All Government Bonds articles – Page 3
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White papersThe fight against inflation enters extra time
Despite closing in on their inflation targets, US and European central bankers appear hesitant to cut rates. Jonathan Gregory explores the differing drivers behind this, as well as the overall implications for bond markets.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - February 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 2 February 2024
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White papersWhere are the best opportunities at the short end of the curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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White papersCrossover bonds: a replacement for investment grade
This insight is the first of a three-part series about corporate credit rated BBB to BB, which is also known as crossover.
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White papersTreasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
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White papersThe Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
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White papersNatural Selection: Evaluating Debt-for-Nature Swaps
Investors are becoming increasingly aware of the importance of biodiversity and the urgency of preserving our planet’s natural capital—the stock of natural resources that underpin our economy and society, including minerals, soils, air, water and all living organisms. In response, bond issuers are launching more conservation-linked bond structures that can help indebted developing countries protect their vulnerable ecosystems. These structures require careful evaluation.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2024: Bonds Roar Back
The tide has turned for bonds. Here’s what we think is in store for 2024.
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White papersTaxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersInvestors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
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White papersDovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2023
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersSwiss bonds: out of the comfort zone
When it comes to asset allocation, many investors rely on passive and low-cost building blocks, justifying this with the cliche that active approaches do not fulfill their promise anyway and have exorbitant fees.
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White papersTracking the Transition from Tighter Policy to Corporate Spreads
We explore the historical transmission from tighter monetary policy to corporate bond spreads and the respective investment implications under our “weakflation” scenario.
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White papersCOP28: Expect Disappointment and You’ll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
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White papers2024 municipal bond market outlook: Increased optimism for the year ahead
Muni bonds now offer historically elevated yields; fundamentals in the muni market remain stable; and when compared to corporate debt, tax-free muni bonds tend to display lower default characteristics.
