All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 16
-
White papersCLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
-
Asset Manager NewsImplications of the global debt explosion
Global debt was at an unprecedented level before Covid-19. With the subsequent policy response injecting liquidity into most parts of the world economy, the debt predicament is set for a worse path. We explore the implications for sovereigns, financials and corporates, particularly from the perspective of credit investors.
-
White papersWhy USD Fixed Income may look increasingly attractive to European investors
US fixed income can be a valuable source of diversification for European investors, but in the past the cost of hedging of the US Dollar exposure was high, neutralizing this benefit. The situation has changed, and the cost of hedging for Euro-based investors is much lower than in the recent past. Furthermore, we expect this cost will remain low.
-
White papersQ&A: The Pandemic and Politics
Assessing the 2020 race in light of COVID-19, economic weakness and civil unrest.
-
White papersThe “Pandemic Put” Can’t Last Forever
As the second half comes into focus, investors will have to contemplate a world in which the risks remain—and the backstops come with strings.
-
White papersGiving credit to decarbonisation (part 2)
What actions are commercial real-estate owners, and their lenders, taking to reduce carbon emissions – and how can this impact the performance of their assets?
-
White papersFiorino: the purpose of pandemic banking
In the latest instalment of Fiorino, our blog focused on deciphering complexity in global financials, we assess the resilience of banks as they prepare to finance businesses during the disruption caused by the pandemic.
-
White papersConsumers Are Betting On Herd Immunity
There is much optimism in a rebound in PMIs, but the fear of a second wave is in the back of many minds. Trade deals continue to come about.
-
White papersECB QE Monitor - May 2020
Central Banks: interest rates near zero The Fed kept its interest rates unchanged. The ECB kept its interest rates unchanged. No movement on BoJ interest rates since 2016.
-
White papersThe day after #6 - Inflation: persistent headwinds but a possible inflationary cocktail
Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, all eyes have been on the unfolding health catastrophe and the consequences of confinement: economies halted, exploding rates of unemployment (in particular in the United States), and rising debt levels. In this extraordinary context, inflation is often overlooked. This is a dangerous mistake, in our view. For investors, now more than ever, it is crucial to keep a very close eye on this metric—in particular, since we may be at the beginning of a complete regime shift.
-
White papersA Very Bond-Friendly Crisis
We believe the COVID-19 crisis and the response from governments and central banks creates an unusually favorable macro environment for credit.
-
White papersNeuberger Berman Fixed Income: Company Leadership during COVID-19
Assessing Company Leadership during COVID-19 with Active ESG Engagement
-
White papersEM Short-dated Debt: A Diamond in the Rough?
COVID-19 and lower oil prices have led to indiscriminate selling across EM corporate debt, creating a potentially compelling opportunity in the shorter-dated, higher-yielding segment of the market.
-
White papersEM Debt: Downturns, Defaults & Diamonds in the Rough
Barings’ Omotunde Lawal and Cem Karacadag explain how COVID-19 is impacting the economies of emerging markets, and how lower oil prices and loose monetary policies may influence the future default picture.
-
White papersFiorino: in this pandemic, asset quality is key to banks’ health
In this launch issue of Fiorino, our blog focused on deciphering complexity in global financials, we assess how banks are preparing for corporate defaults resulting from lockdowns across economies worldwide.
-
White papersA look at why insurance-linked securities are largely immune to the Covid-19 volatility
Insurance-linked securities have been almost unaffected by the market turmoil linked to coronavirus. We look into the mechanisms that make them more resilient.
-
White papersAssessing the Known Unknowns
While the list of worries is long, we will focus on three key uncertainties that, if known, should give us more clarity about the direction of markets. As some of these unknowns are coming into view, each of them creates unknowns of their own.
-
White papersFocus on Italy: macroeconomic and fixed income scenario
If we wanted to characterise the contraction and recovery pattern, we would probably describe it as a ‘long U-shaped’ recovery; in other words, as a gradual normalisation which will take some time before seeing a return to pre-crisis levels. In Italy, the government is estimating an 8% GDP contraction this year, followed by a 4.7% YoY rebound in 2021. In our analysis, we consider two possible reference scenarios for 2020 growth: -8.0% YoY (as per the government scenario) and -12.0% YoY.
-
White papersSweden’s Experiment with Negative Rates
At the end of 2019, Sweden’s Riksbank initiated a policy change at a time when the much larger European Central Bank (ECB) announced its determination to persist with its negative interest rate policy.
-
White papersThe 20-Year Bond in a Brave New World
The US Government has responded to COVID-19 in unprecedented ways to produce a huge and rapid fiscal policy response. To fund this policy, the Treasury announced that it will issue over $800 billion in Treasury securities over the next three months. Including issuance completed in April, the issuance number rises to over $1 trillion. That is a massive issuance schedule. Here is what is upcoming.
