All Inflation articles – Page 40
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White papersPositioning Liquid Credit Portfolios For Rising Rates & Inflation
Martin Horne, Head of Global Public Fixed Income, discusses how to mitigate the risk of rising rates and inflation, touching on the potential benefits of floating rate assets and short-duration strategies.
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White papersShifts & Narratives #14 - Russia conflict marks a further step in the road back to the ‘70s
In recent history, geopolitical crises have tended to be short-lived and after an initial sell-off they provide buying opportunities for investors. It’s tempting to see a similar pattern in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which would explain why markets have been on a roller-coaster, with a fast recovery expected for any perceived positive development, after the initial negative shock when Russia launched its unexpected large scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - March 2022
We amend the narrative of our scenario to take into account the consequences of the war in Ukraine. We increase the probability of our downside scenario to 30% (from 15%) to reflect the rising risk of stagflation.
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White papersSpecial Ukraine
The invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops has caught Europe off guard, reminding it of the darkest hours before the Second World War. NATO countries and European leaders have so far ruled out direct military confrontation because of the risk of escalation between nuclear powers.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility, even as the Fed and the ECB displayed hawkish overtures earlier. We suggest a more cautious stance in credit amid rising liquidity risks and a less appealing risk/return profile for credit compared with equity.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - March 2022
The Russia/Ukraine crisis is pushing the regime shift one step further with more severe economic implications for some regions, in this case Europe because of its energy dependence and geographic proximity.
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White papersAn Equity Outlook: Are Stocks the Biggest Real Asset Out There?
It may be easy to take a bearish stance on equities today, but there’s a case for stocks to generate positive real returns on a strategic basis going forward. High household equity allocations may actually be warranted, elevated valuations don’t necessarily spell doom, populist pressures on earnings growth are surmountable and falling correlations within the equity market create more “potential energy” for active management to add alpha.
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White papersRussia’s Invasion: Eurozone Recovery Delayed but not Derailed
The economic impact of Russia’s invasion constitutes a clear negative supply shock for the euro area that creates a dilemma for policymakers. On the one hand, higher energy prices will hit economic activity, reduce confidence and damage trade and financial links. On the other hand, the conflict will raise inflation for firms and households.
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Research ReportPrimonial Reim Germany Convictions
The Research & Strategy Department’s role is to formalize Primonial REIM’s real estate investment strategies, based on continuous monitoring of the European markets. By nature, real estate is at the crossroads of financial (interest rates), economic (tenants), demographic and social factors. This is why a broad analysis is needed, which is also long term and therefore matches the horizon of most real estate investors.
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White papersReal Estate House View - Europe 2022
The ongoing demand for real estate has in recent years turned former niche sectors (logistics, healthcare) into pioneers, and we are hearing of new ones such as life science, data centres and self-storage.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility. Credit spreads (IG, HY and Euro peripherals) continued to widen while equity markets corrected further. The rotation towards value continued, but with a pause from the most cyclical segments, amid increasing economic growth risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
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VideoCredit Pulse: market update – 25 February 2022
In this Credit Pulse, we use analysis from our February Credit Strategy Meeting (CSM) and discuss the challenges we see arising in the markets and how the expectations formed a few months ago are challenged in the present environment.
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White papersAdjusting to the New Paradigm
Many investors could be lacking sufficient inflation exposure after experiencing such a long period of stable prices. Moreover, such a major economic inflection, combined with such fragile markets, is likely to be characterized by the kind of heightened market volatility we have already seen this year.
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White papersWhat to expect from UK real estate
Spreading investments across a range of property sectors is the best way to achieve gains in today’s rapidly changing market.
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White papersThe Inflation Inflection
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the range of policies aimed at mitigating its impact, has triggered a return to levels of inflation unseen for 40 years. While inflation is likely to moderate from these very high levels during 2022, we believe it will settle and persist at a rate higher than we have become used to over recent cycles.
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White papersUkraine invasion: market reaction
The crisis will create short-term uncertainty and add to inflationary pressures, say fund managers from the international business of Federated Hermes.
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White papers‘Greenflation’ – Navigating the climate policy, oil price and inflation nexus
Given the relationship between climate policies, oil prices and inflation and the difficulties in managing inflation through interest rate policy, it is worth taking a closer look at the dynamics involved. How might climate policies, oil prices and inflation evolve given the outlook for oil? To what extent are oil prices and consumer price inflation actually linked?
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PodcastCombatting Higher Rates & Inflation in Liquid Credit Portfolios
How can fixed income investors navigate a backdrop of rising rates and high inflation?
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White papersThe invasion of Ukraine: investment implications
Russian military activity with Ukraine is escalating rapidly, with growing uncertainty. As events unfold, we suggest investors remain focused on their long-term goals, but remain attuned to the potential shifts in and disruptions to inflation, growth, energy prices and global financial markets.
