All Inflation articles – Page 45
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility, even as the Fed and the ECB displayed hawkish overtures earlier. We suggest a more cautious stance in credit amid rising liquidity risks and a less appealing risk/return profile for credit compared with equity.
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White papers
Macroeconomic Picture - March 2022
The Russia/Ukraine crisis is pushing the regime shift one step further with more severe economic implications for some regions, in this case Europe because of its energy dependence and geographic proximity.
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White papers
An Equity Outlook: Are Stocks the Biggest Real Asset Out There?
It may be easy to take a bearish stance on equities today, but there’s a case for stocks to generate positive real returns on a strategic basis going forward. High household equity allocations may actually be warranted, elevated valuations don’t necessarily spell doom, populist pressures on earnings growth are surmountable and falling correlations within the equity market create more “potential energy” for active management to add alpha.
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Research Report
Primonial Reim Germany Convictions
The Research & Strategy Department’s role is to formalize Primonial REIM’s real estate investment strategies, based on continuous monitoring of the European markets. By nature, real estate is at the crossroads of financial (interest rates), economic (tenants), demographic and social factors. This is why a broad analysis is needed, which is also long term and therefore matches the horizon of most real estate investors.
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White papers
Real Estate House View - Europe 2022
The ongoing demand for real estate has in recent years turned former niche sectors (logistics, healthcare) into pioneers, and we are hearing of new ones such as life science, data centres and self-storage.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility. Credit spreads (IG, HY and Euro peripherals) continued to widen while equity markets corrected further. The rotation towards value continued, but with a pause from the most cyclical segments, amid increasing economic growth risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
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Video
Credit Pulse: market update – 25 February 2022
In this Credit Pulse, we use analysis from our February Credit Strategy Meeting (CSM) and discuss the challenges we see arising in the markets and how the expectations formed a few months ago are challenged in the present environment.
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White papers
Adjusting to the New Paradigm
Many investors could be lacking sufficient inflation exposure after experiencing such a long period of stable prices. Moreover, such a major economic inflection, combined with such fragile markets, is likely to be characterized by the kind of heightened market volatility we have already seen this year.
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White papers
What to expect from UK real estate
Spreading investments across a range of property sectors is the best way to achieve gains in today’s rapidly changing market.
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White papers
The Inflation Inflection
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the range of policies aimed at mitigating its impact, has triggered a return to levels of inflation unseen for 40 years. While inflation is likely to moderate from these very high levels during 2022, we believe it will settle and persist at a rate higher than we have become used to over recent cycles.
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White papers
Ukraine invasion: market reaction
The crisis will create short-term uncertainty and add to inflationary pressures, say fund managers from the international business of Federated Hermes.
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White papers
‘Greenflation’ – Navigating the climate policy, oil price and inflation nexus
Given the relationship between climate policies, oil prices and inflation and the difficulties in managing inflation through interest rate policy, it is worth taking a closer look at the dynamics involved. How might climate policies, oil prices and inflation evolve given the outlook for oil? To what extent are oil prices and consumer price inflation actually linked?
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Podcast
Combatting Higher Rates & Inflation in Liquid Credit Portfolios
How can fixed income investors navigate a backdrop of rising rates and high inflation?
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White papers
The invasion of Ukraine: investment implications
Russian military activity with Ukraine is escalating rapidly, with growing uncertainty. As events unfold, we suggest investors remain focused on their long-term goals, but remain attuned to the potential shifts in and disruptions to inflation, growth, energy prices and global financial markets.
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White papers
Five questions on asset-backed securities
David Favier, senior portfolio manager of European ABS strategies, reflects on the impact of the pandemic and the outlook for 2022.
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White papers
Russia-Ukraine escalation adds to the case for additional protection
The investment landscape has become riskier. The escalation in geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with Russian military forces entering the Donbas region, adds to the uncertainty regarding central bank actions to fight inflationary pressures.
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White papers
The myriad of challenges – and opportunities – facing fixed income in 2022
The question of whether inflation is likely to prove temporary or more persistent is just one of the challenges facing fixed income investors this year. Buying on the dips may no longer be sufficient as the focus of central banks switches to containing inflation rather than simply rallying to support financial markets.
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White papers
The return of the European consumer
European consumer spending rebounded in 2021, but it lagged the much stronger recovery in the United States. In 2022, I expect that gap to close. Despite numerous headwinds, like soaring energy prices and falling consumer confidence, I believe Europeans will be saving less of their income this year and that there is enough pent-up demand to propel robust consumption growth.
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White papers
The Supply-Led Inflation Challenge
The Fed could end up playing checkers while the economy is playing chess—with potentially worldwide consequences.