukraine, adding new complexity to established geopolitical uncertainties—and all set against a backdrop of slowing economic activity, as well as inflation that was both persistent and troublesome.
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The Last Reliable Buoy
War and pandemic have disrupted recent patterns of prices and yields, but long-term inflation expectations remain in line—for now.
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Market snapshot: Fed ramps up policy response to runaway inflation
US central bank to begin speedy reduction of its balance sheet as officials lean towards 50bps rate rises this year
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The Reckoning
With US economic growth maintaining sufficient momentum and high inflation becoming a political and social issue, Fixed Income Views explores the implications for investors.
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Hoping for the Best, Preparing for the Worst
We’ve officially embarked on a very peculiar tightening cycle—one in which inflation is at levels more associated with the peak of the hiking cycle, and not the start.
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REITs as a Hedge Against Inflation
Real estate investment trusts across a number of sectors could show strength in 2022, driven by inflation and secular trends.
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How challenging is the inflationary picture for fixed income investors?
Over the past 15 years policymakers have faced various waves of crises, beginning with the global financial crash of 2007-08. Until now, authorities could simply focus on supporting the financial system and global growth, however the re-emergence of inflation adds a significant complication for both policymakers and fixed income investors.
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Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a recession?
The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result of all the fiscal and monetary support provided during the Covid crisis. The Fed will be in a more difficult situation in 2023.
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Credit markets: more attractive valuations but we remain cautious
Valuations are now a little more attractive. However, the environment remains challenging, particularly in Europe. We remain cautious and more constructive on US credit markets relative to euro markets.
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US economy and markets look resilient regarding the Russia-Ukraine crisis
Over a month has passed since the start of the conflict in Ukraine and, following the initial volatility swings across all segments, markets have been more constructive in the past few weeks. Rates have drifted higher, reaching 2.5% for US 10 year Treasuries, amid expectations of more aggressive monetary action. Equities are returning to pre-conflict levels, while commodities are still volatile but running cooler overall.
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Miscalculations and Recalculations
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has fully miscalculated the West’s response to his invasion of Ukraine. The speed, strength and unity of global sanctions is bringing about economic collapse in his country. A survey of economists by the Bank of Russia indicates the economy will contract 8% in 2022 and inflation will surge to 20% by the end of the year.
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Gold, Inflation and Geopolitical Tensions
Many investors see gold as a sort of haven in times of turmoil, and prices have surged amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Franklin Equity Group Portfolio Manager Steve Land outlines how his team approaches investing in the metals sector, and why smaller gold producers in particular look appealing.
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Equity Outlook: War Intensifies Inflation Test for Investors
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent inflation will be the dominant influence for equity investors through the remainder of 2022 and beyond.
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Large Cap Value, Inflation Fighter
Large-cap value stocks have characteristics that could make them compelling in the current environment and beyond.
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Market snapshot: Is a recession around the corner?
The US treasury yield curve inverted for the first time in almost three years, a traditional harbinger of a recession.
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Fixed-Income Outlook: Look to the Horizon in Stormy Seas
Russia’s war on Ukraine has shaken the world. From a massive humanitarian crisis to an energy shock to food insecurity, the ripple effects are already being felt near and far. Even if the conflict ends tomorrow, the invasion could have lasting global consequences. Amid heightened geopolitical tensions, continued volatility over the near term is the only certainty. Below are the top risks—and strategies—we think bond investors should keep in mind.