All Government Bonds articles – Page 5
-
White papersWeak UK economic outlook bolsters money market flows
Despite falling rates, flows into sterling-denominated money market assets have remained steady and hit record highs this year.
-
White papersCan Europe step into Uncle Sam’s shoes?
Europe has always been seen as the little cousin to the US. This year, however, Europe’s profile from an investment perspective has grown as the US’ reputation of a choice of stability and reliability has taken a nose-dive.
-
White papersFrench markets in a relief rally
French Prime Minister (PM) Lecornu secured wins in two no-confidence motions in the National Assembly, triggering a rally in French stocks, and paving the way for additional discussions over a draft budget. Markets welcomed the news that the country, for the time being, has avoided snap elections and the political uncertainty has eased.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2025
US bond yields have declined over the past couple of months, and gold has touched records levels. Global and US equities have also reached new highs on the back of expectations of continued economic strength in the US, the monetary easing cycle, earnings resilience, and AI-led momentum. We see an inherent contradiction here, but agree with the monetary easing aspect. The contradiction arises from the view that if the Fed implements rate cuts mainly to address a slowing economy, then the effects of a slowing economy should already be evident in weak labour markets, consumption, and eventually in corporate earnings.
-
White papersThe end of exorbitant privilege? EMD report Q3 2025
Fast-developing economies are transforming global markets.
-
White papersECB strategy review: The investment implications
A cursory glance at the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2025 monetary policy strategy assessment shows no major changes to its last review four years earlier – something which should, in the main, comfort investors. However, a deeper dive into the document and the surrounding macroeconomic backdrop reveals it to be - in our view at least - an ECB strategy policy overhaul, rather than a technical fine-tuning exercise.
-
White papersECB treads cautiously
The ECB kept policy rates unchanged at its September meeting, emphasising a data-dependent approach before deciding on further rate cuts.
-
White papersBond markets fret over rising budget deficits
An uncertain economic backdrop continues to push up long-term government bond yields in comparison to short-term rates.
-
White papersUK long-dated yields at 25-year highs
Yields on long-term government bonds in developed markets have been rising this year. In the UK, 30-year gilt yields reached their highest level since 1998, driven by inflation worries and concerns over government debt — though the UK’s debt-to-GDP ratio remains below that of some large European countries. Structural changes, such as fewer pension scheme buyers, add further complexity.
-
White papersWhat happens if US debt becomes unsustainable?
Is the US national debt growing out of control? Predicting when or if a tipping point may be reached is difficult (or impossible), but the country faces growing fiscal challenges as its soaring interest burden is heightening concerns about long-term debt sustainability.
-
White papersThe future of France’s budget
French Prime Minister François Bayrou announced that he would request a vote of confidence on September 8, before the budget discussion that is set to begin on October 1, and following the presentation of the budget orientations in mid-July.
-
PodcastThe Muni Opportunity
Municipal bonds have been one of the more active corners of the fixed income market this year. Near-record levels of new issuance have outpaced demand amid uncertainties stemming from shifts in the policy landscape.
-
White papersBack to school: campus capital backed by muni bonds
Higher education institutions face unprecedented challenges from demographic shifts, federal scrutiny and infrastructure needs. Municipal bonds provide essential financing that enables these institutions to build state-of-the-art facilities, maintain competitive campuses and secure operational liquidity.
-
White papersChina Bonds: Diversification potential beyond the Dollar
Strategic Allocation in a Shifting Global Paradigm: UBS (Lux) Bond SICAV – China Fixed Income (RMB)
-
White papersWhy US Dollar-Based Bond Investors Should Look to Europe
As investors re-evaluate their allocations to US assets, we think they should consider euro-denominated bonds.
-
White papersA 20,000-Foot Perspective: Can Bonds and Equities Both be Right?
The combination of stagflation concerns from macro data and robust corporate earnings in the last week have helped bolster the case for a striking gap between fixed income and equity premia persisting, highlighting the complex and finely balanced growth outlook.
-
PodcastTalking Heads – Setting a course for investing in the rest of 2025
With the second half of the year now well underway, what are the prospects for the major economies and financial markets as tariffs remain very much in the headlines? Is an overweight position in equities versus bonds still appropriate, including a preference for US equities, and particularly technology stocks?
-
White papersFederal policy shifts reshape the municipal bond landscape
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act introduces sweeping changes to municipal credit across multiple sectors. Despite Medicaid reforms, education funding cuts and energy policy shifts, municipal issuers remain resilient with strong fundamentals, revenue growth and historically high reserves.
-
White papersThe Fed navigates economic crosscurrents amid tariffs
The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its target policy rate at 4.25%-4.50% during its July meeting, acknowledging the dual challenges of slowing economic growth and tariff-related distortions. While headline GDP figures have oscillated dramatically, underlying growth continues its gradual deceleration during persistent uncertainty.
-
White papersThe need for stronger US fiscal policy
US Treasury bonds have long provided domestic and foreign investors a modest yield that was assumed to be risk free. Yields (and thus prices) could be volatile, but the risk of the US government defaulting on its debt was regarded as so low that US Treasury yields became a benchmark for all other government and corporate debt: If the US government had zero risk of default, the default risk of any other borrower could be simply measured by looking at the additional yield it offered over a comparable Treasury security.
