All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 9
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White papersWinners of the Italian Recovery Plan (With or Without Draghi)
Which sectors stand to benefit the most from Italy’s Recovery and Resilience Plan, and what impact, if any, will the country’s next president have on efforts to implement the plan?
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PodcastThe Weakest Links in the Global Supply Chain: Part I
As we start a new year amid the pandemic, a major disruption that consumers are facing are the issues within today’s global supply chain. Emptier shelves in stores, shipping delays on e-commerce deliveries and labor shortages among others, have been felt by so many of us.
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White papersInflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack
It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the US?
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White papers2022: A Year of Major Inflection Points
These five big transitions are likely to make 2022 a choppy and challenging year for equity investors—and the end of the coronavirus pandemic doesn’t even make the cut.
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White papersKazakhstan: low impact for asset prices, but a wakeup call for geopolitical risk
On 2 January, protests began in western Kazakhstan triggered by a sharp rise in fuel costs, but reflecting broader political discontent. The almost immediate response from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO, a Russian version of NATO) shows the close relationship between the Russian and Kazakhstan governments.
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White papersEMD in 2022: New catalysts offset gloom and doom
The global outlook remains mired with worries about inflationary pressures, central bank rate hikes, and liquidity withdrawals.
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White papersCentral banks: a successful hawkish turn
The three major central banks issued restrictive signals last week. The banks have succeeded in changing the course of their monetary policies without harming the markets.
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White papersThe Most Important Rate in the Whole Wide World
Markets may be missing the importance of record-low real rates, and the potential impact if they start to rise.
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White papersTapping into China’s accelerating investment management expertise
Contrary to what some people might think, there is continued appetite among many global asset owners for Chinese securities – despite market noise and dynamic policymaking over recent months.
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White papersCentral Bank Palooza
The FOMC showed a hawkish shift but Fed Chair Jerome Powell successfully unwound some to suggest policy normalization won’t derail the recovery.
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White papersRe-entanglement: why debt and reality must reconnect
The long-term relationship between credit quality and the global unemployment rate appears to have broken down of late. But why? Fiorino once again probes the debt universe in search of deeper meaning…
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White papersFixed income outlook: Is the market overly hawkish?
After the bond bear market of 2021, valuations look more attractive in an environment where interest rate rises may already be priced in.
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White papersInflation Hits a Fork in the Road
A great divergence is coming into view on inflation, with the U.S. set to stand apart.
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White papersFed officials’ discomfort is growing with the inflation overshoot: why it will remain cautious
US consumer prices jumped by 6.2% in October, their highest level in 30 years! Deteriorating inflation data have pushed markets towards forecasting a faster pace of tapering and a more rapid removal of accommodation in 2022. We expect the Fed to act gradually as Covid remains a major risk and as the Fed would like to see a higher participation rate.
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White papersWhat Rhymes With “Transitory”?
The search continues for a word that describes inflation that will not derail the recovery.
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White papersMacroeconomic Outlook 2022: Compression, decompression, absorption
2020 was a year of massive compression of economic activity. 2021 was a year of fast decompression, with demand catching up quickly as we were reopening, exerting significant pressure on supply, triggering a rise in consumer prices unseen in decades.
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PodcastIt’s Quitting Time: Exploring Labor Market Dynamics
After a record-breaking 4.3 million Americans quit their jobs in August, many have had their eyes on the labor market at large. Known as “The Great Resignation” or “The Big Quit”, this phenomenon has turned the heads of employers and employees alike. But how long might this trend last? What has kept people out of the workforce? And what sectors might be able to meet the demand of rising wages?
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White papersThe role bonds play in a portfolio
Building a resilient and balanced portfolio should be a priority for many investors in today’s environment of heightened financial market uncertainty and volatility across a range of asset classes, including equities.
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White papersIs the U.K. the Newest Leading Indicator?
An upside surprise in U.K. inflation and improving employment trends reinforced markets pricing a 10–15 bps rate hike by the BoE in December, while energy prices eased following the announcements from China, which could provide downside pressure to market inflation expectations.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2022
Inflation remains elevated in emerging markets (EM) with ongoing but manageable risks. A significant proportion of the shock to EM inflation can be attributed to volatile food and energy prices. Normalisation of supply chains and base effects should help.
