All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 11
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2021
With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
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4 reasons why US debt may not spin out of control
Is surging US debt sustainable, or will it spin out of control?
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A deep dive into ECB stimulus and its support for Euro fixed-income markets
March saw ECB increasing its PEPP purchases and injecting higher than expected liquidity through a successful TLTRO tender.
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Post-Crisis Investing for the Long Haul
After a series of unprecedented events in the global economy, triggered by the COVID-19 financial crisis, investors and economists alike may see themselves at quite an inflection point in the markets.
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Coiled Spring
Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring”.
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Inflation: Preparing your portfolio for the surge
After falling to almost zero during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate of U.S. inflation is on the rise. To navigate the current market environment, today’s investor must understand how quickly the United States economic recovery will generate inflation, how long that inflation will be sustained, and what investment implications follow.
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Doomsday at the bank: a spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down
The global financial crisis proved bank failure was not just ancient history or fictional fodder. Fiorino explains why post-crisis measures to fend off future financial meltdowns may have changed the odds but left the possibility of ‘doomsday’ intact.
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Unveiling the outlook behind China’s distorted Q1 GDP report
China’s economy grew robustly in the first quarter of 2021, at least on the face of it. However, underlying growth momentum has slowed. This should reduce any risk of monetary tightening that investors are worried about.
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Bond investors beware – US rates may rise sooner than thought
US bond markets have begun pricing in higher interest rates, specifically two 25 basis point (bp) increases in the benchmark fed funds rate by 2023.
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Time to Start Thinking About Thinking
The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
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The Rising Tide of Equity Duration
With concerns of inflation pressures anticipated in the months ahead, investors may be looking to adjust their asset allocation approaches. Though many would associate the concept of duration with Fixed Income, we explore the aspects of Equity Duration.
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Investing Around the Next Round of Russia Sanctions
Markets have learned to brace for each new set of measures, but now it’s more important to watch for any evolution in the bilateral relationship.
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Global Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2021
Vaccination progress and fiscal stimulus have advantaged the US economy, which we expect to grow about 6.5% in 2021. China, too, is rebounding, with output already topping pre-crisis levels. We’re still cautious, however, about Europe, where rising COVID-19 cases may further delay reopenings.
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Investment Outlook: You asked, we answered
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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What Markets are Missing Beneath Brazil’s Messy Headlines
While a lot of things have gone wrong for Brazil, it is fair to say that the gap between market prices and economic fundamentals has gone too far.
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Amid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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Three Strategies for Navigating Turbulent Bond Markets
Today’s market environment taps into bond investors’ primal fears. Extremely low yields make it tough to find sufficient income and potential return. Economic growth is rebounding from its 2020 collapse, but the world’s grip on recovery is uncertain.
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How hot is the inflation pot? Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures.
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Fixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
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The case for Chinese Treasuries
What is in short supply at the moment for fixed income investors are high-yielding, lowly-correlated bonds with solid macro underpinnings: China ticks all of those boxes.