All Government Bonds articles – Page 8
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White papersBonds that build back better
Some might argue that building a sustainable economy is a technological problem. It isn’t. The world is sufficiently stocked with greenhouse gas-reducing technologies such as renewable fuels, carbon capture and energy storage. What it lacks is capital.
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White papersTighter Conditions Begin to Squeeze the Economy
As the economy slows, an epic climb in short-dated rates and bond yields appears to have shocked investors into accepting the prospect of stickier inflation, but they still seem reluctant to price for substantially lower earnings.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 4Q 2022
Despite volatility, the basic storyline of inflation and the Federal Reserve should continue to drive market behavior. Over the months ahead, we anticipate continued tightening by the Fed and challenging European growth trends, with tail risks tied to the U.K., China weakness and policy overreach. A focus on shorter durations and quality, with opportunistic exposure to longer bonds and credit, merits consideration.
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White papersTLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation
TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters. So far, banks have repaid a small amount of liquidity, while the ECB’s recent decision on remuneration of excess reserves has helped keep current excess liquidity abundant, aiming at a smooth transmission of its monetary policy.
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White papersThe Nominal and the Real
What might be the playbook for a potential recession in which nominal GDP grows by 8%—and are investors only just recognizing that they need one?
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White papersClimate Transition: A World of Compromises (Part II)
Raise your eyes on the horizon—beyond the immediate central bank challenges, the lingering impact of COVID, and the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine—to consider three key climate-related issues that investors will wish they had known about 10 years from now.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - June 2022
The repricing of a more aggressive Fed stance has been brutal as the 10Y UST yield temporarily reached the 3% threshold, falling close to 2.75% recently on economic growth concerns. We think investors should move towards neutrality on duration in the US and Europe, whereas in credit, they should focus on quality and stay cautious on higher-risk segments in Europe.
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White papersThe Rising Costs of a Drawn-Out War
Financial markets may not ebb and flow with major developments on the battlefield anymore, but we believe they do still need to come to terms with the war’s lasting inflationary impact.
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White papersFloating to safety with senior AAA European asset-backed securities
Rising inflation and interest rates are eroding the value of cash and putting pressure on government and corporate bond yields. We believe investors can help towards protecting their portfolios by reallocating some of their cash holdings to potentially higher-yielding, defensive floating rate securities. Senior AAA European asset-backed securities (ABS) offer a sizeable yield premium for those willing to hold these positions for 6-12 months or longer.
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White papersWar, Inflation, and Markets
Investors appear to be refocusing on pre-war concerns about economic fundamentals—but finding that this horrific conflict has exacerbated them.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: an uncertain outcome calls for higher focus on liquidity
At the core of the crisis, Russian assets have become almost un-investible, with dramatic price action as the market attempts to grapple with uncertainty. European equities have suffered, anticipating the negative consequences of the war on corporate earnings, while also commodities trended higher with double digit rise across many commodities. A flight to safety move has benefited government bonds, with the US treasury yield and the Bund yield trending lower.
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White papersThe myriad of challenges – and opportunities – facing fixed income in 2022
The question of whether inflation is likely to prove temporary or more persistent is just one of the challenges facing fixed income investors this year. Buying on the dips may no longer be sufficient as the focus of central banks switches to containing inflation rather than simply rallying to support financial markets.
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White papersGlobalization: “So Why Can’t You Export Haircuts?”
It’s the year 2032. Will planes still take us to far-off lands or will VR headsets transport us, could your hair stylist live on the other side of the planet?
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White papersManaging Duration in Multi-Asset Strategies? Be Dynamic
For most of the past decade, government bonds have contributed positive returns and a note of stability to multi-asset portfolios. But since late 2021, they’ve been much more volatile, as markets digest central banks’ transitions toward tighter monetary policy.
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White papersThe Bond Blog - EM’s Vulnerability to Rising Food Prices and Political Instability
Food items typically have a larger weight in the consumer price index (CPI) basket of emerging markets. Therefore, food price increases might require policy action on the part of central banks if they become a major source of inflation.
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White papersChina’s debt vulnerability – Defying dire predictions
Despite rising corporate defaults, China’s overall debt dynamics have not deteriorated. Its economic fundamentals appear strong enough to contain a debt-currency crisis.
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Video*Diversified private credit – It is about financing growth*
Investing in diversified private credit means gaining access to the stable cash flows and contained volatility of a broad range of unlisted asset classes including infrastructure and commercial real estate debt, mid-market loans and loans to small and medium-sized businesses.
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White papersInvesting in 2022: Four key market drivers
The pandemic and rising inflation were prevailing drivers of markets in 2021. But the economic squeeze which dominated 2020 finally started to loosen its grip, as the world started to get back to something resembling ‘normality’ in the second half of last year.
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White papersFour insurance portfolio allocation themes for 2022 and beyond
In today’s investment landscape, how can insurers effectively construct investment portfolios to achieve their targets and balance a range of unique requirements? This paper looks at four allocation themes we believe are most relevant to insurance portfolios.
