All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 10
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Ten for 2021—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipated would guide investment decisions in 2021.
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Global Investment Views - August 2021
The past weeks have confirmed that phase one of the ‘great recovery’ is now behind us. We have entered a new sequence: PMIs decelerating from their peaks and concerns about the spread of the Delta Covid19 variant are features of it.
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Fixed Income Perspectives - July 2021
Financial markets rallied amid stronger-than-expected recoveries in many parts of the global economy and signs that central banks intend to remain more accommodative than had been widely anticipated earlier in 2021.
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Deja vu for CLOs?
Heavy supply around quarterly payment dates has led to predictable periods of spread widening in the CLO market—creating attractive relative value opportunities up and down the capital structure.
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Three Reasons for EM Corporate Short Duration Debt
While the potential for inflation and rising rates could create a headwind for EM debt, a short duration approach can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
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EM Debt: Fundamentals Back to the Forefront
The EM growth picture remains positive, but with the Fed’s hawkish pivot toward quarter-end, sovereign and corporate debt look better positioned than local currencies.
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Hoping for Higher Taxes
There’s a long path ahead, but the new global tax framework should actually support the growth that markets seem to be calling into doubt.
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On my Mind: Something Has to Give
Dr. Sonal Desai discusses the US Treasuries sharp rally over recent weeks with yields dropping. She outlines three possible scenarios and the logical implications of each.
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Euro fixed income: EGB supply/demand dynamics to improve in H2-21
EMU-10 EGB net issuance, net of ECB QE purchases, is likely to be negative in H2 this year for three main reasons: 1) front loading of sovereign debt supply in H1, 2) roughly 60% of yearly bond redemptions still to come, and 3) ECB QE purchases to remain steadily high.
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The price of self-sufficiency
The disruption of global supply chains has been a wakeup call for the European Union. For years, the principle of an open and free Single Market has led to a massive transfer of industrial production and outsourcing mainly to Asia.
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Economic outlook: Where is ‘normal’? Will we get there?…
By debating the size of their balance sheets, central banks are showing for only the second time since 2008 that they may be worrying about our addiction to QE. QE can be credited with unblocking the system in 2009 and keeping it oiled in 2020.
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The Fed’s Long, Hot Summer
As the global economic recovery roars ahead, but with growing concerns about the effects of unprecedented policy stimulus, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Views explores the implications for fixed income investors.
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What Will Kill This Market?
Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
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The impact of China’s lending on Emerging Market Debt
The increasing prominence of China as a financier of developing nations has changed the landscape of emerging market debt investing.
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ESG: Managing Climate Risk in EM Corporate Debt Portfolios
EM companies are making strides when it comes to capturing and disclosing climate risks, but there is work still to be done. Encouragingly, investors and managers are often able to go a few steps further to fill the gaps.
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The Fed’s Last Call for the Punchbowl?
Dr. Sonal Desai discusses the Fed’s challenge. With high uncertainty on the inflation and employment outlook, adjusting its exceptionally loose monetary stance at the right time and pace become a very difficult high-wire act.
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Market’s view of transitory inflation in the US may be premature
We have seen an interesting paradox in the markets over the last couple of months: 10-year US Treasury yields and break-even rates on 10-year maturity TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) have moved lower even as inflation has moved meaningfully higher.
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Investment Insights: Market’s view of transitory inflation in the US may be premature
We have seen an interesting paradox in the markets over the last couple of months: 10-year US Treasury yields and break-even rates on 10-year maturity TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) have moved lower even as inflation has moved meaningfully higher.
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Emerging Market Debt Opportunities Monthly Review - June 2021
Perspective from Franklin Emerging Market Debt Opportunities team.