All Government Bonds articles – Page 15
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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White papers
Global Investment Views: December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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White papers
What lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
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White papers
As Merkel Falls, Will Bunds and Treasuries Follow?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, under intense political pressure to her leadership, is stepping down as party leader.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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White papers
US rates are rising: what’s next for emerging market bonds?
Blended approach to emerging market bonds most resilient to US rate rises
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White papers
Have bonds lost their bite?
As markets evolve, we explore whether bonds are still able to provide protection in turbulent conditions.
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White papers
Core Matters: How do assets perform in a maturing business cycle?
The record long expansion in US real GDP (37 quarters so far) and the gradual pickup in inflation have started raising concerns about the beginning of the end of the current cyclical upswing.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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White papers
Global Investment Views: August 2018
Concerns about trade continue to take centre stage. While US assets have so far been resilient amid escalating protectionist rhetoric, markets targeted by tariffs are under pressure.
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White papers
2018 Midyear Outlook: (Still) Risk On
Investors are facing some pretty big questions: How long will the economy continue to expand? How will rising interest rates affect my portfolio? Will volatility continue to climb? Do geopolitics (or even just political posturing) really matter?
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White papers
Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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White papers
Rethinking fixed income investing when the easy money is coming to an end
The end of easy money may point to different investment scenarios
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White papers
Daisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018
With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.
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White papers
Reaction: Italian election
The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.
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White papers
Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q1 - 2018
The robust global economic growth experienced in 2017 is expected to continue into 2018, albeit with some notable exceptions such as UK. Such growth is to be reflected in ever higher equity price levels and thus expected to become costlier with respect to the most recent valuations.
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White papers
House View: 2018 Outlook
Our global growth outlook for 2018 is strong. The broad-based, synchronised upswing that began a year ago shows no signs of easing up, with above-trend growth expected to extend from the major G7 economies to the emerging markets in 2018.
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White papers
Global Investment Views: February 2018
The recent sharp correction of equity markets and the increase in yields which have materialized since the start of the year have created a turbulent phase, interrupting the “Garden of Eden” kind of setting which investors were getting used to.