All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 10
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White papersFed tapering begins: mission accomplished
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) appears to have struck a neutral balance in its November 3 meeting statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. The Fed was careful to differentiate the formal start to monthly tapering of the asset purchase programme with future adjustments to the Federal Funds Rate. The Fed maintained the transitory inflation language, but specifically pointed to inflation “factors that are expected to be transitory” rather than inflation as a whole.
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White papersEM Debt: Why Passive Strategies Often Miss the Mark
When it comes to emerging markets, index tracking can result in both increased risks and missed opportunities.
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White papersMonetary Seesaw – The Treasury and Fed at Opposite Ends
Over the coming months the Federal Reserve Bank will increase the supply of coupons in the market as it tapers its purchases of treasury and mortgage-backed security (MBS) assets. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury will decrease the amount of coupon issuance. These seesaw dynamics could make interest rate markets move in unique ways.
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White papersShoppers Jump-Start an Early Q4 Pickup
Stickier price pressures continue to stoke fears of U.S. inflation. Markets are currently pricing in rate hikes, which has led to increases in the short-end of the U.S. Treasury curve. The downward movement in the long-end suggests markets may be worried about a policy mistake.
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White papersEvergrande and its spill-over effects: ongoing adjustments, but inflection point may be close
Despite Evergrande paid the coupon due on September 23, just one day before the 30-day grace period deadline, the company’s crisis is still unresolved. But it appears to be idiosyncratic and not systemic, as the market impact has been primarily on China’s HY bond index with limited spill-over into the broad EM HY space.
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White papersSustainability in Emerging Markets Debt
Ignoring sustainability in emerging markets debt is, for want of a better term, no longer sustainable.
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White papersPublic/Private Investing: Fixed Income at a Crossroads
As the line between public and private debt markets appears to blur, the ability to draw on the full suite of fixed income asset classes can help investors navigate a wide range of market environments—through complementary sources of risk and return prospects, enhanced diversification and improved return potential.
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White papersThe Brave New World
Supply chain disruptions persist, making the global reopening much less smooth. Contagious variants still weigh on activity, and vaccination levels in major emerging markets have progressed marginally. An energy price shock has added to the unpleasant mix.
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White papersCredit events in China (I) – The macroeconomic impact
In this first of a two-part report, Chi Lo, Senior Market Strategist APAC, examines the macroeconomic impact of China’s latest credit events. In part II, he assesses whether these same events could trigger a property market crash.
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White papersNormalizing policy and market risks
The United States Federal Reserve (Fed) is faced with continued challenges as it seeks to manage both the cyclical and structural economic fallout from the pandemic and move beyond its ultra-accommodative policies.
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VideoUS Economic Outlook: Inflation, Growth and the Fed
Most measures of inflation are at multiyear highs. Headline inflation has gone up 5.4% over the last 12 months, and that’s a rate of increase that we haven’t seen in more than a decade.
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Research ReportDirect lending: how senior is your debt?
Within private credit, direct lending offers a wide range of options for investors seeking the right balance of risk and reward for their particular needs
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White papersWhen “Transitory” Becomes a “Swear Word”
The debate rages on around how best to describe current inflationary pressures, but some synonym for “not lasting” still fits best.
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White papersFrom Rates, to Growth, to China: What’s Next for EM Debt?
While volatility resurfaced in the third quarter, there are a number of positive factors that continue to support EM sovereign, corporate and local debt.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Why EM could be back in focus in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) performance has been held back over the first three quarters of 2021 by a few factors, including the spread of the Delta virus variant in less vaccinated countries, news out of China (growth slowdown, regulation crackdown, and the housing slowdown alongside the Evergrande fallout), and the upcoming Fed tapering.
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White papersHigher rates provide a second chance to play US value opportunities
Nowadays, US value trades at its steepest discount to growth since 1999. However, declining Covid-19 cases, a broad-based economic recovery, prospects of higher interest rates as we progress out of the pandemic, and the return of persistent inflation pressures should help close the valuation gap between growth and value stocks.
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White papersCaution Today, Opportunity Tomorrow
We think a more cautious stance represents a prudent approach to an already volatile inflection point between early-cycle recovery and mid-cycle expansion.
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White papersCongress Sets New Deadline, So Do Markets
A general sense of risk-off dominated early in the week as markets faced a “wall of worry.” Lingering concerns over China regulations, stalemates over raising the U.S. debt ceiling, and the stunning spike and volatility surrounding energy prices all weighed on market sentiment.
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White papersEvergrande: caught in the crossfire between China’s past and future
Evergrande stands in the crosshairs of China’s demographic shift, its urbanisation and property boom, and the end of its decade-long economic growth spurt, writes Robin Usson, CFA, Credit Analyst
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White papersWhat does China’s regulatory crackdown mean for EM corporate debt?
Chinese corporates are experiencing growing pains as fines and restrictions rain down on sectors like tech, real estate and education.
