All Government Bonds articles – Page 10
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Could Evergrande Become China’s Lehman Brothers? Probably Not.
Evergrande is the biggest property developer in the developing world. Its debt of RMB 570 billion (US$88 billion) makes it one of the most indebted companies globally.
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ECB’s shy monetary policy turn has started
ECB’s Governing Council have decided on a “moderately lower pace” of PEPP purchases based on an improved inflation outlook amid favorable financing conditions. Quite importantly, the decision was taken unanimously.
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Europe’s recovery is booming, but is inflation here to stay?
Mauro Valle, head of fixed income at Generali Investments Partners S.p.A. Società di gestione del risparmio and manager of the GIS Euro Bond fund range, discusses why he is cautious on inflation risk and why the outlook is positive for Italian government bonds.
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Reconciling the Data and the Markets
Inflation is up, Treasury yields are down, and the recovery trade is on the ropes—we believe it’s all more evidence of a fiercely debating, two-way market.
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Gravity Will Not Prevail–At Least Not Yet
In advanced economies, storefronts have opened, effective vaccines are rolling out, and people are ready to return to “life as we knew it.” However, normalcy will not return until the pandemic is over globally—unless borders remain closed, with unknown collateral damage.
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China’s bond defaults could be a blessing in disguise
Rising defaults in China show that Beijing meant business when it pledged to retreat from the distorting effects of its implicit guarantee policy and deleverage the system by allowing bad companies to exit. The daunting task is to avoid contagion. Can Beijing pull it off in an orderly fashion?
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Euro fixed income: EGB supply/demand dynamics to improve in H2-21
EMU-10 EGB net issuance, net of ECB QE purchases, is likely to be negative in H2 this year for three main reasons: 1) front loading of sovereign debt supply in H1, 2) roughly 60% of yearly bond redemptions still to come, and 3) ECB QE purchases to remain steadily high.
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Is the bond broken?
An allocation to government bonds within a multi-asset portfolio has traditionally played a vital role in terms of risk management and diversification.
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Inflation Expectations And Interest Rates In The US
Recently, concerns about rising inflation rates have grown. Yield curves have steepened and interest rate levels have increased.
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Munis in a new light
Things are not always what they seem. This is proving true in the municipal bond market, where a perception shift is underway that carries profound implications – and opportunities – for investors.
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Allocation Views: The Great Reopening Continues
With a focus on fixed income, our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team explore asset classes that are best positioned for growth as the global economy recovers from the pandemic.
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Do Surging Public Debt levels bring Higher (or lower) Bond Yields?
The narrative that rising public debt levels bring higher interest rates, as well as risks of economic and financial disruptions, is a foundation of classical economics.
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Views from the credit desk: Bullish and Bearish Cases
2021 has seen a wide dispersion in asset price returns, driven by a more inflationary environment. Commodities, stocks and high-yield are up, but investment-grade and government bonds are down.
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Muni Market View on the American Jobs Plan
Highlights of US President Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure plan, and how it could impact the muni market.
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Mid-Year 2021 Outlook
Covid-19 negatively impacted 2020 European growth to various degrees. Regardless of its precise speed, the 2021-22 recovery is expected to be solid. But, this strength is also raising concerns on inflation.
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US Stock-Bond Correlation: What are the Macroeconomic Drivers?
For the last 20y, the correlation between stock and bond returns has been negative, enabling CIOs to increase stock allocations, with bonds acting as a hedge, while still satisfying a given risk budget.
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Bond investors beware – US rates may rise sooner than thought
US bond markets have begun pricing in higher interest rates, specifically two 25 basis point (bp) increases in the benchmark fed funds rate by 2023.
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A Crack in China’s debt foundation
Bonds issued by China’s biggest distressed debt asset manager just lost 40% of their value—how concerned should we be?
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Three Strategies for Navigating Turbulent Bond Markets
Today’s market environment taps into bond investors’ primal fears. Extremely low yields make it tough to find sufficient income and potential return. Economic growth is rebounding from its 2020 collapse, but the world’s grip on recovery is uncertain.