All Government Bonds articles – Page 3
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White papersECB cuts rates again this year
“Declining price pressures are leading central banks such as the ECB to reduce policy rates. This, coupled with uncertainty over economic growth, could potentially be supportive for European bonds.”
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White papersWhat does India’s benchmark inclusion mean for investors
Indian government bonds have been added to the global emerging market bond index, providing foreign investors access to India’s $1.3 trillion government bond market. The move could improve capital flows into the country, as well as stabilise yields.
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White papersCentral banks divergences on display
The Fed left interest rates unchanged in its latest policy meeting in July but acknowledged that price pressures are subsiding. This could encourage the Fed to reduce interest rates later this year. Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England (BoE) implemented its first rate cut since early 2020 on abating inflation in the UK. In contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised policy rates for the second time this year to control upward pressures on inflation.
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White papersLDI: Elections and market reform competing for attention
Whilst most central banks erred on the side of caution, reticent to commence the monetary easing cycle in response to falling inflation and slowing growth, the ECB was the first to take the plunge. With the downside risks to growth in Europe much higher now given the political and fiscal uncertainty in France, as well as a slowdown in German manufacturing growth, the ECB’s deliberate vagueness on the path of easing has allowed it to retain optionality on future cuts.
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White papersThe case for bonds (as rates inch towards normalisation)
With the Fed expected to begin its easing cycle later this year, bond markets appear poised to generate income to a degree not seen since before the 2008-09 financial crisis.
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White papersThree often-overlooked investments insurers are using to add duration
Increasing duration was the most popular course of action in Nuveen’s 2024 EQuilibrium survey of institutional investors. Half of the 800 respondents said they would be doing this, in contrast to the 19% who planned to decrease it. And insurers were even more likely to extend: 61% of North American insurers, 58% in Asia Pacific and 53% in Europe.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 3Q 2024
Widening Differences, New Opportunities After months of anticipation, a broader move to lower policy rates appears on its way. However, the varied pace of easing, along with dispersion in economic growth and strains on the credit front, may widen the gap between winners and losers across the fixed income spectrum. We believe this should enhance opportunities for active managers in navigating a new landscape.
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White papersGeopolitics in focus as NATO leaders meet
Invest globally, look for potential opportunities in emerging markets, and balance equities with government bonds to navigate uncertainty from US elections and geopolitical hotspots.
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White papersUncovering US muni bond opportunity
With inflationary pressures now easing, generationally high yield levels in the US municipal bond sector and the historic resilience of the asset class are proving increasingly attractive to both domestic and global investors, says Insight Investment1 senior portfolio manager Jeffrey Burger.
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White papersEMEA Investment grade outlook, H2 2024
Inflation is finally coming down, central banks are poised to cut rates, and credit spreads have withstood volatility in government bonds. So where do we see things going from here?
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White papersFrontier markets: select opportunities in local bonds
After facing a number of shocks, select frontier local markets are looking more attractive thanks to a combination of large exchange rate devaluations, tighter monetary policies and increased external financing.
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White papersIndian bonds go global
Indian government bonds have gained attention recently due to their inclusion in a leading emerging markets bond index starting from 28 June. This key milestone has sparked renewed interest from global investors.
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White papersShifting forces - Adapting to a new investment landscape
After a period of relative stability, waves of structural changes have recently led to a shift in the investment regime. With higher interest rates, inflation and geopolitical fragility, the environment is highly unpredictable. How can investors navigate the challenges ahead?
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White papersUS inflation is moderating
“Falling price pressures should be supportive of US government bonds and investors could also explore other quality fixed income assets in developed as well as emerging markets.”
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White papersAre U.S. and European Bonds About to Break Ranks?
The two markets have marched in lockstep for several months, setting up the potential for attractive relative-value and dispersion trades.
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White papersThe snap election could put QE losses back in focus
Back in 2021, when the Bank of England (BoE) announced the end of quantitative easing (QE) and the beginning of quantitative tightening (QT), few commentators understood how out of kilter the Bank’s balance sheet had become compared to central bank norms. The result has been losses on the BoE bond portfolios that dwarf those of other central banks.
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White papersBond investing when Central Banks are in motion
2024 is establishing a new market dynamic for bond investors. After the great repricing of 2022 and 2023 when market attention was mainly tilted towards inflation, 2024 is increasingly seeing a more balanced focus towards both inflation and growth. Moving ahead, the slowdown in inflation should continue, although reaching the 2% target may take longer than initially expected by the market, and the route is going to be bumpy as inflation remains sticky.
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White papersThe Changing Asian Landscape – Part 3: China Takes It Slow
The world may want higher growth, but Chinese policymakers are employing a balanced approach.
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BlogThe Case for Rebalancing into Bonds, in Pictures
In the current market environment, we see a compelling case for rebalancing into bonds vs. both stock and cash.
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White papersFixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
