All Government Bonds articles – Page 7
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White papers
Gilts: Testing market appetite for UK Government debt
The Gilt market is bigger than it has ever been – and more volatile than it has been in decades, which throws up interesting and exciting opportunities.
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White papers
Brasília riots add to investor caution over Brazil
Financial markets have been relatively unmoved by storming of capital by supporters of outgoing president but the deep divisions the attacks highlighted remain a concern.
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White papers
Asset Allocation Committee Outlook: 1Q 2023
Neuberger Berman’s Asset Allocation Committee meets every quarter to poll its members on their outlook for the next 12 months on each of the asset classes noted and, through debate and discussion, to refine our market outlook. The panel covers the gamut of investments and markets, bringing together diverse industry knowledge, with an average of 30 years of experience.
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White papers
An improved toolbox to manage volatility and provide income
Concerns around inflation have driven core government bond yields upwards to levels not seen for more than a decade
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Blog
Yield is Destiny; Bonds are Back
Bond investors shouldn’t lose sight of the fact 2022’s historic increase in bond yields could lead to bond returns in the next decade that are two to three times higher than the prior decade.
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White papers
2023 US muni bond outlook: A rough year in muni markets, yet reasons for optimism
While 2022 was a challenging year for the muni-bond market, 2023 is setting up for more positive momentum, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Municipal Bond Director Ben Barber. Read the team’s views on the year ahead.
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White papers
Asset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2022
We reiterate the main driver affecting the current and forward-looking macro environments is a combination of sustained inflation, mounting recession fears and geopolitical developments. Price stability has become the paramount goal and even more complicated to reach, therefore CBs will make sure high inflation will not be entrenched in economic agents’ long-term expectations.
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White papers
Bonds that build back better
Some might argue that building a sustainable economy is a technological problem. It isn’t. The world is sufficiently stocked with greenhouse gas-reducing technologies such as renewable fuels, carbon capture and energy storage. What it lacks is capital.
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White papers
Tighter Conditions Begin to Squeeze the Economy
As the economy slows, an epic climb in short-dated rates and bond yields appears to have shocked investors into accepting the prospect of stickier inflation, but they still seem reluctant to price for substantially lower earnings.
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White papers
Fixed Income Investment Outlook: 4Q 2022
Despite volatility, the basic storyline of inflation and the Federal Reserve should continue to drive market behavior. Over the months ahead, we anticipate continued tightening by the Fed and challenging European growth trends, with tail risks tied to the U.K., China weakness and policy overreach. A focus on shorter durations and quality, with opportunistic exposure to longer bonds and credit, merits consideration.
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White papers
TLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation
TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters. So far, banks have repaid a small amount of liquidity, while the ECB’s recent decision on remuneration of excess reserves has helped keep current excess liquidity abundant, aiming at a smooth transmission of its monetary policy.
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White papers
The Nominal and the Real
What might be the playbook for a potential recession in which nominal GDP grows by 8%—and are investors only just recognizing that they need one?
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White papers
Climate Transition: A World of Compromises (Part II)
Raise your eyes on the horizon—beyond the immediate central bank challenges, the lingering impact of COVID, and the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine—to consider three key climate-related issues that investors will wish they had known about 10 years from now.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - June 2022
The repricing of a more aggressive Fed stance has been brutal as the 10Y UST yield temporarily reached the 3% threshold, falling close to 2.75% recently on economic growth concerns. We think investors should move towards neutrality on duration in the US and Europe, whereas in credit, they should focus on quality and stay cautious on higher-risk segments in Europe.
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White papers
The Rising Costs of a Drawn-Out War
Financial markets may not ebb and flow with major developments on the battlefield anymore, but we believe they do still need to come to terms with the war’s lasting inflationary impact.
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White papers
Middle Eastern Resilience: Improving Economic Activity and Defensive Characteristics
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has been resilient despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and rising inflation, according to Franklin Templeton’s Dino Kronfol and Salah Shamma. While Ukraine and Russia are remote from the region and linkages are not direct nor easy to identify, they give their views on how local economies are faring amid the volatility.
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White papers
Floating to safety with senior AAA European asset-backed securities
Rising inflation and interest rates are eroding the value of cash and putting pressure on government and corporate bond yields. We believe investors can help towards protecting their portfolios by reallocating some of their cash holdings to potentially higher-yielding, defensive floating rate securities. Senior AAA European asset-backed securities (ABS) offer a sizeable yield premium for those willing to hold these positions for 6-12 months or longer.
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White papers
War, Inflation, and Markets
Investors appear to be refocusing on pre-war concerns about economic fundamentals—but finding that this horrific conflict has exacerbated them.
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White papers
Uncertainty Increases
As events in Ukraine see geopolitical tensions mount, the lack of an easy route to a stable resolution suggests that the impact of energy prices may persist. At the very least it compounds the uncertainty from an already challenging growth, inflation and policy mix. Policymakers seem to be walking a tightrope.