All Government Bonds articles – Page 11
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White papersEurope’s recovery is booming, but is inflation here to stay?
Mauro Valle, head of fixed income at Generali Investments Partners S.p.A. Società di gestione del risparmio and manager of the GIS Euro Bond fund range, discusses why he is cautious on inflation risk and why the outlook is positive for Italian government bonds.
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White papersReconciling the Data and the Markets
Inflation is up, Treasury yields are down, and the recovery trade is on the ropes—we believe it’s all more evidence of a fiercely debating, two-way market.
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White papersGravity Will Not Prevail–At Least Not Yet
In advanced economies, storefronts have opened, effective vaccines are rolling out, and people are ready to return to “life as we knew it.” However, normalcy will not return until the pandemic is over globally—unless borders remain closed, with unknown collateral damage.
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White papersChina’s bond defaults could be a blessing in disguise
Rising defaults in China show that Beijing meant business when it pledged to retreat from the distorting effects of its implicit guarantee policy and deleverage the system by allowing bad companies to exit. The daunting task is to avoid contagion. Can Beijing pull it off in an orderly fashion?
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White papersEuro fixed income: EGB supply/demand dynamics to improve in H2-21
EMU-10 EGB net issuance, net of ECB QE purchases, is likely to be negative in H2 this year for three main reasons: 1) front loading of sovereign debt supply in H1, 2) roughly 60% of yearly bond redemptions still to come, and 3) ECB QE purchases to remain steadily high.
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White papersIs the bond broken?
An allocation to government bonds within a multi-asset portfolio has traditionally played a vital role in terms of risk management and diversification.
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White papersInflation Expectations And Interest Rates In The US
Recently, concerns about rising inflation rates have grown. Yield curves have steepened and interest rate levels have increased.
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White papersMunis in a new light
Things are not always what they seem. This is proving true in the municipal bond market, where a perception shift is underway that carries profound implications – and opportunities – for investors.
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White papersDo Surging Public Debt levels bring Higher (or lower) Bond Yields?
The narrative that rising public debt levels bring higher interest rates, as well as risks of economic and financial disruptions, is a foundation of classical economics.
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White papersViews from the credit desk: Bullish and Bearish Cases
2021 has seen a wide dispersion in asset price returns, driven by a more inflationary environment. Commodities, stocks and high-yield are up, but investment-grade and government bonds are down.
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White papersMid-Year 2021 Outlook
Covid-19 negatively impacted 2020 European growth to various degrees. Regardless of its precise speed, the 2021-22 recovery is expected to be solid. But, this strength is also raising concerns on inflation.
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White papersUS Stock-Bond Correlation: What are the Macroeconomic Drivers?
For the last 20y, the correlation between stock and bond returns has been negative, enabling CIOs to increase stock allocations, with bonds acting as a hedge, while still satisfying a given risk budget.
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White papersBond investors beware – US rates may rise sooner than thought
US bond markets have begun pricing in higher interest rates, specifically two 25 basis point (bp) increases in the benchmark fed funds rate by 2023.
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White papersA Crack in China’s debt foundation
Bonds issued by China’s biggest distressed debt asset manager just lost 40% of their value—how concerned should we be?
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White papersThree Strategies for Navigating Turbulent Bond Markets
Today’s market environment taps into bond investors’ primal fears. Extremely low yields make it tough to find sufficient income and potential return. Economic growth is rebounding from its 2020 collapse, but the world’s grip on recovery is uncertain.
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White papersFixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
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White papersA U.S. Treasury Bear is Born
Bear markets typically begin cloaked in a spirit of denial. Confutation can be virtuous because decline owns up to problems and making a change to solve them is often too painful. It’s human nature to seek pleasure to avoid pain. So, folks resist and hang on to their dogmas unyielding beliefs like “inflation hasn’t happened and can’t happen because demographics and technology won’t allow it to happen just look at Europe and Japan.” Certainly, an entire generation has grown to acquaint a bond bear but just for a brief “hello” and a more celebrated long “good-bye”.
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White papersIncreasing Yield with US Corporate Bonds
For 2021, with interest rates very low and spreads tight, investors are wondering where to turn in order to generate returns in the liquid fixed income universe. We will show that US credit investments offer attractive returns even after currency hedging. Due to a steep US yield curve, the expected return is higher than the current yield.
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White papersQ2 2021 Investment View - Some like it hot
On the ground it does not feel like it just yet, as Europe battles with a third wave of infections, but markets are fast proceeding to the Covid crisis exit door. Too fast? We do not think so and see room for further rotation.
