All Government Bonds articles
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White papersAs risks rise, short end can offer shelter and yield
As pressure builds on the longer end of the curve, the case for short-duration credit has become increasingly compelling.
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White papersCan the Eurozone Tolerate Higher Rates for Long?
The market is pricing in higher euro rates through 2031. But can the region’s economy take them?
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White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
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White papersSupport Levels in Sovereign Debt Markets
Is the rise in major sovereign bond yields a temporary response to geopolitical tensions, or are markets settling into a new regime of higher rates?
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PodcastBond Market Volatility, Yield Curves & Equity Resilience - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
Global markets are being shaped by a fast-moving geopolitical backdrop, with rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz adding to volatility across rates, credit and equities. In this episode of Outerblue Convictions, host Swaha Pattanaik speaks with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, about how the team is interpreting the latest moves in macro and bond market volatility, and what this means for portfolio allocation.
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White papersDuration offers an opportunity as odds grow for Iran off-ramp
Inflation pressure, potential monetary tightening and the Iran conflict have pushed bond yields higher.
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White papersCIO Weekly: Interest Rates Come Back Into Focus
With all the focus on geopolitics, interest rates remain an important foundation for markets, and last week’s move higher in long-end yields provided a stark reminder of that.
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White papersRethinking global diversification
The Russia-Ukraine war, the rise of tariffs and, most recently, the energy crisis are all triggers of a new geo-economic regime, where the forces shaping markets are broader and more structural.
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White papersRising yields, rising uncertainty
“Bond yields at the short end of the curve moved up as markets repriced central bank action in response to inflation. Long-end yields rose mainly because of higher risk premium, as the war in the Middle East continues to create uncertainty.”
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White papersRisk assets face off with rising global bond yields
The recent interest rate turmoil has driven long‑dated government bond yields to notable historical extremes, with U.S. 30-year yields hitting their highest level since 2007, 30-year JGBs since their introduction in 1999, UK gilts since 1997, and German bunds since 2011. Yet, simultaneously, equities have absorbed the rise in yields without too much damage, supported by a strong earnings environment. That resilience should not be taken for granted, however, as the balance of risks is becoming increasingly finely poised.
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White papersRising global bond yields: The test for risk assets
Global bond markets have sold off sharply in recent weeks, pushing long-end yields to multi-decade highs across major markets. U.S. 30-year yields hit their highest level since 2007, 30-year JGBs since their introduction in 1999, UK gilts since 1997, and German bunds since 2011.
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White papersInflation question haunts the market
US PPI, a measure of inflation at the producer level, rose to 6% year on year in April, the highest since December 2022 and well above market expectations. Energy price inflation also rose sharply since March. The data suggest that the war in the Middle East is beginning to feed into the real economy through higher input costs for companies, raising the risk that these costs may be passed on to consumers.
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White papersU.S. High Yield: Beyond the Maturity Wall
The maturity wall facing U.S. high yield bond issuers is sizeable. But given the market’s composition today, the wall appears less daunting for issuers—and, for investors, it’s helping shape potentially compelling opportunities.
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White papersStarmer Drama - ‘It’s not about who’s in charge - it’s about the maths’
In the latest Fixed on Bonds blog, Lloyd Harris examines the structural forces behind rising gilt yields, highlighting how markets are responding to debt dynamics, fiscal constraints and policy credibility, rather than political headlines alone.
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PodcastInflation-linked bonds can navigate the shocks
The Middle East conflict has triggered a surge in energy and other prices, creating a second inflation shock in four years. Elida Rhenals, a Senior Portfolio Manager in the rates and inflation team at AXA IM Core, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, tells Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer for AXA IM Core, how the short duration inflation-linked bond strategy run by her team can be effective in offering protection and a real return – not just a nominal one – in a slowing growth, rising inflation environment.
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White papersThe presence of absence
Powell will no longer speak from the podium, but by remaining on the Fed board, his voice remains.
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White papersApril ECB meeting: In a good position to make the right decision
As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) held policy rates steady today, extending its pause for a seventh straight meeting in the current easing cycle. Rates on the deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and the marginal lending facility remain at 2.00%, 2.15%, and 2.40%, respectively.
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White papersPotential implications of the Middle East conflict for bonds
The Middle East conflict, while first and foremost a human tragedy, also represents an energy supply shock with potentially significant implications for global growth. In a new paper, Head of Global Sovereign, Inflation and Rates, Cedric Scholtes presents a framework for analysing the war’s fixed income investment implications.
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White papersState credit quality is strong despite a shifting landscape
U.S. state finances are in their strongest position in modern history, but that headline strength is only the beginning of the story. Nuveen’s latest research unpacks why record reserves, falling debt burdens, and improved pension funding create a compelling case for state municipal bonds, and why the differences beneath the surface make careful credit selection more important than ever. Read the full paper to understand what the data reveals and how Nuveen approaches credit research in today’s municipal market.
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White papersMuni bonds have been resilient amid uncertainty
The municipal bond market had a bumpy start to 2026, but Nuveen’s latest quarterly outlook suggests the story is far from over. With taxable-equivalent yields near historic highs, record fund inflows, and a steep yield curve rewarding those willing to extend duration, there may be more opportunity in today’s volatility than meets the eye. From credit divergence in health care and higher education to shifting technical conditions, the details matter. Explore the full report to see how Nuveen is navigating the landscape heading into the second quarter.
