All Government Bonds articles
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White papersStrong US earnings growth continues
“The ongoing US earnings season confirms a broadening of earnings growth across sectors, although scrutiny remains on data and quality of guidance beneath the headline numbers. Overall, this reinforces the importance of diversification and selectivity”
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White papersWhat a 5% 10-year Treasury means for commercial real estate
As the 10-year Treasury pushes toward 4.75% for the first time since January 2025, investors are asking what it means for U.S. commercial real estate (CRE). Importantly, the reason rates are rising matters as much as the level. What began as an orderly move in real rates and term premium is now giving way to something less benign - rising inflation expectations and a bond market that’s testing the Fed’s resolve. A 10-year yield near 5% raises the bar for CRE, but it sharpens our thesis rather than breaks it: net operating income (NOI) growth and selectivity are what will likely separate winners from the rest.
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White papersFed on hold, markets in action
“As the Fed moves to reduce policy guidance, uncertainty over the short-rate path is likely to rise, creating additional volatility along the yield curve”
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White papersThe New Role of Geopolitical Risk in Bond Investing
Interest rate volatility is reshaping bond markets. We examine why geopolitical risks have become increasingly linked to bond market volatility since 2025, and discuss the implications for the term premium, fixed income positioning and investment opportunities.
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White papersGlobal Sovereign Bonds: Watching the new Fed Chair
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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White papersUS Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: Fundamentals remain robust
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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PodcastFixed income ETFs: Simple, transparent, low-cost beta exposure
Despite trebling in size since 2020, fixed income ETF (exchange-traded fund) assets remain under-bought in Europe. Luca Pagni, Head of Fixed Income ETFs, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that there is still great growth potential for bond ETFs – for a variety of reasons. They can improve portfolio construction by offering low-cost beta exposure, diversification, faster and simpler execution, and better liquidity than direct bond portfolios.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2026
Markets are refocusing on fundamentals as geopolitical noise fades. This Q3 2026 outlook highlights resilient growth, persistent inflation and opportunities in high-quality sectors. Discover where disciplined, income-focused investors can find value.
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White papersBond Outlook: Strong yields offer upside as risks linger
Halfway through the year, bond markets are contending with the twists and turns of war in Iran, shifting labour market dynamics and heightened risks to economic growth.
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White papersJune FOMC meeting: A new era for the Fed
At its June meeting, Kevin Warsh’s first as chair, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting.
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White papersPatience required: The Fed holds as inflation lingers
The Federal Reserve held rates steady in June but sent a clear hawkish signal, with nearly half of committee members now projecting a rate hike this year. Nuveen’s latest macro update breaks down what the Fed’s shift means for growth, inflation, and your clients’ portfolios, including where we see compelling opportunities in non-U.S. equities, small caps, municipal bonds, and senior loans. With markets at a pivotal moment, explore the full report to understand what the changing rate landscape could mean for portfolio positioning going forward.
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White papersAs risks rise, short end can offer shelter and yield
As pressure builds on the longer end of the curve, the case for short-duration credit has become increasingly compelling.
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White papersCan the Eurozone Tolerate Higher Rates for Long?
The market is pricing in higher euro rates through 2031. But can the region’s economy take them?
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White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
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White papersSupport Levels in Sovereign Debt Markets
Is the rise in major sovereign bond yields a temporary response to geopolitical tensions, or are markets settling into a new regime of higher rates?
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PodcastBond Market Volatility, Yield Curves & Equity Resilience - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
Global markets are being shaped by a fast-moving geopolitical backdrop, with rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz adding to volatility across rates, credit and equities. In this episode of Outerblue Convictions, host Swaha Pattanaik speaks with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, about how the team is interpreting the latest moves in macro and bond market volatility, and what this means for portfolio allocation.
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White papersDuration offers an opportunity as odds grow for Iran off-ramp
Inflation pressure, potential monetary tightening and the Iran conflict have pushed bond yields higher.
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White papersCIO Weekly: Interest Rates Come Back Into Focus
With all the focus on geopolitics, interest rates remain an important foundation for markets, and last week’s move higher in long-end yields provided a stark reminder of that.
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White papersRethinking global diversification
The Russia-Ukraine war, the rise of tariffs and, most recently, the energy crisis are all triggers of a new geo-economic regime, where the forces shaping markets are broader and more structural.
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White papersRising yields, rising uncertainty
“Bond yields at the short end of the curve moved up as markets repriced central bank action in response to inflation. Long-end yields rose mainly because of higher risk premium, as the war in the Middle East continues to create uncertainty.”
