All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 19
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EMD in 2020: A year of “alpha,” and the return of the “political economy”
As we end another tumultuous year for emerging markets (EM), it’s a good time to pause and reflect on what the start of the third decade of the 21st century holds for emerging market debt (EMD) investors.
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Blog: Emerging market fixed income – the outlook
Despite a sometimes challenging environment, emerging market debt generated strong returns in 2019. All four principal emerging market debt categories generated double-digit returns in 2019, led by hard currency emerging market debt.
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Blog: Investing for tomorrow – applying ESG principles to emerging market debt
In the past, investors often balked at the idea of applying environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria when investing in emerging markets. We believe such an attitude is based on outdated associations of low income with political, social or economic disadvantages. Many EM countries have undergone significant progress and now have middle-income status.
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Emerging market debt rally set to moderate
Emerging market (EM) debt started 2019 at attractive valuations. This followed a nine-month slide as the US Federal Reserve moved to normalise monetary policy and raise interest rates, which naturally strengthened the dollar and increased EMs’ funding costs.
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Fixed Expense Investing
Low and even negative yields have turned some fixed income investing into “fixed expense” investing—but there are still good reasons to hold negative-yielding bonds.
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Global economies in 2020 and beyond
Over the past decade, major economies have more than recouped the GDP lost during the financial crisis. Yet governments, companies and households have spent more time repairing their balance sheets than spending, while central banks have reverted to the tools that failed them in the past.
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2020: Risks, Opportunities & Predictions (Part 1/2)
In Part 1 of our 2-part series, Barings’ investment professionals touch on topics from politics to trade wars to economic growth—and offer their perspectives on why EM currencies, international equities and EM local debt might outperform in 2020.
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Ten Crises We Avoided This Year
It turns out that we are not entirely hostage to immutable economic cycles or raging political intrigue. Sometimes people make good decisions in spite of our expectations. Sometimes, to be honest, we are just plain lucky and the dice land well.
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Zombies stalk the bond markets
Writing in the Financial Times, senior investment manager Galia Velimukhametova explains why companies kept alive by low borrowing costs threaten to bring about a downturn.
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Asia bonds: tactical value for a long-term opportunity
Asian debt exhibits robust fundamentals and bright long-term prospects, with attractive yields.
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Barometer: The investment landscape in 2020
The dollar’s bull run should come to an end, weighing on US equities. Emerging market debt, European equities and value stocks have the potential to outperform.
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Are Negative Rates Really That Negative?
So far, they seem to work in practice, just not in theory. Negative yields seem to have helped extend the cycle, but they carry risks if they linger for too long.
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Unlocking human capital in emerging economies
All developing countries have a seriously under-tapped resource: their people. That’s important for emerging debt investors to bear in mind.
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Seeking Big Opportunities in Small Companies
As Europe finds itself in a climate of lackluster growth and political volatility, with an equity market that has been on an unprecedented 10-year bull run, investors are searching for pockets of value. A long-term allocation to small-cap equities is one potential solution.
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EM Debt: Warding Off Headwinds with Active Management
In this Q&A, Barings’ Head of Global Sovereign Debt and Currencies, Ricardo Adroguè, addresses the many risks facing the global economy—specifically China, Argentina and the Middle East—and explains why a skilled active manager is critical to performance.
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Staying positive: why Asian fixed income makes sense in the face of rising uncertainty
It’s hardly surprising that the uncertainty associated with the on-again, offagain U.S.-China trade talks has continued to weigh on market sentiment. As of this writing, discussions appear to be progressing in a constructive manner—just like they did in July. But we know from our experience this past summer that a high level of unpredictability remains: these negotiations could collapse or gain traction at a moment’s notice.
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When investments in Infrastructure Debt embrace ESG standards
The requirement to develop, maintain, upgrade infrastructure projects is constant, even increasing worldwide, and so reflected into a funding demand.
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ESG for Sovereigns: One Size Does Not Fit All
ESG has risen to the forefront of many investment strategies over the last decade. At Barings, our EM Sovereign Debt team takes a country-by-country approach, assessing ESG factors in the context of sustainability and—ultimately—creditworthiness.
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Partners Group: gaining from long-term tailwinds
Private markets, including equity and debt, infrastructure and real estate, stand out as a high-margin part of the asset management sector that is still expanding, with returns higher than those delivered by public markets.