All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 8
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White papersEvergrande and its spill-over effects: ongoing adjustments, but inflection point may be close
Despite Evergrande paid the coupon due on September 23, just one day before the 30-day grace period deadline, the company’s crisis is still unresolved. But it appears to be idiosyncratic and not systemic, as the market impact has been primarily on China’s HY bond index with limited spill-over into the broad EM HY space.
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White papersSustainability in Emerging Markets Debt
Ignoring sustainability in emerging markets debt is, for want of a better term, no longer sustainable.
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White papersPublic/Private Investing: Fixed Income at a Crossroads
As the line between public and private debt markets appears to blur, the ability to draw on the full suite of fixed income asset classes can help investors navigate a wide range of market environments—through complementary sources of risk and return prospects, enhanced diversification and improved return potential.
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White papersThe Brave New World
Supply chain disruptions persist, making the global reopening much less smooth. Contagious variants still weigh on activity, and vaccination levels in major emerging markets have progressed marginally. An energy price shock has added to the unpleasant mix.
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White papersCredit events in China (I) – The macroeconomic impact
In this first of a two-part report, Chi Lo, Senior Market Strategist APAC, examines the macroeconomic impact of China’s latest credit events. In part II, he assesses whether these same events could trigger a property market crash.
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White papersNormalizing policy and market risks
The United States Federal Reserve (Fed) is faced with continued challenges as it seeks to manage both the cyclical and structural economic fallout from the pandemic and move beyond its ultra-accommodative policies.
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VideoUS Economic Outlook: Inflation, Growth and the Fed
Most measures of inflation are at multiyear highs. Headline inflation has gone up 5.4% over the last 12 months, and that’s a rate of increase that we haven’t seen in more than a decade.
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Research ReportDirect lending: how senior is your debt?
Within private credit, direct lending offers a wide range of options for investors seeking the right balance of risk and reward for their particular needs
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White papersWhen “Transitory” Becomes a “Swear Word”
The debate rages on around how best to describe current inflationary pressures, but some synonym for “not lasting” still fits best.
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White papersFrom Rates, to Growth, to China: What’s Next for EM Debt?
While volatility resurfaced in the third quarter, there are a number of positive factors that continue to support EM sovereign, corporate and local debt.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Why EM could be back in focus in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) performance has been held back over the first three quarters of 2021 by a few factors, including the spread of the Delta virus variant in less vaccinated countries, news out of China (growth slowdown, regulation crackdown, and the housing slowdown alongside the Evergrande fallout), and the upcoming Fed tapering.
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White papersHigher rates provide a second chance to play US value opportunities
Nowadays, US value trades at its steepest discount to growth since 1999. However, declining Covid-19 cases, a broad-based economic recovery, prospects of higher interest rates as we progress out of the pandemic, and the return of persistent inflation pressures should help close the valuation gap between growth and value stocks.
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White papersCaution Today, Opportunity Tomorrow
We think a more cautious stance represents a prudent approach to an already volatile inflection point between early-cycle recovery and mid-cycle expansion.
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White papersCongress Sets New Deadline, So Do Markets
A general sense of risk-off dominated early in the week as markets faced a “wall of worry.” Lingering concerns over China regulations, stalemates over raising the U.S. debt ceiling, and the stunning spike and volatility surrounding energy prices all weighed on market sentiment.
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White papersEvergrande: caught in the crossfire between China’s past and future
Evergrande stands in the crosshairs of China’s demographic shift, its urbanisation and property boom, and the end of its decade-long economic growth spurt, writes Robin Usson, CFA, Credit Analyst
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White papersWhat does China’s regulatory crackdown mean for EM corporate debt?
Chinese corporates are experiencing growing pains as fines and restrictions rain down on sectors like tech, real estate and education.
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White papersEvergrande Heads for Default
We believe systematic risk beyond the Chinese property market remains limited.
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White papersThis Is Not a 60/40 Environment
The shift to a mid-cycle expansion beset with unusually high levels of uncertainty could bring a new test for asset allocators.
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White papersEurope’s Most Endangered Species
As fiscal “hawks” fade from the scene, the continent’s economic policy is transforming in ways that will boost growth long after the pandemic ends.
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White papersSpecial Europe: Investing in the recovery
As the European economy is recovering from the largest economic shock of modern history, we are revising our growth and inflation assumptions to the upside. Although the path to recovery is uneven among member states, we believe the EU will see two years of strong growth while inflation should revert below 2%.
