All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 15
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White papersPushing on an Open Door – Covid 19 is Intensifying Long Term Macro Trends
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt. How will governments tackle the debt overhang—and how do these trends impact our macro views?
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White papersPushing on an Open Door: COVID-19 is Intensifying Long-term Macro Trends…Especially Debt Overhangs
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt.
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White papersQuarantined From Market Risk?
We look at whether “uncorrelated strategies” lived up to their label through the COVID-19 crisis.
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White papersPerspectives on Emerging Markets Investing
The first half of 2020 witnessed an unexpected shock that unsettled markets around the world and abruptly ended a 10-year, record-long expansion. Emerging market (EM) economies—profoundly distinct and at different stages of development—have weathered the COVID-19 storm better than expected, yet many face longer-term headwinds.
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White papersVulnerability to Default in Emerging Markets
While emerging markets sovereign defaults are at levels not seen since 2001 this year, rapid policy responses are helping to avoid the worst—furthermore, we believe the corporate default rate for 2020 could be lower than in 2009 or even 2016.
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White papersActive management to find yield in fixed income
Unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures by central banks and governments have installed a low-yield/low-volatility regime in developed bond markets. As investors search hard for yield, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris discusses the prospects for fixed income markets with Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income.
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White papersHow Long Can This Go On?
U.S. government debts may set new records, but investors should focus more on borrowing costs and growth rates.
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White papersWhen will we learn our lesson on pandemics?
Part 1 of our series exploring the potential source of the next global crisis
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White papersEMD: Further Room to Run?
Emerging markets debt rallied strongly in the second quarter—and while risks remain ever-present, the asset class may benefit from continued monetary stimulus and the potential for a sharper economic bounce-back in the second half of the year.
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White papersCLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
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Asset Manager NewsImplications of the global debt explosion
Global debt was at an unprecedented level before Covid-19. With the subsequent policy response injecting liquidity into most parts of the world economy, the debt predicament is set for a worse path. We explore the implications for sovereigns, financials and corporates, particularly from the perspective of credit investors.
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White papersWhy USD Fixed Income may look increasingly attractive to European investors
US fixed income can be a valuable source of diversification for European investors, but in the past the cost of hedging of the US Dollar exposure was high, neutralizing this benefit. The situation has changed, and the cost of hedging for Euro-based investors is much lower than in the recent past. Furthermore, we expect this cost will remain low.
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White papersQ&A: The Pandemic and Politics
Assessing the 2020 race in light of COVID-19, economic weakness and civil unrest.
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White papersThe “Pandemic Put” Can’t Last Forever
As the second half comes into focus, investors will have to contemplate a world in which the risks remain—and the backstops come with strings.
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White papersGiving credit to decarbonisation (part 2)
What actions are commercial real-estate owners, and their lenders, taking to reduce carbon emissions – and how can this impact the performance of their assets?
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White papersFiorino: the purpose of pandemic banking
In the latest instalment of Fiorino, our blog focused on deciphering complexity in global financials, we assess the resilience of banks as they prepare to finance businesses during the disruption caused by the pandemic.
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White papersConsumers Are Betting On Herd Immunity
There is much optimism in a rebound in PMIs, but the fear of a second wave is in the back of many minds. Trade deals continue to come about.
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White papersHave traditional safe havens lost their edge?
COVID-19 has reminded investors of the importance of defensive positions within portfolios during times of stress. But are the ‘safe havens’ of the past still up to the task?
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White papersECB QE Monitor - May 2020
Central Banks: interest rates near zero The Fed kept its interest rates unchanged. The ECB kept its interest rates unchanged. No movement on BoJ interest rates since 2016.
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White papersThe day after #6 - Inflation: persistent headwinds but a possible inflationary cocktail
Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, all eyes have been on the unfolding health catastrophe and the consequences of confinement: economies halted, exploding rates of unemployment (in particular in the United States), and rising debt levels. In this extraordinary context, inflation is often overlooked. This is a dangerous mistake, in our view. For investors, now more than ever, it is crucial to keep a very close eye on this metric—in particular, since we may be at the beginning of a complete regime shift.
