All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 12
-
White papersAmid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
-
White papersThree Strategies for Navigating Turbulent Bond Markets
Today’s market environment taps into bond investors’ primal fears. Extremely low yields make it tough to find sufficient income and potential return. Economic growth is rebounding from its 2020 collapse, but the world’s grip on recovery is uncertain.
-
White papersHow hot is the inflation pot? Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures.
-
White papersFixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
-
White papersThree Focal Points For The U.S.- China Relationship
The recent U.S.-China summit kicked off with U.S.-China relations at a low point. The ongoing shift in U.S. policy towards China—hastened under the Trump administration with the support of both political parties—was long in the making and effectively ended the U.S. doctrine of strategic engagement that facilitated China’s global rise during the preceding four decades.
-
White papersDodging The Industry Potholes Across EM High Yield Corporates
The rally in risk markets emphasizes the importance of identifying relative-value opportunities across global asset classes. Emerging market high yield bonds may increasingly draw investors’ interest given a spread pickup relative to their U.S. and European counterparts.
-
White papersThe case for Chinese Treasuries
What is in short supply at the moment for fixed income investors are high-yielding, lowly-correlated bonds with solid macro underpinnings: China ticks all of those boxes.
-
White papersHow to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
-
White papersThe post-COVID-19 world, with Capital Group’s Night Watch
Our Night Watch approach was built from lessons we learned in the 2008–09 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as a way to engage in scenario planning around big systemic issues.
-
White papersFiorino: bond themes and late-cycle mood music: as rates go up-tempo, markets rotate
As global economies emerge from the Covid-19 doldrums, bond markets could be tiring. But late-stage fixed income dynamics can also play out well for astute investors. Fiorino conducts a brief enquiry.
-
White papersUncover new sources of income with taxable municipal bonds
Issuance of taxable municipal bonds, a segment of the overall municipal market, has increased in recent years, providing global institutional investors with an additional means of generating yield.
-
White papersThe U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
-
White papersWhy the Distressed Debt Opportunity Looks Different This Cycle
A surge in defaults and distressed opportunities seemed likely when COVID struck—but stimulus measures and creative financing solutions have reshaped both the opportunity set and the timing.
-
White papersFive Factors Shaping the Global Economy in 2021
From interest rates and inflation to government stimulus and multi-speed recoveries, Dr. Christopher Smart tells us what we know today—and what we still need to find out—about the global economy’s comeback from COVID-19.
-
White papersChina’s disinflation and implications
China has abandoned its ‘growth at all cost’ push and is sticking with its deleveraging and structural reform policy despite the trade war with the US and COVID-19 shocks. This has resulted in a constrained growth environment.
-
White papersHow Much Further Will US Rates Rise?
US Treasury yields have surged recently, buoyed by rising optimism about economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Based on our growth forecast, longer-term rates will likely rise for the next few quarters—but more slowly. And we think the Fed is prepared to push in the other direction if rates rise too far, too fast.
-
White papersGreen Light to Fiscal Expansion
EU fiscal rules shouldn’t restrain governments from spending what is necessary before economies recover. In the U.S., fiscal stimulus is boosting spending, particularly among lower-income consumers. Lastly, China PMIs showed temporary weakness.
-
White papersHow Deep Are The Scars?
What helps reconcile market euphoria with the very mixed global data is that central bankers remain concerned about the pandemic scars and have reiterated their accommodative stance.
-
White papersWhen Will the Jobs Come Back?
With the U.S. economy still down nearly 10 million jobs from its pre-pandemic level and history showing that the labor force participation rate could continue to decline at the end of a recession, PGIM Fixed Income seeks to answer the question “When Will the Jobs Come Back?
-
White papersTracking ECB’s Communication: Perspectives And Implications For Financial Markets
This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. We show the evolution of discourse over time and capture the main themes of interest for the central bank that go beyond its traditional mandate of maintaining price stability, enlightening main concerns and themes of discussion among board members.
