All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 14
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White papers2021 Outlook: The Uneven Recovery
The recovery in many ways looks real and durable—but it also looks uneven and, in some cases, quite unpredictable. In this discussion, investment professionals from the public and private markets discuss where they expect to see risks and opportunities in the year ahead.
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White papersEurope, US and China tomorrow: Will it be possible to avoid geopolitical and economic traps?
There are many pitfalls looming. Some concern China, the United States and Europe, while others are more targeted, notably on China or on the relationship between China and the United States. Some traps concern geopolitics (the Thucydides trap, the Kindleberger trap, the Herodotus trap, the Tacitus trap, the Chamberlain - Daladier trap and the cold war trap), while others deal with purely economic issues (the middle-income trap, the inflation trap, the stagflation trap and the debt trap).
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White papersMarkets Unscripted: 2020 U.S. Election Series
Ashok Bhatia, Neuberger Berman Deputy CIO – Fixed Income, shares his perspective on investment implications as a result of the U.S. election and recent COVID-19 vaccine news.
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White papersMarket Perspectives A (temporary) Covid ‘leg down’
The rise in new Covid-19 cases and renewed lockdowns across Europe are casting long shadows over the economic recovery and markets.
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White papersEMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
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White papersUncorrelated Through COVID
The rollercoaster ride of the COVID-19 market crisis presented the toughest challenge imaginable to the concept of “uncorrelated strategies”—did they live up to it?
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White papersChina Property: Recovery From the COVID-19 Lockdown
After initial shocks, China’s property markets have regained strength. Strong home price growth and overheated land prices could attract policy intervention as regulators seek to instill a stable housing market, economy and financial system.
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White papersHow might monetary policy evolve in a post-pandemic world?
Are central banks running out of ammunition to combat the next recession? In a word: no. In two words: no, but…
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White papersYou asked, we answer
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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White papersFixed income dynamics in the current monetary and fiscal landscape
The global economy rebounded quickly during the summer from the coronavirus pandemic. In this phase of recovery, central banks played a key role in the massive supply of credit to governments and companies. To tackle the health crisis, almost all governments implemented large-scale fiscal stimulus and support measures, including corporate loan guarantees. At the same time, major central banks increased their purchases of sovereign debt to levels never seen before, played a backstop role in the corporate debt market and provided cheap liquidity to banks (in the case of the ECB).
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White papersContraction > recovery > late cycle: the cycle round trip is confirmed Advanced Investment Phazer: top-down assessment
The global recovery continues at different speeds and compositions at the regional level. Policies are pivotal in shaping the recovery trajectories, influencing market participants’ narratives and rebuilding confidence.
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White papersNotes on a crisis: from the rear-view mirror to the road ahead (part I)
Rallying credit markets at the turn of the year were followed by the swift, pandemic-induced drawdown in March, ushering in a period of heightened volatility and some of the worst liquidity conditions since the financial crisis. As we emerge from a tumultuous six months, we consider what has changed in markets and what might lie ahead for fixed-income investors.
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White papersCan EM Issuers Pay Their Debt—And Will They?
Emerging markets have been hit hard by COVID-19 but opportunities exist for investors able to navigate choppy waters. In this episode, Dr. Ricardo Adrogue assesses EM issuers’ ability to satisfy their debt obligations—and just as importantly, their willingness to do so.
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White papersEconomic Outlook: Will the debt matter?
In his latest quarterly Economic Outlook, Neil Williams, Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes examines the impact that various pandemic-related stimulus packages have had on both global government debt and the efficacy of monetary and fiscal tools available to policy-makers.
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White papersThe day after #11 - Post-crisis narratives that will drive financial markets
The Covid-19 crisis has thrown up a sequence of images from the past (pandemics, wars, the Great Financial Crisis) that have pushed central banks (CB) and governments to act in unprecedented ways (in terms of magnitude and speed of action). This has defined the current ‘day after’ narrative.
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White papersThe Crisis No One is Talking About
The migration patterns stemming from Venezuela’s economic collapse provide key ESG insights, especially for Colombia and other neighboring countries, and particularly when compared to the case of Syrian refugees in Turkey.
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White papersThe Evolving Opportunity in Distressed Debt
As the pandemic recedes, some companies may have a harder time managing higher debt levels than others—and as weaker issuers undergo restructurings or other stressed situations, there may be opportunities for investors to deploy more capital into distressed debt strategies.
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Covid paralysis recedes as political risk rises
After a buoyant August for risk assets, the rally is likely to flatten out. Rising new infections into the autumn, a levelling recovery pace and diverse political risks (US politics, Brexit, geopolitics) will keep a lid on risk sentiment.
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White papersThree Reasons for EM Short Duration Debt
Emerging markets debt has shown much resilience despite facing its share of pandemic-induced difficulties. A short-dated approach, in particular, can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
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White papers2020 US Election: What the Polls Could Mean for Policy and Markets
The field is set for the 2020 US presidential election, and markets are turning their focus to November’s contest. Of course, we can’t predict the electoral result for the presidency or Congress, and even the market’s reaction is unclear. However, given the stakes of this election, investors would be well advised to track a few key themes.
