All Government Bonds articles
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PodcastGoing the distance - Market perspectives into autumn - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
After an eventful summer for the markets and policymakers, particularly in the bond markets, our podcast series regulars reunite to recap the major movements in the markets over the past few weeks. Listen further to discover what these market events mean for investors and our own investment views.
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White papersThe ECB raises policy rates
“The ECB opens a period of central bank meetings. The balance is shifting further towards the risk that inflation proves more persistent than expected, given the recent rise in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions.”
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White papersBond yields on the rise again
“Bond markets are under pressure now, but as yields rise, opportunities for investors to benefit from higher income are opening.”
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White papersWhat higher interest rates could mean for stocks and bonds
Bonds have been anything but boring this summer. With US Treasury yields climbing amid rising national debt, elevated inflation and massive AI-related investments, some investors are asking whether recent volatility signals a looming crisis or a broader shift to a world of higher interest rates.
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White papersFrance’s fiscal policy in focus
We expect France’s GDP to grow by 0.6% in 2026 and around 1.0% in 2027, in line with Eurozone growth. While higher inflation and elevated policy uncertainty, both domestic and external, are likely to weigh on demand in 2026, the economy should retain some underlying resilience, helped by a gradual recovery in private domestic demand, particularly household consumption and business investment moving into 2027.
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White papersSmaller Fed, Bigger Questions
While markets remain focused on interest rates, the Federal Reserve is taking a closer look at its balance sheet strategy. A newly established task force is evaluating whether changes to reserve management, portfolio composition, and Treasury-Fed coordination could help reshape the Fed’s role in financial markets and influence monetary policy implementation in the years ahead.
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White papersStrong US earnings growth continues
“The ongoing US earnings season confirms a broadening of earnings growth across sectors, although scrutiny remains on data and quality of guidance beneath the headline numbers. Overall, this reinforces the importance of diversification and selectivity”
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White papersWhat a 5% 10-year Treasury means for commercial real estate
As the 10-year Treasury pushes toward 4.75% for the first time since January 2025, investors are asking what it means for U.S. commercial real estate (CRE). Importantly, the reason rates are rising matters as much as the level. What began as an orderly move in real rates and term premium is now giving way to something less benign - rising inflation expectations and a bond market that’s testing the Fed’s resolve. A 10-year yield near 5% raises the bar for CRE, but it sharpens our thesis rather than breaks it: net operating income (NOI) growth and selectivity are what will likely separate winners from the rest.
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White papersFed on hold, markets in action
“As the Fed moves to reduce policy guidance, uncertainty over the short-rate path is likely to rise, creating additional volatility along the yield curve”
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White papersThe New Role of Geopolitical Risk in Bond Investing
Interest rate volatility is reshaping bond markets. We examine why geopolitical risks have become increasingly linked to bond market volatility since 2025, and discuss the implications for the term premium, fixed income positioning and investment opportunities.
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White papersGlobal Sovereign Bonds: Watching the new Fed Chair
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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White papersUS Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: Fundamentals remain robust
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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PodcastFixed income ETFs: Simple, transparent, low-cost beta exposure
Despite trebling in size since 2020, fixed income ETF (exchange-traded fund) assets remain under-bought in Europe. Luca Pagni, Head of Fixed Income ETFs, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that there is still great growth potential for bond ETFs – for a variety of reasons. They can improve portfolio construction by offering low-cost beta exposure, diversification, faster and simpler execution, and better liquidity than direct bond portfolios.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2026
Markets are refocusing on fundamentals as geopolitical noise fades. This Q3 2026 outlook highlights resilient growth, persistent inflation and opportunities in high-quality sectors. Discover where disciplined, income-focused investors can find value.
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White papersBond Outlook: Strong yields offer upside as risks linger
Halfway through the year, bond markets are contending with the twists and turns of war in Iran, shifting labour market dynamics and heightened risks to economic growth.
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White papersJune FOMC meeting: A new era for the Fed
At its June meeting, Kevin Warsh’s first as chair, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting.
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White papersPatience required: The Fed holds as inflation lingers
The Federal Reserve held rates steady in June but sent a clear hawkish signal, with nearly half of committee members now projecting a rate hike this year. Nuveen’s latest macro update breaks down what the Fed’s shift means for growth, inflation, and your clients’ portfolios, including where we see compelling opportunities in non-U.S. equities, small caps, municipal bonds, and senior loans. With markets at a pivotal moment, explore the full report to understand what the changing rate landscape could mean for portfolio positioning going forward.
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White papersAs risks rise, short end can offer shelter and yield
As pressure builds on the longer end of the curve, the case for short-duration credit has become increasingly compelling.
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White papersCan the Eurozone Tolerate Higher Rates for Long?
The market is pricing in higher euro rates through 2031. But can the region’s economy take them?
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White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
