All Inflation articles – Page 42
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Inflation – is it beyond transitory and now structural?
With inflation sitting at the core of many issues that investors are grappling with today, David Parsons sits down with Miles Tym and Richard Ryan to consider the pacing of central bank policies to tackle this rising concerns, the potential danger points following interest rate hikes and how an evolving environment might impact a wider range of bond assets, specifically corporate bonds.
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Video“More can be spent than thought on the SDGs and the Paris pledges“
Trillions of dollars are needed for the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals and those of the Paris Agreement to be met – both are critical for a sound and sustainable economy. Yet existing policies are hindering the necessary flows of capital and require a reset. Enter Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).
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White papersOn My Mind: The Long and Winding Road…
With inflation running at multi-decade highs, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai believes major central banks are well behind the curve to tighten monetary policy—and why she thinks markets still underestimate the long, volatile adjustment period that lies ahead.
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White papersUK Equities: Where Next?
Despite the pressures on household finances, there are encouraging signs for continued UK economic growth—and attractive market valuations.
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White papersTop ESG equities show their resilience in 2021
Coming out of a volatile 2020, the sharp rise in inflation and the potential for rising rates were two of the key market drivers during 2021 – and certainly have been for the beginning of 2022. This backdrop does not look set to alter dramatically, at least in the near term.
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White papersInvestment Viewpoint: Asia Fixed Income Outlook 2022
2021 was historic for our asset class by many accounts. Asian High Yield (HY) had its worst annual performance since 2008, down over 11% and recorded a default rate of 13%.1 There was an unprecedented USD 50 billion of Chinese HY defaults which means one third of Chinese HY defaulted in 2021.
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White papersWhat’s the outlook for European asset-backed securities in 2022?
European asset-backed securities (ABS) outperformed many other areas of fixed income last year as investors were drawn by their floating rate properties and supportive fundamentals, including a resilient labour market and low arrears in underlying asset pools. But how strong is the outlook for securitisations in 2022?
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White papersSupply Chain Strain in Labor
The second paper in our supply chain series assesses the extent of labor market disruptions in two of the world’s largest economies, and we find modest near-term labor market shortages in the euro area.
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White papersSupply Chain Strain in Manufacturing
One of the most salient economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the sharp disruption of global supply chains. The simultaneous emergence of large demand boosts and supply shortages led to sharp price increases.
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White papersPressures Continue to Build for Fed Hikes
U.S. CPI pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 2% for the first time since the onset of COVID, and U.S. rate hike expectations increased, with markets pricing in 50% odds of a 50bps hike in March. Meanwhile, European inflation expectations are also edging higher.
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White papersInflation is starting to burn - Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
Persistent inflation, above pre crisis levels, except for China.
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White papersFinding the Middle Path in Extreme Equity Markets
Equity markets were jolted in January amid growing concerns about macroeconomic threats. For investors seeking more stable equity allocations, stocks “in the middle,” with high-quality features and reasonable valuations, can help portfolios cope with volatility.
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White papersDisruptive tech – Far-reaching changes that have further to go
The extensive changes in how we work, consume and communicate over the last few years have augmented disruption from information technology. This is propelling advances in, for example, cloud computing, the internet of things, content streaming and artificial intelligence.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts and Views - Reasons for cautious optimism in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) faced a backlash in 2021 as a consequence of the Chinese slowdown, rising inflation and – at the end of the year – a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed). As such, investors, including us, have been cautious and very selective on EM assets.
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White papersSupply Chain Strain: Overview
Exploring how disruptions in the manufacturing, labor, and commodities markets may affect inflation and fixed-income investments.
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White papersMacro Perspectives: Have we reached the pivot point?
In this Macro Perspectives, our economists discuss what’s fueling inflation and how policymakers are combating it without dampening growth—they offer differing views on whether inflation will abate or accelerate as the year progresses.
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White papersUS vs. Europe inflation – A tale of two continents
Following the US Federal Reserve’s lead, central banks in Europe turned hawkish in the first week of February. Our inflation-linked bond specialists, however, see important differences in the outlook for inflation in the eurozone compared to the US.
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White papersAre Markets Signaling a Slowdown?
We see no sign of impending recession in calm credit markets, and in our view the flattening Treasury curve likely has more to do with the market’s failure to recognize growing structural inflationary forces.
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White papersBank of England Races to Catch up to Inflation
Central banks around the world, including the US Federal Reserve, have turned more hawkish lately—pivoting from supporting a COVID-ravaged economy to fighting stubbornly high inflation. The Bank of England (BoE) continued that trend at its February meeting.
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White papersInflation in Turkey could very well reach 50% and more in the coming months
Because of unorthodox economic policies, Turkey will face a tough year ahead, with inflation peaking at a 20-year high… but we do see some lights at the end of the tunnel!
