All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 15
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White papers
Market Perspectives - Covid paralysis recedes as political risk rises
After a buoyant August for risk assets, the rally is likely to flatten out. Rising new infections into the autumn, a levelling recovery pace and diverse political risks (US politics, Brexit, geopolitics) will keep a lid on risk sentiment.
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White papers
Three Reasons for EM Short Duration Debt
Emerging markets debt has shown much resilience despite facing its share of pandemic-induced difficulties. A short-dated approach, in particular, can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
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White papers
2020 US Election: What the Polls Could Mean for Policy and Markets
The field is set for the 2020 US presidential election, and markets are turning their focus to November’s contest. Of course, we can’t predict the electoral result for the presidency or Congress, and even the market’s reaction is unclear. However, given the stakes of this election, investors would be well advised to track a few key themes.
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White papers
Pushing on an Open Door – Covid 19 is Intensifying Long Term Macro Trends
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt. How will governments tackle the debt overhang—and how do these trends impact our macro views?
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White papers
Pushing on an Open Door: COVID-19 is Intensifying Long-term Macro Trends…Especially Debt Overhangs
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt.
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White papers
Quarantined From Market Risk?
We look at whether “uncorrelated strategies” lived up to their label through the COVID-19 crisis.
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White papers
Perspectives on Emerging Markets Investing
The first half of 2020 witnessed an unexpected shock that unsettled markets around the world and abruptly ended a 10-year, record-long expansion. Emerging market (EM) economies—profoundly distinct and at different stages of development—have weathered the COVID-19 storm better than expected, yet many face longer-term headwinds.
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White papers
Vulnerability to Default in Emerging Markets
While emerging markets sovereign defaults are at levels not seen since 2001 this year, rapid policy responses are helping to avoid the worst—furthermore, we believe the corporate default rate for 2020 could be lower than in 2009 or even 2016.
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White papers
Active management to find yield in fixed income
Unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures by central banks and governments have installed a low-yield/low-volatility regime in developed bond markets. As investors search hard for yield, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris discusses the prospects for fixed income markets with Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income.
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White papers
How Long Can This Go On?
U.S. government debts may set new records, but investors should focus more on borrowing costs and growth rates.
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White papers
EMD: Further Room to Run?
Emerging markets debt rallied strongly in the second quarter—and while risks remain ever-present, the asset class may benefit from continued monetary stimulus and the potential for a sharper economic bounce-back in the second half of the year.
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White papers
CLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
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Asset Manager News
Implications of the global debt explosion
Global debt was at an unprecedented level before Covid-19. With the subsequent policy response injecting liquidity into most parts of the world economy, the debt predicament is set for a worse path. We explore the implications for sovereigns, financials and corporates, particularly from the perspective of credit investors.
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White papers
Why USD Fixed Income may look increasingly attractive to European investors
US fixed income can be a valuable source of diversification for European investors, but in the past the cost of hedging of the US Dollar exposure was high, neutralizing this benefit. The situation has changed, and the cost of hedging for Euro-based investors is much lower than in the recent past. Furthermore, we expect this cost will remain low.
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White papers
Q&A: The Pandemic and Politics
Assessing the 2020 race in light of COVID-19, economic weakness and civil unrest.
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White papers
The “Pandemic Put” Can’t Last Forever
As the second half comes into focus, investors will have to contemplate a world in which the risks remain—and the backstops come with strings.
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White papers
Giving credit to decarbonisation (part 2)
What actions are commercial real-estate owners, and their lenders, taking to reduce carbon emissions – and how can this impact the performance of their assets?
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White papers
Fiorino: the purpose of pandemic banking
In the latest instalment of Fiorino, our blog focused on deciphering complexity in global financials, we assess the resilience of banks as they prepare to finance businesses during the disruption caused by the pandemic.
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White papers
Consumers Are Betting On Herd Immunity
There is much optimism in a rebound in PMIs, but the fear of a second wave is in the back of many minds. Trade deals continue to come about.
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White papers
ECB QE Monitor - May 2020
Central Banks: interest rates near zero The Fed kept its interest rates unchanged. The ECB kept its interest rates unchanged. No movement on BoJ interest rates since 2016.