All Government Bonds articles – Page 7
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White papersThe Changing Asian Landscape – Part 3: China Takes It Slow
The world may want higher growth, but Chinese policymakers are employing a balanced approach.
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White papersFixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
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White papersAn Ocean of Difference
‘Copy and paste’ your U.S. inflation outlook onto Europe and you may miss the opportunity in core European bonds.
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White papersWith trillions looking to come off the subs bench is this the year of the bond?
After an aggressive global rate hiking cycle trillions of dollars are poised to re-enter the market once central banks begin to ease, but risks still remain. The fixed income experts discuss generating returns despite market noise, including taking advantage of the expanding corporate bond market.
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White papersECB’s next move should be a rate cut
”Inflation remains the main driver of central banks’ policy actions. We could see more appetite for European bonds as the ECB looks on track to start cutting rates in June.”
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White papersRotations at play in equity markets
In 2024, the equity rally has weakened in the tech heavy Nasdaq Index which was the leader last year, now in favour of other regions. Large cap companies in the Eurozone and Japan posted double digit returns in Q1.
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PodcastA World in Debt: US Treasuries
Guy: Welcome everyone to the “MIM Cuts to the Chase” podcast series. I’m your host, Guy Haselmann, and today we will discuss and unravel the US Treasury Bond market – which I often refer to as “the most important market in the world”. In light of the record-breaking U.S. Treasury issuance and looming large fiscal deficits, I think our discussion here couldn’t be timelier.
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VideoYour Questions Answered: Unconstrained Credit
In this video, Fraser Lundie, Head of Fixed Income – Public Markets, responds to the key questions that are front of mind for credit investors at the present time.
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White papersEuro government bond opportunities in a rate cutting environment
With inflation decelerating overall and markets pricing in rate cuts for 2024, the environment is ripe for European government bonds to thrive, explains Mauro Valle, Head of Fixed Income at Generali Asset Management.
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White papersCan the US sustain a rising debt burden?
The United States is approaching an unprecedented level of debt, exceeding historical highs experienced post-World War II. This situation indicates that fiscal adjustment is unavoidable, as the country cannot simply outgrow its debt dilemma. Despite high domestic and external demand for US debt, relying on this demand amid such significant debt increases is risky.
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White papersFed in no rush after strong US data
”Stronger-than-expected economic data means that there is no rush for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. We expect the first Fed cut to occur in June.”
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White papersThe Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads In Positioning Equity Portfolios
On February 5, 2024, the yield spread between the Baa corporate bond and the 10-year Treasury bond sat at 157 bps—just 9 bps wider than the narrowest level seen since 2000.
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White papersThe fight against inflation enters extra time
Despite closing in on their inflation targets, US and European central bankers appear hesitant to cut rates. Jonathan Gregory explores the differing drivers behind this, as well as the overall implications for bond markets.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - February 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 2 February 2024
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White papersWhere are the best opportunities at the short end of the curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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White papersTreasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
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White papersThe Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
