All Emerging Market Debt articles – Page 24
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: August 2018
Concerns about trade continue to take centre stage. While US assets have so far been resilient amid escalating protectionist rhetoric, markets targeted by tariffs are under pressure.
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White papersExchange rate predictability in Emerging Markets
This paper uses financial and macroeconomic variables to predict currency returns, by using a two-step procedure. The first step consists of a cointegration equation that explains the exchange rate level as a function of global and domestic financial factors. The second step estimates an error-correction equation, for modeling the expected returns. This approach is a factor model analysis, where a Lasso derived technique is used for variable selection.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: July 2018
Since the beginning of the year, emerging market risky assets have become more volatile.
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White papersAnticipating a strong year for bonds
In contrast to tightening monetary policy in the US and a lower pace of quantitative easing in Europe, Asian central banks are maintaining accommodative monetary policy.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q2 2018
Even modest upward interest rate adjustments can be disruptive to risk markets when they collide with slowing economic growth, shifting monetary regimes, and geopolitical shocks.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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White papersEmerging Markets, Emerging Political Change
A lot of positive political change isn’t reflected in emerging market asset prices. EM investors still demand extra return for political risk even though that risk is going down in some countries—and opportunities are increasing.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: May 2018
While in 2017 financial markets largely ignored geopolitical risks, as they were more inclined to read the Goldilocks narrative, this mood now appears to be changing.
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White papersRising Rates Survival Guide
Looking for new sources of income and diversification will be crucial to dealing with the challenges of rising interest rates and inflation.
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White papersDaisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018
With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.
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White papersReaction: Italian election
The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.
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White papersEmerging-Market Debt: Our Outlook for 2018—and Beyond
Emerging-market debt has the potential to boost income and returns in 2018.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: February 2018
The recent sharp correction of equity markets and the increase in yields which have materialized since the start of the year have created a turbulent phase, interrupting the “Garden of Eden” kind of setting which investors were getting used to.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: February 2018
The recent sharp correction of equity markets and the increase in yields which have materialized since the start of the year have created a turbulent phase, interrupting the “Garden of Eden” kind of setting which investors were getting used to.
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White papersIs it too quiet as we head into 2018?
As we look forward to 2018, there’s an illusion of calm in financial markets. But this doesn’t mean that nothing is going on. In fact, opposing forces are simply cancelling each other out.
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White papersTechnology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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White papersAsia’s new era of sustainable growth
The huge Chinese economy is experiencing a ‘second awakening’ under President Xi Jinping, with a strong agenda for supply-side reforms and an emphasis on sustainable macroeconomic growth.
