All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 14
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White papers2021 EMD outlook: In the wake of the storm
The COVID-19 market crisis was a cognitive shock, similar in magnitude to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. Global investors found themselves surprised and wrong-footed in terms of risk positioning. After all, a pandemic isn’t usually part of the risk management textbook.
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White papersDon’t Mistake Growth for Quality
As investors adjust for a potential style rotation, we urge them not to abandon their portfolios’ “quality compounders” and “transition winners.”
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White papersOpportunity for Non-US Investment in Taxable US Municipal Bonds
With record-low interest rates dominating the investment landscape in Asia and Europe, non-US investors are expanding their search for yield to an unexpected place: US municipal bonds.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2021
Markets closed 2020 on strong footing and the recent Democratic sweep in the US makes a greater fiscal push more likely, leading us to lift our 2021 GDP growth forecast for the US to 5.2-5.7%, 1% above previous estimates. This marks a great divergence between the US and the rest of DM, where we have been lowering our forecasts.
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White papersUnited Europe: From discord to harmony?
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?
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White papersThe Best Way to Get a Car Out of a Ditch
And how investors should judge the next round of government spending.
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White papersFinding the Right Sovereign ESG Indicators: A Greek Tragedy?
On our mini odyssey through the vast seas of sovereign ESG indicators, we sought to identify data and scores from reliable third parties—which would not only provide benchmarking criteria between countries, but also serve as an effective screening tool to identify outliers.
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White papersEuropean Fixed Income In 2021: Focused On Recovery, And Politics
There are reasons to be optimistic the picture will look brighter for Europe by year-end.
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White papersRates Markets Are Normalizing
It is far too early for taper talk, in our view, but the bias of risk is still toward higher rates to come.
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White papersEM Debt: Where is the Value Today?
Barings’ Cem Karacadag discusses the outlook for emerging markets debt, including the uneven impact of the pandemic, how rising interest rates and fluctuating currencies may influence the picture, and the increasing role that ESG is playing in identifying winners and losers.
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White papersItaly: ECB’s Umbrella To Protect Bond Market, Despite Uncertain Political Situation
On 13 January, Italia Viva – a minor coalition partner led by former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi – pulled out of the ruling coalition, leaving the government short of a majority in the Senate. However, we believe that snap elections are unlikely for now.
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White papersFound in space: how markets could make contact with reality in 2021
This month, Fiorino looks to the stars for an alien-eye view of Earthly financial conditions…
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White papersEmerging Market Debt Opportunities Monthly Review
Perspective from Franklin Emerging Market Debt Opportunities team.
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White papersIG Credit: Can the Strong Performance Continue?
After a rollercoaster year, IG corporate credit ended on a high note. But all eyes are on the months ahead, and whether we could see a reversal of some of the trends that buoyed the asset class in 2020.
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White papersCLOs: Cautious Optimism
Coming off a tumultuous year, CLOs look well-positioned going forward—particularly if the economy continues to heal and rates move higher.
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White papersUnited States: the power of Executive Orders
Following the elections in Georgia, the Democrats have a very small majority in Congress. To facilitate governance, the new administration is likely to continue to govern using Executive Orders (EOs). Their use has grown over time, and they have become a full-fledged instrument of governance.
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White papersEMD: Light at the End of the Tunnel
The rollout of the COVID vaccine may be slower across emerging markets, meaning restrictions will likely remain in place for the foreseeable future. But there are bright spots—including in local currencies and companies that have adapted to this ‘new normal’.
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White papersECB QE Monitor - January 2021
In December, the ECB bought €57.2bn under the PEPP and €21.1bn under the APP.
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White papers10 predictions for 2021: The world improves, but do markets already know?
At the start of the year, we expected economic growth to pick up modestly and were encouraged by seemingly diminishing macro risks, such as trade policy. Conversely, we were concerned by relatively full stock valuations and thought that market gains could be limited following a strong 2019.
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White papersCIO EMEA Outlook 2021: Knowns And Unknowns After A Tumultuous Year
At the beginning of the year we were threatened with excitement, be that trade wars or ongoing political upheaval in the Europe and the US. None of us were prepared for a global pandemic.
