All Government Bonds articles – Page 4
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White papersInvestors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
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White papersDovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2023
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersSwiss bonds: out of the comfort zone
When it comes to asset allocation, many investors rely on passive and low-cost building blocks, justifying this with the cliche that active approaches do not fulfill their promise anyway and have exorbitant fees.
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White papersTracking the Transition from Tighter Policy to Corporate Spreads
We explore the historical transmission from tighter monetary policy to corporate bond spreads and the respective investment implications under our “weakflation” scenario.
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White papersCOP28: Expect Disappointment and You’ll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
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White papersOffice Space: The CRE Effects On Major U.S. Cities
Rising office vacancy rates, declining property valuations, and the respective impact on tax revenues and city budgets are a source of growing concern for municipal bond investors.
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White papersRecent economic data confirms our outlook
”With softer economic growth ahead and the Fed expected to cut rates in 2024, this supports our positive stance on developed and emerging market bonds.”
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White papersUp then (marginally) down again
Markets rose earlier in the week on hopes of an interest rate freeze from the world’s central banks; only to reverse course on the back of less dovish outlooks from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.
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White papersThe peak in rate hikes is an inflection point for bonds
You don’t have to be bearish on the economy to be optimistic on the bond market. Here’s why
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White papersCentral banks’ unwinding will put more public debt in market hands
The recent surge in global bond yields is partly ascribed to market worries about a greater supply of debt coming from governments. Some of this increase in yields should reverse when inflation nears central banks’ targets and monetary policy is less restrictive.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
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White papersGrabbing the Bull by the Tail: Assessing Tail Risks Amid Complexity
As a case study into our assessment of tail risks, we discuss how the market-implied probability distribution for a recession has evolved over the past year.
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White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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White papersWill Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersDon’t expect rates volatility to decline overnight
The volatility in interest rates has surged over the past two years as central banks have fought this long-lasting increase in inflation. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we explain how this risk evolution has significantly reshaped our asset allocation.
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White papersA view on Italy and its government debt
On 20 October, S&P Global Ratings announced that it was keeping its rating of Italian debt unchanged with a stable outlook. The rating agency’s decision kicks-off a wave of autumn credit assessments and will be followed by DBRS Morningstar on 27 October, Fitch Ratings on 10 November and finally Moody’s on 17 November
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersHow ESG monitoring can enhance sovereign bond investing
Fundamental research has always been at the heart of our investment approach, The Capital SystemTM. We believe that analysing material environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues can help us better understand long-term risks and opportunities.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
