All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 10
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White papersInvestment Insights: Market’s view of transitory inflation in the US may be premature
We have seen an interesting paradox in the markets over the last couple of months: 10-year US Treasury yields and break-even rates on 10-year maturity TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) have moved lower even as inflation has moved meaningfully higher.
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PodcastEM Debt: How ESG & Economics Are Shaping the Outlook
Ricardo Adrogue and Kawtar Ed-Dahmani see room for positive economic surprises in emerging markets despite concerns from COVID to higher interest rates to inflation.
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White papersThe inflation moment - Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures
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White papersDo Surging Public Debt levels bring Higher (or lower) Bond Yields?
The narrative that rising public debt levels bring higher interest rates, as well as risks of economic and financial disruptions, is a foundation of classical economics.
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White papersInfinity and beyond banks: the never-ending battle between old money and big tech
This month, Fiorino examines the tussle between banks and the increasingly belligerent Big Tech sector.
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White papersNGEU soon to be rolled out: the EU has (almost) done its part; now comes the member-states’ turn
In leading the way to NGEU, the Covid crisis may have marked a crucial milestone in European construction. The amounts involved are high enough to play a decisive role, both in accelerating the cyclical recovery (especially in “peripheral” countries) and in providing a supply-side improvement. Member-states, however, will face a major challenge in absorbing them rapidly and productively.
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White papersEmerging Market Debt: Strong, Mature and Core
Investors who have long considered emerging market (EM) debt to be ancillary to their core portfolio may want to give the asset class another look.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: The folly of forecasting – finding value in an uncertain world
There has been significant positive momentum in credit markets since the Covid crisis began, underpinned by unprecedented levels of government and central bank support. However, despite market expectations of a sharp rebound in economic activity, there remain significant risks to this view.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2021
With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
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White papers4 reasons why US debt may not spin out of control
Is surging US debt sustainable, or will it spin out of control?
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White papersA deep dive into ECB stimulus and its support for Euro fixed-income markets
March saw ECB increasing its PEPP purchases and injecting higher than expected liquidity through a successful TLTRO tender.
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White papersPost-Crisis Investing for the Long Haul
After a series of unprecedented events in the global economy, triggered by the COVID-19 financial crisis, investors and economists alike may see themselves at quite an inflection point in the markets.
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White papersCoiled Spring
Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring”.
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White papersInflation: Preparing your portfolio for the surge
After falling to almost zero during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate of U.S. inflation is on the rise. To navigate the current market environment, today’s investor must understand how quickly the United States economic recovery will generate inflation, how long that inflation will be sustained, and what investment implications follow.
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White papersDoomsday at the bank: a spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down
The global financial crisis proved bank failure was not just ancient history or fictional fodder. Fiorino explains why post-crisis measures to fend off future financial meltdowns may have changed the odds but left the possibility of ‘doomsday’ intact.
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White papersUnveiling the outlook behind China’s distorted Q1 GDP report
China’s economy grew robustly in the first quarter of 2021, at least on the face of it. However, underlying growth momentum has slowed. This should reduce any risk of monetary tightening that investors are worried about.
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White papersBond investors beware – US rates may rise sooner than thought
US bond markets have begun pricing in higher interest rates, specifically two 25 basis point (bp) increases in the benchmark fed funds rate by 2023.
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White papersTime to Start Thinking About Thinking
The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
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White papersThe Rising Tide of Equity Duration
With concerns of inflation pressures anticipated in the months ahead, investors may be looking to adjust their asset allocation approaches. Though many would associate the concept of duration with Fixed Income, we explore the aspects of Equity Duration.
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White papersInvesting Around the Next Round of Russia Sanctions
Markets have learned to brace for each new set of measures, but now it’s more important to watch for any evolution in the bilateral relationship.
