All Inflation articles – Page 36
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White papersRising yields put bond markets back on a road to normal
Rising inflation and slowing global growth are two dominant themes casting a pall over the current market environment. With increasing geopolitical uncertainty, tightening monetary policy, supply chain challenges and higher commodity prices at play, a period of global stagflation could potentially be on the horizon.
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PodcastHigh Yield: When Volatility Creates Opportunity
Investors are back at their desks and volatility has returned with them. How can they navigate an environment characterized by rising rates and decades-high inflation? Scott Roth and Adrienne Butler answer this question and more in the latest episode of Streaming Income.
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White papersHawks Are Gaining Speed
Here come the rate hikes. The upward surprise in euro area inflation and Jay Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole confirmed the ECB and Fed are both likely looking at 75bp hikes this month, and markets increased expectations as a result. Meanwhile, China reacts to new lockdown measures.
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White papersSqueezed in the middle?
Booms and busts in residential real estate have been historically linked to deep recessions and financial crises, especially when the boom is fuelled by debt. Marcus Cieleback, Chief Urban Economist at PATRIZIA, examines the risks in a time of increasing interest and inflation rates?
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White papersAdvanced Investment Phazer: a guide to dynamic asset allocation
Economic cycles have been a crucial driver for financial markets, making regime-based dynamic asset allocation (DAA) a common practice in supporting optimal portfolio construction. Changes in key economic indicators, monetary policy trends and the evolution of financial leverage have proven a reliable guide in identifying business cycle phases.
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White papersIs UK real estate heading back to the 1970s?
UK commercial real estate is facing 1970s-level inflation, but does it face the same boom and bust it did over 50 years ago?
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White papersHow to overhaul Europe’s outdated budget rules
Europe’s budget rules are in dire need of an overhaul. A new regime of higher inflation means the European Central Bank cannot on its own support growth or prevent fragmentation. But governments are hampered by fiscal constraints that are too simplistic and which, after years of breaches, lack credibility.
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White papersIs UK real estate heading back to the 1970s?
UK commercial real estate is facing 1970s-level inflation, but does it face the same boom and bust it did over 50 years ago?
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White papersQ2 2022 U.S. Research Perspective
“History Doesn’t Repeat Itself, But It Often Rhymes” - Mark Twain
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White papersSuspension of US-China climate talks puts global efforts at risk
Just as the US passed the USD 430 billion Inflation Reduction Act to tackle climate change among other major issues, China has suspended Sino-US collaboration on global warming. Details are not yet available, but the impact on global de-carbonisation could be substantial, especially if last November’s Joint Glasgow Declaration by the world’s largest CO2 emitters is at stake.
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White papersInfrastructure – rising rates and the “natural hedge”
Inflation has accelerated globally as a result of consumer demand, fuelled by fiscal policy, pushing into supply constraints due to COVID-19 and geopolitical upheaval. US inflation is running at 40-year highs and other advanced economies are at or near similar extremes.
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White papersGlobal Equity ESG Fund, H1 Report 2022
For long-term investors, the story is essentially unchanged, in fact, falling markets offer more attractive valuations on high-quality companies with a competitive edge.
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White papersMarkets Testing Central Bank Resolve
Despite hawkish comments by Fed officials this week, markets continue to price in a more dovish path for rates. The BoE hiked 50bps and downgraded its economic outlook, calling for a U.K. recession in Q4. Eyes will be on U.S. CPI next week to gauge whether inflation is peaking.
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White papersEmerging market debt: Looking for opportunities in challenging circumstances
Persistently high global inflation has forced the world’s leading central banks to start tightening monetary policy. However, the prices of many of the most vulnerable emerging market bond issuers are now quoted close to – and in some cases lower – than their expected recovery value.
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White papers*Global tensions: Investment strategies for uncertain markets*
Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are threatening market stability, yet many investors remain unprepared for the challenging times ahead. Private markets and private debt offer an attractive alternative.
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White papers*Can private markets help investors ride the inflation wave?*
Demographics, repetitive bouts of fiscal stimulus, and deglobalisation are among the factors pointing to prolonged higher inflation. Can private markets help investors sustain returns?
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White papersGlobal REITs Through Economic Cycles
As inflation continues to run at multi-decade highs around the globe, central banks continue to increase their pace at removing accommodation. The Bank of Canada, The Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand have all hiked interest rates by 50bps in the month of June, with even the Swiss National Bank surprising the market with a like-kind increase.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q3 2022
A combination of sustained inflation and mounting recession fears, interlinked with the geopolitical situation, are the main drivers affecting the current and forward-looking macro environments. The bulk of the uncertainty is in the short to medium term.
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White papersRecession Semantics
Whether the U.S. is actually in a recession is debatable, but high inflation will affect companies both positively and negatively.
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White papersGeopolitics vs. the race to net zero
The Ukraine crisis is a horrendous tragedy and the war will have a considerable impact on the European and global economy. It has brought sharply into focus the fragility of supply chains and energy security - which has manifested in runaway inflation.
