All Government Bonds articles – Page 3
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PodcastA World in Debt: US Treasuries
Guy: Welcome everyone to the “MIM Cuts to the Chase” podcast series. I’m your host, Guy Haselmann, and today we will discuss and unravel the US Treasury Bond market – which I often refer to as “the most important market in the world”. In light of the record-breaking U.S. Treasury issuance and looming large fiscal deficits, I think our discussion here couldn’t be timelier.
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VideoYour Questions Answered: Unconstrained Credit
In this video, Fraser Lundie, Head of Fixed Income – Public Markets, responds to the key questions that are front of mind for credit investors at the present time.
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White papersEuro government bond opportunities in a rate cutting environment
With inflation decelerating overall and markets pricing in rate cuts for 2024, the environment is ripe for European government bonds to thrive, explains Mauro Valle, Head of Fixed Income at Generali Asset Management.
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White papersCan the US sustain a rising debt burden?
The United States is approaching an unprecedented level of debt, exceeding historical highs experienced post-World War II. This situation indicates that fiscal adjustment is unavoidable, as the country cannot simply outgrow its debt dilemma. Despite high domestic and external demand for US debt, relying on this demand amid such significant debt increases is risky.
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White papersFed in no rush after strong US data
”Stronger-than-expected economic data means that there is no rush for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. We expect the first Fed cut to occur in June.”
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White papersIndia in 2024: a trio of new positive catalysts
2024 will undoubtedly be a year of weaker global growth, largely led by the US and China. Yet we believe the combination of 1) a US soft landing, 2) slowing global inflation and 3) global monetary easing will mean riskier assets perform better. We believe strong returns are possible for Asian equities, especially when GDP growth projections are much higher for Asia ex Japan than for developed market peers.
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White papersThe Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads In Positioning Equity Portfolios
On February 5, 2024, the yield spread between the Baa corporate bond and the 10-year Treasury bond sat at 157 bps—just 9 bps wider than the narrowest level seen since 2000.
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White papersThe fight against inflation enters extra time
Despite closing in on their inflation targets, US and European central bankers appear hesitant to cut rates. Jonathan Gregory explores the differing drivers behind this, as well as the overall implications for bond markets.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - February 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 2 February 2024
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White papersWhere are the best opportunities at the short end of the curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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White papersCrossover bonds: a replacement for investment grade
This insight is the first of a three-part series about corporate credit rated BBB to BB, which is also known as crossover.
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White papersTreasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
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White papersThe Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
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White papersNatural Selection: Evaluating Debt-for-Nature Swaps
Investors are becoming increasingly aware of the importance of biodiversity and the urgency of preserving our planet’s natural capital—the stock of natural resources that underpin our economy and society, including minerals, soils, air, water and all living organisms. In response, bond issuers are launching more conservation-linked bond structures that can help indebted developing countries protect their vulnerable ecosystems. These structures require careful evaluation.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2024: Bonds Roar Back
The tide has turned for bonds. Here’s what we think is in store for 2024.
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White papersTaxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
