All Government Bonds articles – Page 8
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White papersNatural Selection: Evaluating Debt-for-Nature Swaps
Investors are becoming increasingly aware of the importance of biodiversity and the urgency of preserving our planet’s natural capital—the stock of natural resources that underpin our economy and society, including minerals, soils, air, water and all living organisms. In response, bond issuers are launching more conservation-linked bond structures that can help indebted developing countries protect their vulnerable ecosystems. These structures require careful evaluation.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2024: Bonds Roar Back
The tide has turned for bonds. Here’s what we think is in store for 2024.
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White papersTaxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersInvestors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
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White papersDovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2023
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersCOP28: Expect Disappointment and You’ll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
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White papersRecent economic data confirms our outlook
”With softer economic growth ahead and the Fed expected to cut rates in 2024, this supports our positive stance on developed and emerging market bonds.”
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White papersUp then (marginally) down again
Markets rose earlier in the week on hopes of an interest rate freeze from the world’s central banks; only to reverse course on the back of less dovish outlooks from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.
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White papersThe peak in rate hikes is an inflection point for bonds
You don’t have to be bearish on the economy to be optimistic on the bond market. Here’s why
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White papersCentral banks’ unwinding will put more public debt in market hands
The recent surge in global bond yields is partly ascribed to market worries about a greater supply of debt coming from governments. Some of this increase in yields should reverse when inflation nears central banks’ targets and monetary policy is less restrictive.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
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White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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White papersWill Markets Do the Fed’s Job of Tightening Financial Conditions?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersA view on Italy and its government debt
On 20 October, S&P Global Ratings announced that it was keeping its rating of Italian debt unchanged with a stable outlook. The rating agency’s decision kicks-off a wave of autumn credit assessments and will be followed by DBRS Morningstar on 27 October, Fitch Ratings on 10 November and finally Moody’s on 17 November
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersHow ESG monitoring can enhance sovereign bond investing
Fundamental research has always been at the heart of our investment approach, The Capital SystemTM. We believe that analysing material environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues can help us better understand long-term risks and opportunities.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
