All Government Bonds articles – Page 8
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White papersRecent economic data confirms our outlook
”With softer economic growth ahead and the Fed expected to cut rates in 2024, this supports our positive stance on developed and emerging market bonds.”
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White papersUp then (marginally) down again
Markets rose earlier in the week on hopes of an interest rate freeze from the world’s central banks; only to reverse course on the back of less dovish outlooks from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.
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White papersThe peak in rate hikes is an inflection point for bonds
You don’t have to be bearish on the economy to be optimistic on the bond market. Here’s why
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White papersCentral banks’ unwinding will put more public debt in market hands
The recent surge in global bond yields is partly ascribed to market worries about a greater supply of debt coming from governments. Some of this increase in yields should reverse when inflation nears central banks’ targets and monetary policy is less restrictive.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
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White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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White papersWill Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersA view on Italy and its government debt
On 20 October, S&P Global Ratings announced that it was keeping its rating of Italian debt unchanged with a stable outlook. The rating agency’s decision kicks-off a wave of autumn credit assessments and will be followed by DBRS Morningstar on 27 October, Fitch Ratings on 10 November and finally Moody’s on 17 November
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersHow ESG monitoring can enhance sovereign bond investing
Fundamental research has always been at the heart of our investment approach, The Capital SystemTM. We believe that analysing material environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues can help us better understand long-term risks and opportunities.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 9 October 2023
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White papersA bond market bruising: market snapshot
The yield on global government bonds reached multi-decade highs this week, as markets adjust to a sustained period of higher interest rates.
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White papersHigher for Longer, Longer the Stronger
We are leaning into quality as markets start to focus away from near-term tailwinds and onto medium-term headwinds.
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White papersMarkets hit by ‘higher for longer’ rate expectations
After a volatile September, the S&P 500 Index is heading towards its first quarterly loss in 12 months.
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White papersIncome Generator: Back in Bonds
Bonds are once again becoming a cornerstone allocation within portfolios. We explain five actions bond investors could consider to capitalize on current trends we’ve identified.
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White papersShould investors fret over talk of China heading for a ‘balance sheet recession’?
China’s economy shows symptoms of a ‘balance sheet recession’, which can destroy wealth and confidence, force economic agents to cut spending, and create a debt deflation spiral and prolonged stagnation. So should investors worry?
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White papersThe what, why and how of the global fixed income and municipal markets
The evolving fixed income market environment: Key 2023 themes
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - July/August 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 17 July 2023
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2023
Central banks are finding it hard to finish the long journey toward inflation normalization, but we believe that policy rates are likely at or near their peaks—and could be maintained at elevated levels for some time. In an environment of slowing growth, restrictive monetary policy and rising idiosyncratic risk, we favor shorter durations, quality and a focus on security selection.
