All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 11
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The Evolution Of U.S. Corporate Profits: Dissecting 70 Years’ Of Performance
U.S. corporate profits have generally weathered the pandemic with resiliency. A key question for investors of all stripes—from equity to fixed income and beyond—is how corporate profits might proceed from here.
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Brazil And South Africa: Two Continental Giants With Feet Of Clay
Following heavy public spending during the pandemic, Brazil’s and South Africa’s government debt has surged over the past year, exacerbating the already sizable fiscal problems both countries were facing before the onset of COVID-19.
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Global Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2021
Vaccination progress and fiscal stimulus have advantaged the US economy, which we expect to grow about 6.5% in 2021. China, too, is rebounding, with output already topping pre-crisis levels. We’re still cautious, however, about Europe, where rising COVID-19 cases may further delay reopenings.
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Investment Outlook: You asked, we answered
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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What Markets are Missing Beneath Brazil’s Messy Headlines
While a lot of things have gone wrong for Brazil, it is fair to say that the gap between market prices and economic fundamentals has gone too far.
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Amid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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Three Strategies for Navigating Turbulent Bond Markets
Today’s market environment taps into bond investors’ primal fears. Extremely low yields make it tough to find sufficient income and potential return. Economic growth is rebounding from its 2020 collapse, but the world’s grip on recovery is uncertain.
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How hot is the inflation pot? Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures.
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Fixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
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Three Focal Points For The U.S.- China Relationship
The recent U.S.-China summit kicked off with U.S.-China relations at a low point. The ongoing shift in U.S. policy towards China—hastened under the Trump administration with the support of both political parties—was long in the making and effectively ended the U.S. doctrine of strategic engagement that facilitated China’s global rise during the preceding four decades.
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Dodging The Industry Potholes Across EM High Yield Corporates
The rally in risk markets emphasizes the importance of identifying relative-value opportunities across global asset classes. Emerging market high yield bonds may increasingly draw investors’ interest given a spread pickup relative to their U.S. and European counterparts.
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The case for Chinese Treasuries
What is in short supply at the moment for fixed income investors are high-yielding, lowly-correlated bonds with solid macro underpinnings: China ticks all of those boxes.
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How to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
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The post-COVID-19 world, with Capital Group’s Night Watch
Our Night Watch approach was built from lessons we learned in the 2008–09 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as a way to engage in scenario planning around big systemic issues.
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Fiorino: bond themes and late-cycle mood music: as rates go up-tempo, markets rotate
As global economies emerge from the Covid-19 doldrums, bond markets could be tiring. But late-stage fixed income dynamics can also play out well for astute investors. Fiorino conducts a brief enquiry.
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Uncover new sources of income with taxable municipal bonds
Issuance of taxable municipal bonds, a segment of the overall municipal market, has increased in recent years, providing global institutional investors with an additional means of generating yield.
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The U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
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Why the Distressed Debt Opportunity Looks Different This Cycle
A surge in defaults and distressed opportunities seemed likely when COVID struck—but stimulus measures and creative financing solutions have reshaped both the opportunity set and the timing.
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Five Factors Shaping the Global Economy in 2021
From interest rates and inflation to government stimulus and multi-speed recoveries, Dr. Christopher Smart tells us what we know today—and what we still need to find out—about the global economy’s comeback from COVID-19.
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China’s disinflation and implications
China has abandoned its ‘growth at all cost’ push and is sticking with its deleveraging and structural reform policy despite the trade war with the US and COVID-19 shocks. This has resulted in a constrained growth environment.