All Government Bonds articles – Page 6
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Allview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2023
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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Swiss bonds: out of the comfort zone
When it comes to asset allocation, many investors rely on passive and low-cost building blocks, justifying this with the cliche that active approaches do not fulfill their promise anyway and have exorbitant fees.
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COP28: Expect Disappointment and You’ll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
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Recent economic data confirms our outlook
”With softer economic growth ahead and the Fed expected to cut rates in 2024, this supports our positive stance on developed and emerging market bonds.”
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Up then (marginally) down again
Markets rose earlier in the week on hopes of an interest rate freeze from the world’s central banks; only to reverse course on the back of less dovish outlooks from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.
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The peak in rate hikes is an inflection point for bonds
You don’t have to be bearish on the economy to be optimistic on the bond market. Here’s why
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Central banks’ unwinding will put more public debt in market hands
The recent surge in global bond yields is partly ascribed to market worries about a greater supply of debt coming from governments. Some of this increase in yields should reverse when inflation nears central banks’ targets and monetary policy is less restrictive.
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Asset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
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Shorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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Will Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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Don’t expect rates volatility to decline overnight
The volatility in interest rates has surged over the past two years as central banks have fought this long-lasting increase in inflation. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we explain how this risk evolution has significantly reshaped our asset allocation.
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A view on Italy and its government debt
On 20 October, S&P Global Ratings announced that it was keeping its rating of Italian debt unchanged with a stable outlook. The rating agency’s decision kicks-off a wave of autumn credit assessments and will be followed by DBRS Morningstar on 27 October, Fitch Ratings on 10 November and finally Moody’s on 17 November
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Treasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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How ESG monitoring can enhance sovereign bond investing
Fundamental research has always been at the heart of our investment approach, The Capital SystemTM. We believe that analysing material environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues can help us better understand long-term risks and opportunities.
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Central banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 9 October 2023
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A bond market bruising: market snapshot
The yield on global government bonds reached multi-decade highs this week, as markets adjust to a sustained period of higher interest rates.
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Higher for Longer, Longer the Stronger
We are leaning into quality as markets start to focus away from near-term tailwinds and onto medium-term headwinds.
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Markets hit by ‘higher for longer’ rate expectations
After a volatile September, the S&P 500 Index is heading towards its first quarterly loss in 12 months.
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Income Generator: Back in Bonds
Bonds are once again becoming a cornerstone allocation within portfolios. We explain five actions bond investors could consider to capitalize on current trends we’ve identified.