All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 11
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White papersEvergrande Heads for Default
We believe systematic risk beyond the Chinese property market remains limited.
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White papersThis Is Not a 60/40 Environment
The shift to a mid-cycle expansion beset with unusually high levels of uncertainty could bring a new test for asset allocators.
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White papersEurope’s Most Endangered Species
As fiscal “hawks” fade from the scene, the continent’s economic policy is transforming in ways that will boost growth long after the pandemic ends.
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White papersSpecial Europe: Investing in the recovery
As the European economy is recovering from the largest economic shock of modern history, we are revising our growth and inflation assumptions to the upside. Although the path to recovery is uneven among member states, we believe the EU will see two years of strong growth while inflation should revert below 2%.
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PodcastTurning a New Leaf in Chinese Investing
Historically, as the second largest economy in the world, China has presented a myriad of opportunities to investors worldwide. However, due to the regulatory changes outlined by the Chinese government, trends suggest that investors have started to reconsider their allocations in China.
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White papersECB Policy and Bunds Are Set to Move
Ahead of the key European Central Bank policy meeting on September 9, we offer our views on what will likely change, what may not, and what it could mean for the Bund yield.
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White papersCase study: Trade the When Issued (WI) security a month in advance using Micro Treasury Yield futures
Learn how investors can use smaller-sized, yield-based Treasury futures contracts to roll when-issue in advance, less expensively than previously possible.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2021
Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid variant, the deceleration of economic growth from its peak, and divergences in policies.
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PodcastEM Debt: Assessing the Impact of China’s Crackdowns
Omotunde Lawal, Head of EM Corporate Debt, sheds light on China’s recent regulatory crackdowns on industries ranging from technology to education to property, and explains the risks and opportunities these actions may present for fixed income investors.
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White papersTen for 2021—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipated would guide investment decisions in 2021.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2021
The past weeks have confirmed that phase one of the ‘great recovery’ is now behind us. We have entered a new sequence: PMIs decelerating from their peaks and concerns about the spread of the Delta Covid19 variant are features of it.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives - July 2021
Financial markets rallied amid stronger-than-expected recoveries in many parts of the global economy and signs that central banks intend to remain more accommodative than had been widely anticipated earlier in 2021.
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White papersDeja vu for CLOs?
Heavy supply around quarterly payment dates has led to predictable periods of spread widening in the CLO market—creating attractive relative value opportunities up and down the capital structure.
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White papersThree Reasons for EM Corporate Short Duration Debt
While the potential for inflation and rising rates could create a headwind for EM debt, a short duration approach can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
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White papersEM Debt: Fundamentals Back to the Forefront
The EM growth picture remains positive, but with the Fed’s hawkish pivot toward quarter-end, sovereign and corporate debt look better positioned than local currencies.
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White papersHoping for Higher Taxes
There’s a long path ahead, but the new global tax framework should actually support the growth that markets seem to be calling into doubt.
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White papersEuro fixed income: EGB supply/demand dynamics to improve in H2-21
EMU-10 EGB net issuance, net of ECB QE purchases, is likely to be negative in H2 this year for three main reasons: 1) front loading of sovereign debt supply in H1, 2) roughly 60% of yearly bond redemptions still to come, and 3) ECB QE purchases to remain steadily high.
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White papersThe price of self-sufficiency
The disruption of global supply chains has been a wakeup call for the European Union. For years, the principle of an open and free Single Market has led to a massive transfer of industrial production and outsourcing mainly to Asia.
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White papersEconomic outlook: Where is ‘normal’? Will we get there?…
By debating the size of their balance sheets, central banks are showing for only the second time since 2008 that they may be worrying about our addiction to QE. QE can be credited with unblocking the system in 2009 and keeping it oiled in 2020.
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White papersWhat Will Kill This Market?
Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
