All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 8
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White papersHow Vulnerable Is Emerging Market Debt to Fed Tapering in 2022
Swift and prudent monetary policy action in emerging markets that preceded the most recent taper announcement bodes well for emerging market debt markets.
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PodcastIt’s Quitting Time: Exploring Labor Market Dynamics
After a record-breaking 4.3 million Americans quit their jobs in August, many have had their eyes on the labor market at large. Known as “The Great Resignation” or “The Big Quit”, this phenomenon has turned the heads of employers and employees alike. But how long might this trend last? What has kept people out of the workforce? And what sectors might be able to meet the demand of rising wages?
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White papersThe role bonds play in a portfolio
Building a resilient and balanced portfolio should be a priority for many investors in today’s environment of heightened financial market uncertainty and volatility across a range of asset classes, including equities.
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White papersIs the U.K. the Newest Leading Indicator?
An upside surprise in U.K. inflation and improving employment trends reinforced markets pricing a 10–15 bps rate hike by the BoE in December, while energy prices eased following the announcements from China, which could provide downside pressure to market inflation expectations.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2022
Inflation remains elevated in emerging markets (EM) with ongoing but manageable risks. A significant proportion of the shock to EM inflation can be attributed to volatile food and energy prices. Normalisation of supply chains and base effects should help.
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White papersFed tapering begins: mission accomplished
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) appears to have struck a neutral balance in its November 3 meeting statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. The Fed was careful to differentiate the formal start to monthly tapering of the asset purchase programme with future adjustments to the Federal Funds Rate. The Fed maintained the transitory inflation language, but specifically pointed to inflation “factors that are expected to be transitory” rather than inflation as a whole.
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White papersEM Debt: Why Passive Strategies Often Miss the Mark
When it comes to emerging markets, index tracking can result in both increased risks and missed opportunities.
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White papersMonetary Seesaw – The Treasury and Fed at Opposite Ends
Over the coming months the Federal Reserve Bank will increase the supply of coupons in the market as it tapers its purchases of treasury and mortgage-backed security (MBS) assets. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury will decrease the amount of coupon issuance. These seesaw dynamics could make interest rate markets move in unique ways.
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White papersShoppers Jump-Start an Early Q4 Pickup
Stickier price pressures continue to stoke fears of U.S. inflation. Markets are currently pricing in rate hikes, which has led to increases in the short-end of the U.S. Treasury curve. The downward movement in the long-end suggests markets may be worried about a policy mistake.
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White papersEvergrande and its spill-over effects: ongoing adjustments, but inflection point may be close
Despite Evergrande paid the coupon due on September 23, just one day before the 30-day grace period deadline, the company’s crisis is still unresolved. But it appears to be idiosyncratic and not systemic, as the market impact has been primarily on China’s HY bond index with limited spill-over into the broad EM HY space.
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White papersSustainability in Emerging Markets Debt
Ignoring sustainability in emerging markets debt is, for want of a better term, no longer sustainable.
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White papersPublic/Private Investing: Fixed Income at a Crossroads
As the line between public and private debt markets appears to blur, the ability to draw on the full suite of fixed income asset classes can help investors navigate a wide range of market environments—through complementary sources of risk and return prospects, enhanced diversification and improved return potential.
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White papersThe Brave New World
Supply chain disruptions persist, making the global reopening much less smooth. Contagious variants still weigh on activity, and vaccination levels in major emerging markets have progressed marginally. An energy price shock has added to the unpleasant mix.
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White papersCredit events in China (I) – The macroeconomic impact
In this first of a two-part report, Chi Lo, Senior Market Strategist APAC, examines the macroeconomic impact of China’s latest credit events. In part II, he assesses whether these same events could trigger a property market crash.
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White papersNormalizing policy and market risks
The United States Federal Reserve (Fed) is faced with continued challenges as it seeks to manage both the cyclical and structural economic fallout from the pandemic and move beyond its ultra-accommodative policies.
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VideoUS Economic Outlook: Inflation, Growth and the Fed
Most measures of inflation are at multiyear highs. Headline inflation has gone up 5.4% over the last 12 months, and that’s a rate of increase that we haven’t seen in more than a decade.
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Research ReportDirect lending: how senior is your debt?
Within private credit, direct lending offers a wide range of options for investors seeking the right balance of risk and reward for their particular needs
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White papersWhen “Transitory” Becomes a “Swear Word”
The debate rages on around how best to describe current inflationary pressures, but some synonym for “not lasting” still fits best.
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White papersFrom Rates, to Growth, to China: What’s Next for EM Debt?
While volatility resurfaced in the third quarter, there are a number of positive factors that continue to support EM sovereign, corporate and local debt.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Why EM could be back in focus in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) performance has been held back over the first three quarters of 2021 by a few factors, including the spread of the Delta virus variant in less vaccinated countries, news out of China (growth slowdown, regulation crackdown, and the housing slowdown alongside the Evergrande fallout), and the upcoming Fed tapering.
