All Inflation articles – Page 42
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White papersThe journey back to zero real rates
Real interest rates in the US and Europe have reached negative levels that are unprecedented in recent history. We have to go back to the 1970s to find similar levels, and only a handful of past examples since WWII can be used as reference points.
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White papersKeeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022
2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase and face the challenge of retuning to normality: fiscal and monetary policies will tighten up at a time when the growth/inflation mix is becoming more challenging and there is much less room for manoeuvre in terms of policy.
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White papersReal assets: An alternative way to hedge inflation risk
As inflation soars to levels not seen in years, the costs of hedging against it via traditional liquid market securities are becoming prohibitively expensive. Real assets might offer institutional investors a better option, argues Luke Layfield.
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White papersWhat does inflation mean for real estate investors?
We ask if real estate can help protect portfolios against a sustained period of inflation.
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White papersFive Ways Technology Companies Offer Inflation Protection
From the advent of electricity to the adoption of the internet, technology has often been a catalyst for cost reduction. Yet today, investors may find that some technology companies can raise prices amid inflationary pressures, adding to their fundamental appeal in a challenging economic environment.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2022
Recent sharp increase in nominal and real yields has been reflected in strong movements in equity markets, causing a rotation out of growth into value stocks. We think the uncertainty (Covid, geopolitics) would continue as markets assess the path of inflation, economic growth and monetary policy.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine tensions: geopolitical risk adds volatility to risk assets
Geopolitical dimension of the crisis: tensions stand at their highest point in years, after Moscow deployed 100,000 troops to its border with the Ukraine’s Donbas region. The geopolitical risk between Russia and the West remains deadlocked since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula and the consequent Western sanctions to Russia.
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PodcastEM Debt in 2022: China, COVID & Central Banks
What lies ahead for EM debt markets in 2022? Risks include higher rates and inflation as well as uncertainties surrounding China and the path of the pandemic. But with defaults still low and spreads wide by historical standards, opportunities look likely to arise.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2022
January has seen strong gyrations in markets, with nominal and real yields rising sharply, driving a strong shift from growth to value in equities. The reassessment of the inflation premium in the wake of demanding valuations has driven a strong repricing of risk premia.
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White papersEquity Market Correction Opens Door for Quality Recovery
It’s been a challenging start to the year for equity investors, with markets dragged down by a sell-off starting in expensive technology stocks, particularly in the US. While the correction is unsettling, we think it may open the door for a healthier recovery in which companies with high-quality, sustainable businesses can stand out.
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White papers*Environmental thematic investing set for strong growth in 2022*
While 2020 was one of the best years for pure environmental thematic investing, with the segment up by more than 100%, it saw a significant – and healthy – consolidation in 2021. It underperformed the MSCI ACWI index despite company fundamentals improving notably and regulatory and policy support bolstering ...
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives - January 2022
Global economic growth looks likely to continue in 2022, albeit at a more modest pace. The COVID-19 pandemic does, however, add uncertainty to the outlook, as evidenced by the recent emergence of the Omicron variant.
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White papersSolving for a Year of Inflections
The Solving for 2022 delegates voted on what they think will be this year’s best-performing investment category—and here’s why we think they are right.
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White papersInvesting in 2022: Four key market drivers
The pandemic and rising inflation were prevailing drivers of markets in 2021. But the economic squeeze which dominated 2020 finally started to loosen its grip, as the world started to get back to something resembling ‘normality’ in the second half of last year.
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White papers1Q: 2022 Strategic Investment Outlook: Four Strategic Allocation Issues for Asset Owners in 2022
Four strategic issues—from evolving inflation drivers to a reassessment of real-return prospects and liquidity risks for equities—could have far-reaching implications for strategic asset allocations in the coming year. The action points offered in this note include both changes to portfolio structure and potential alterations in approach.
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White papersReal assets: The strategic allocation for inflation defense
Allocating to listed real assets may help investors better manage inflation risks—while also enhancing diversification potential and risk-adjusted returns.
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White papersSpectrum 2022 Outlook
We expect a slower pace of growth in 2022 due to monetary tightening and reduced fiscal policy support.
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White papersShifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation: an investor view
Inflation was the big surprise in 2021. At the beginning of the year, the average US inflation forecast by economists for the end of 2021 was around 2%, while the latest reading in December came in at 7.0% YoY, the highest level since 1982.
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White papersMoney and its velocity matter: the great comeback of the quantity equation of money in an era of regime shift
The velocity of money (V) depends on P = the general price level, T = the total amount of goods and services produced and M = the total amount of money in circulation, and can be expressed by the formula V = PT/M.
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White papersInflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack
It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the US?
