All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 13
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White papersFinding the Right Sovereign ESG Indicators: A Greek Tragedy?
On our mini odyssey through the vast seas of sovereign ESG indicators, we sought to identify data and scores from reliable third parties—which would not only provide benchmarking criteria between countries, but also serve as an effective screening tool to identify outliers.
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White papersRates Markets Are Normalizing
It is far too early for taper talk, in our view, but the bias of risk is still toward higher rates to come.
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White papersEM Debt: Where is the Value Today?
Barings’ Cem Karacadag discusses the outlook for emerging markets debt, including the uneven impact of the pandemic, how rising interest rates and fluctuating currencies may influence the picture, and the increasing role that ESG is playing in identifying winners and losers.
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White papersItaly: ECB’s Umbrella To Protect Bond Market, Despite Uncertain Political Situation
On 13 January, Italia Viva – a minor coalition partner led by former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi – pulled out of the ruling coalition, leaving the government short of a majority in the Senate. However, we believe that snap elections are unlikely for now.
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White papersFound in space: how markets could make contact with reality in 2021
This month, Fiorino looks to the stars for an alien-eye view of Earthly financial conditions…
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White papersIG Credit: Can the Strong Performance Continue?
After a rollercoaster year, IG corporate credit ended on a high note. But all eyes are on the months ahead, and whether we could see a reversal of some of the trends that buoyed the asset class in 2020.
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White papersCLOs: Cautious Optimism
Coming off a tumultuous year, CLOs look well-positioned going forward—particularly if the economy continues to heal and rates move higher.
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White papersUnited States: the power of Executive Orders
Following the elections in Georgia, the Democrats have a very small majority in Congress. To facilitate governance, the new administration is likely to continue to govern using Executive Orders (EOs). Their use has grown over time, and they have become a full-fledged instrument of governance.
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White papersEMD: Light at the End of the Tunnel
The rollout of the COVID vaccine may be slower across emerging markets, meaning restrictions will likely remain in place for the foreseeable future. But there are bright spots—including in local currencies and companies that have adapted to this ‘new normal’.
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White papersECB QE Monitor - January 2021
In December, the ECB bought €57.2bn under the PEPP and €21.1bn under the APP.
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White papers10 predictions for 2021: The world improves, but do markets already know?
At the start of the year, we expected economic growth to pick up modestly and were encouraged by seemingly diminishing macro risks, such as trade policy. Conversely, we were concerned by relatively full stock valuations and thought that market gains could be limited following a strong 2019.
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White papersCIO EMEA Outlook 2021: Knowns And Unknowns After A Tumultuous Year
At the beginning of the year we were threatened with excitement, be that trade wars or ongoing political upheaval in the Europe and the US. None of us were prepared for a global pandemic.
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White papersChina Credits: Default Outlook From an Onshore Perspective
Changing government policy could impact default levels in 2021.
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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White papersCOVID, climate and Black Lives Matter: The stories that defined 2020
We select some of our key pieces of content in a year of unending drama.
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White papersWill Washington Deliver a Holiday Miracle?
U.S. initial claims increased amid rising COVID cases, adding more fuel to the stimulus negotiations fire growing in Congress. China activity data for November should improve, and the Bank of England is expected to remain dovish given the pandemic and Brexit.
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White papersGlobal IG: Don’t Underestimate Changed Behaviours
We came into 2020 on the back of one of the longest expansion phases ever, with increasingly loose monetary policy extending the growth cycle. Because of that growth and low interest rates, companies had been gearing up and corporate leverage was actually relatively high going into the pandemic.
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White papersSeeking income – the case for investing in private corporate debt
Pension funds with current cashflow requirements depend on a steady stream of payouts, but face a number of unique challenges in their search for income against a backdrop of lower-for-longer yields and volatile investment conditions brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.
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White papersWhy it’s so Hard to go Bankrupt… And Why That Will Change
Massive policy response has firms awash in liquidity, but 2021 will bring solvency challenges that investors need to watch closely.
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White papersHeading into 2021, what do we think about credit markets?
We think that a combination of improving fundamentals and ongoing monetary stimulus will push spreads towards new record tight levels. We see also room for spread compression in high yield. Sustainably low financing costs make high debt levels much more manageable. Consequently, investors should now focus more on the ability of companies to generate profits rather than their level of debt.
