All Government Bonds articles – Page 7
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White papersEconomic nationalism will present a constant challenge for investors
To prepare a presentation on what has changed for long-term investors during the past decade I dug out my notes from 2014. The results were sobering.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2024
With the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut, we anticipate broad easing by central banks over the next year across the developed world. However, some caution may be warranted on duration, as markets may be overly optimistic about the initial pace of reductions. Meanwhile still sturdy, if softening, economic conditions along with strong investor demand have contributed to narrow corporate credit spreads, reinforcing the value of a quality emphasis and drawing on yield and price opportunities wherever they emerge.
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White papersAll eyes on inflation
“We believe the Federal Reserve will weigh the inflation numbers in the context of the weakening labour markets. We expect the Fed to continue to ease monetary policy.”
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White papersChina: Is this the “whatever it takes” moment?
China’s recent stimulus measures, including monetary easing and a massive fiscal pledge, have sparked a sharp rally in equities, particularly in real estate and consumer staples. While market sentiment has improved, the long-term impact will hinge on the actual scale and execution of fiscal policy. Investors are cautiously optimistic, but much depends on how effectively China targets its property sector and broader economy.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2024
Capital markets whipsawed between a weakening US labour market and hopes that the Fed would successfully steer the economy towards a soft landing. Markets are optimistically interpreting the latest policy action, which could potentially boost consumption and investment. The other narrative is that the Fed would not have implemented a big cut without having apprehensions on the economic front.
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White papersThe bullish case for European fixed income
Mauro Valle, Head of Fixed Income at Generali Asset Management, explains why he expects duration to maintain its bullish momentum for the final months of 2024, and why the short- to medium-term part of the yield curve should be a sweet spot for bond investors.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 5 September 2024
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White papersECB cuts rates again this year
“Declining price pressures are leading central banks such as the ECB to reduce policy rates. This, coupled with uncertainty over economic growth, could potentially be supportive for European bonds.”
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White papersWhat does India’s benchmark inclusion mean for investors
Indian government bonds have been added to the global emerging market bond index, providing foreign investors access to India’s $1.3 trillion government bond market. The move could improve capital flows into the country, as well as stabilise yields.
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White papersCentral banks divergences on display
The Fed left interest rates unchanged in its latest policy meeting in July but acknowledged that price pressures are subsiding. This could encourage the Fed to reduce interest rates later this year. Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England (BoE) implemented its first rate cut since early 2020 on abating inflation in the UK. In contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised policy rates for the second time this year to control upward pressures on inflation.
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White papersLDI: Elections and market reform competing for attention
Whilst most central banks erred on the side of caution, reticent to commence the monetary easing cycle in response to falling inflation and slowing growth, the ECB was the first to take the plunge. With the downside risks to growth in Europe much higher now given the political and fiscal uncertainty in France, as well as a slowdown in German manufacturing growth, the ECB’s deliberate vagueness on the path of easing has allowed it to retain optionality on future cuts.
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White papersThe case for bonds (as rates inch towards normalisation)
With the Fed expected to begin its easing cycle later this year, bond markets appear poised to generate income to a degree not seen since before the 2008-09 financial crisis.
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White papersThree often-overlooked investments insurers are using to add duration
Increasing duration was the most popular course of action in Nuveen’s 2024 EQuilibrium survey of institutional investors. Half of the 800 respondents said they would be doing this, in contrast to the 19% who planned to decrease it. And insurers were even more likely to extend: 61% of North American insurers, 58% in Asia Pacific and 53% in Europe.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 3Q 2024
Widening Differences, New Opportunities After months of anticipation, a broader move to lower policy rates appears on its way. However, the varied pace of easing, along with dispersion in economic growth and strains on the credit front, may widen the gap between winners and losers across the fixed income spectrum. We believe this should enhance opportunities for active managers in navigating a new landscape.
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White papersGeopolitics in focus as NATO leaders meet
Invest globally, look for potential opportunities in emerging markets, and balance equities with government bonds to navigate uncertainty from US elections and geopolitical hotspots.
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White papersEMEA Investment grade outlook, H2 2024
Inflation is finally coming down, central banks are poised to cut rates, and credit spreads have withstood volatility in government bonds. So where do we see things going from here?
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White papersFrontier markets: select opportunities in local bonds
After facing a number of shocks, select frontier local markets are looking more attractive thanks to a combination of large exchange rate devaluations, tighter monetary policies and increased external financing.
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White papersIndian bonds go global
Indian government bonds have gained attention recently due to their inclusion in a leading emerging markets bond index starting from 28 June. This key milestone has sparked renewed interest from global investors.
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White papersShifting forces - Adapting to a new investment landscape
After a period of relative stability, waves of structural changes have recently led to a shift in the investment regime. With higher interest rates, inflation and geopolitical fragility, the environment is highly unpredictable. How can investors navigate the challenges ahead?
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White papersUS inflation is moderating
“Falling price pressures should be supportive of US government bonds and investors could also explore other quality fixed income assets in developed as well as emerging markets.”
